Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a9810…c51b92
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7.27K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.24K
Hit rate
70.3%
Resolved
27
Trades
116,137
lifetime
Volume
$12.2M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$105
Open exposure
$39.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 06-29 05:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Politics
82% 64% +$7,236
Other
14% 80% +$4
Crypto
2% — —
Tech
1% — —
Sports
1% 62% +$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 7844 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -7,510 $-3,170 99¢ $-7439 $-4,268 06-22 14:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -3,998 $-3,108 86¢ $-3458 $-350 06-02 22:28
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -5,302 $-3,007 58¢ $-3102 $-95 06-24 12:16
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -3,997 $-2,859 74¢ $-2978 $-119 06-07 19:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -4,790 $-570 48¢ $-2323 $-1,753 06-20 14:28
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -2,269 $-2,171 99¢ $-2238 $-68 06-02 11:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2,000 $-1,700 94¢ $-1890 $-190 06-24 20:53
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +2,000 $1,620 94¢ $1.9K +$251 05-31 12:51
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1,996 $-1,790 92¢ $-1846 $-56 06-17 04:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -4,652 $-2,089 36¢ $-1651 +$438 06-24 03:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -2,521 $-1,846 52¢ $-1299 +$548 06-23 07:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -1,644 $-1,233 78¢ $-1290 $-57 06-18 11:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1,400 $663 86¢ $1.2K +$548 06-17 00:48
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +972 $869 89¢ $861 $-8 06-12 21:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -2,701 $-1,379 22¢ $-581 +$798 06-20 14:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes -2,352 $-734 22¢ $-506 +$229 06-18 17:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -3,687 $-1,573 14¢ $-498 +$1,075 06-18 20:42
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +468 $454 100¢ $466 +$12 06-08 20:11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +627 $492 74¢ $461 $-31 06-13 00:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +555 $126 78¢ $436 +$310 06-22 18:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +1,440 $178 30¢ $425 +$247 06-18 19:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -3,992 $-415 11¢ $-419 $-4 06-15 07:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +561 $466 70¢ $396 $-70 06-08 02:35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +426 $270 76¢ $326 +$56 06-21 11:27
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -360 $-178 81¢ $-292 $-113 06-15 14:18
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +342 $221 84¢ $289 +$68 06-29 05:36
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -706 $-488 34¢ $-242 +$246 06-10 08:23
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -821 $-293 24¢ $-193 +$100 06-21 11:27
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +159 $148 96¢ $153 +$5 06-04 05:34
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +89 $73 97¢ $86 +$13 06-17 22:39