Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a9810…c51b92
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7.27K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.78K
Hit rate
70.3%
Resolved
27
Trades
78,385
lifetime
Volume
$7.57M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$97
Open exposure
$62.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 06-10 06:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Politics
80% 64% +$7,236
Other
14% 80% +$4
Crypto
3% — —
Tech
2% — —
Sports
1% 62% +$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 7844 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -4,340 $-2,899 100¢ $-4336 $-1,437 06-07 22:53
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -4,209 $-3,559 96¢ $-4032 $-472 06-09 17:18
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -3,699 $-3,504 98¢ $-3609 $-105 06-09 03:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -3,998 $-3,108 82¢ $-3258 $-150 06-02 22:28
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -3,997 $-2,859 72¢ $-2858 +$1 06-07 19:19
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -2,810 $-2,774 100¢ $-2806 $-32 06-04 01:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -4,095 $-1,951 64¢ $-2600 $-649 06-06 06:11
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,729 $2,503 93¢ $2.5K +$35 06-09 22:01
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -5,114 $-2,404 50¢ $-2532 $-127 06-03 14:09
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -3,007 $-2,229 80¢ $-2406 $-177 06-07 19:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -2,383 $-2,299 99¢ $-2361 $-61 06-04 18:59
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -2,350 $-2,096 98¢ $-2310 $-215 05-29 17:05
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -2,269 $-2,171 97¢ $-2204 $-33 06-02 11:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2,841 $2,133 76¢ $2.2K +$40 06-09 16:39
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,396 $1,812 76¢ $1.8K $-3 06-09 00:28
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026? Yes -1,812 $-1,766 100¢ $-1807 $-40 06-05 18:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -3,879 $-1,765 46¢ $-1765 +$0 06-05 05:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2,000 $-1,700 86¢ $-1730 $-30 05-31 18:48
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +2,000 $1,620 84¢ $1.7K +$50 05-31 12:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -2,289 $-1,620 72¢ $-1660 $-40 06-04 21:55
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -1,692 $-1,849 90¢ $-1514 +$335 05-31 17:18
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes -2,251 $-1,344 66¢ $-1486 $-142 06-09 21:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -1,659 $-1,155 84¢ $-1385 $-230 05-31 01:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -1,550 $-1,271 88¢ $-1372 $-101 06-09 17:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1,986 $1,102 62¢ $1.2K +$139 06-01 12:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -4,108 $-2,225 30¢ $-1212 +$1,013 06-10 00:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +3,080 $1,051 36¢ $1.1K +$73 06-09 17:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -2,434 $-1,356 45¢ $-1095 +$261 06-10 03:09
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -2,525 $-1,162 38¢ $-947 +$215 06-09 15:28
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No -3,707 $-1,009 24¢ $-908 +$101 06-09 00:28