Blaring-Backdrop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.27K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.3%

Resolved

Trades

116,137

lifetime

Volume

$12.2M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 06-29 05:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Politics

82% 64% +$7,236

Other

14% 80% +$4

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% 62% +$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 7844 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1,750	$519.7K	697,341	686,375	+10,965	open	—	06-16 12:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	913	$448.1K	483,284	487,430	-4,146	open	—	06-01 00:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	676	$381.2K	408,220	400,175	+8,046	open	—	05-27 02:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	5,628	$281.1K	316,237	311,611	+4,626	open	—	05-31 15:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	690	$245.6K	269,592	278,195	-8,604	open	—	06-16 08:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	1,815	$221.4K	231,907	230,206	+1,701	open	—	06-21 05:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1,396	$221.0K	338,606	339,778	-1,171	open	—	05-29 20:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	380	$191.9K	183,576	179,128	+4,448	open	—	06-16 02:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	920	$190.0K	210,975	211,711	-735	open	—	06-22 02:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1,393	$189.5K	201,566	196,072	+5,494	open	—	05-31 20:43
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	1,284	$182.0K	167,026	171,797	-4,770	open	—	06-14 21:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	929	$180.8K	272,617	274,554	-1,937	open	—	05-26 23:45
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	864	$179.5K	188,616	193,031	-4,416	open	—	06-01 01:35
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2,744	$175.7K	201,662	201,844	-182	open	—	05-31 23:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	658	$169.1K	168,865	176,703	-7,838	open	—	06-16 10:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2,023	$155.5K	191,588	187,519	+4,069	open	—	05-31 15:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	1,803	$153.4K	184,494	187,810	-3,316	open	—	06-21 10:49
iran closes its airspace by june 8	899	$141.8K	194,348	194,348	+0	open	—	06-07 23:11
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	839	$134.3K	141,668	145,290	-3,622	open	—	06-15 02:46
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	534	$131.4K	140,385	142,740	-2,356	open	—	06-12 23:26
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	1,036	$125.8K	154,107	158,435	-4,328	open	—	06-14 21:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	585	$125.8K	125,191	129,918	-4,727	open	—	05-30 06:15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	1,453	$125.3K	132,354	130,597	+1,758	open	—	06-14 21:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	749	$118.8K	114,421	130,061	-15,640	open	—	06-22 21:01
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	658	$114.6K	97,567	95,868	+1,699	open	—	06-15 02:45
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	1,602	$112.7K	137,531	139,599	-2,068	open	—	06-22 20:41
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	1,052	$109.2K	104,828	107,081	-2,253	open	—	06-21 00:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	254	$107.4K	116,784	120,842	-4,058	open	—	06-06 09:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	1,421	$104.9K	109,981	113,271	-3,290	open	—	05-28 13:15
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	3,396	$103.0K	126,528	130,242	-3,714	open	—	06-07 23:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 05:36:43	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0xd65bbb…
06-26 16:01:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	153	12¢	$18	0x817ce1…
06-25 23:02:32	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	80	37¢	$29	0xab5f0e…
06-25 23:02:20	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x4c7e96…
06-25 23:01:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	286	37¢	$106	0x18f555…
06-25 23:00:32	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x37ae35…
06-25 22:59:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	445	37¢	$165	0xb210d3…
06-25 22:13:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xa2b893…
06-25 20:27:38	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	55	37¢	$20	0xe8d81a…
06-25 20:26:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xc4796e…
06-25 20:26:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	61	38¢	$23	0x87d69f…
06-25 20:26:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	96	38¢	$36	0x6dfc38…
06-25 16:15:34	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xc1584e…
06-24 23:40:17	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xbe7631…
06-24 20:53:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	3,000	90¢	$2,700	0x5f4539…
06-24 20:35:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	70	36¢	$25	0x2e7a19…
06-24 20:34:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	39	35¢	$14	0x8fea96…
06-24 20:32:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0xea4d92…
06-24 19:59:28	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	71	34¢	$24	0xf7b47f…
06-24 19:59:28	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	56	34¢	$19	0x537d5d…
06-24 19:52:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0xd0aa69…
06-24 19:21:22	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xc41aaa…
06-24 18:57:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	93	34¢	$32	0x2f9437…
06-24 18:57:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	22	34¢	$7	0x86a8a6…
06-24 17:16:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xb11e72…
06-24 17:15:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x76c381…
06-24 15:25:44	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	42	33¢	$14	0xae55a1…
06-24 14:35:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	55	33¢	$18	0xb1a786…
06-24 12:34:05	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,425	15¢	$364	0x43c3d3…
06-24 12:23:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	353	32¢	$113	0x50cf0a…
06-24 12:16:22	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	809	52¢	$420	0x6b3be6…
06-24 11:55:59	us x china tariff agreement by june 30	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x9599e0…
06-24 11:55:59	us x china tariff agreement by june 30	Yes	SELL	170	1¢	$1	0x744684…
06-24 11:47:50	us x china tariff agreement by june 30	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0xd7d0fb…
06-24 11:13:46	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x7f9510…
06-24 10:44:56	us x china tariff agreement by june 30	Yes	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0xab7ddb…
06-24 10:44:56	us x china tariff agreement by june 30	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x8277ac…
06-24 08:53:17	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0x87ee43…
06-24 08:52:55	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	268	53¢	$142	0xcb11cc…
06-24 08:48:31	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	167	53¢	$89	0x045a40…
06-24 08:43:26	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xe92801…
06-24 08:22:46	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	555	54¢	$300	0x133d31…
06-24 08:22:46	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	500	53¢	$265	0x0fd5e6…
06-24 07:13:46	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	No	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x0faf94…
06-24 06:46:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	33	32¢	$11	0x9a5cdc…
06-24 06:35:31	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	851	65¢	$553	0xe76a10…
06-24 06:35:31	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	270	64¢	$173	0x03a416…
06-24 06:18:47	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x3deab1…
06-24 06:18:44	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	535	63¢	$337	0x20f33d…
06-24 03:48:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,127	46¢	$1,439	0x177fcd…
06-24 03:30:02	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x8bf2d6…
06-24 01:52:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x89a3d2…
06-24 00:54:07	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	350	9¢	$32	0x163bea…
06-23 22:43:53	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	105	33¢	$35	0x73f99e…
06-23 22:38:32	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	203	33¢	$67	0x820756…
06-23 22:37:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	48	33¢	$16	0xa087c9…
06-23 18:18:28	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	837	11¢	$92	0xb5786d…
06-23 18:18:28	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	11¢	$3	0x428d18…
06-23 18:16:32	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x6d296f…
06-23 17:05:20	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	9¢	$4	0x762d71…
06-23 16:30:05	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0x24fbeb…
06-23 15:33:55	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	Yes	SELL	2,451	2¢	$56	0xd0a847…
06-23 13:43:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	SELL	141	32¢	$45	0x6b3dc7…
06-23 13:32:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	3,988	27¢	$1,077	0xb2a7c9…
06-23 13:31:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x37d51b…
06-23 13:27:14	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	SELL	43	32¢	$14	0x59190e…
06-23 13:25:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xbb3680…
06-23 13:25:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	SELL	35	32¢	$11	0x7a32e6…
06-23 12:59:04	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x1d8541…
06-23 12:24:16	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	25¢	$7	0xeb5052…
06-23 12:23:13	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x35e6cb…
06-23 12:22:28	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xfc1950…
06-23 12:22:17	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xf684a7…
06-23 12:22:17	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0xf1b665…
06-23 09:59:47	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	200	81¢	$162	0xf210f8…
06-23 09:59:10	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x49198a…
06-23 09:14:41	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	19¢	$10	0x6f9e36…
06-23 07:02:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	706	87¢	$614	0x006783…
06-23 06:53:16	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x0f50b5…
06-23 06:29:13	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	32	21¢	$7	0xff98a2…
06-23 05:52:05	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xa01566…
06-23 03:57:50	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0xd881a4…
06-23 03:53:44	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x0e5f30…
06-23 03:50:47	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xfb1aa4…
06-23 03:23:56	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xe59878…
06-23 03:23:16	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x3507d1…
06-23 03:13:04	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	59	19¢	$11	0x5ca72e…
06-23 03:11:58	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	42	19¢	$8	0xeef6fe…
06-23 02:39:50	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	35	80¢	$28	0xaf55b1…
06-23 02:39:23	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	206	80¢	$165	0x48ebbd…
06-23 02:35:23	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xbf8d72…
06-23 02:34:26	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xb113aa…
06-23 02:34:23	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	237	82¢	$194	0x9da2fd…
06-23 02:13:19	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xcb27b0…
06-23 02:13:16	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	101	82¢	$83	0xc57a73…
06-23 02:12:16	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	74	81¢	$60	0x9ca92d…
06-23 02:06:50	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	55	81¢	$45	0xfd91ce…
06-23 02:06:50	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0xafe4d5…
06-23 01:54:20	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x4bca4f…
06-23 01:46:52	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x3f6c97…