Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a9810…c51b92
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7.27K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.07K
Hit rate
70.3%
Resolved
27
Trades
116,137
lifetime
Volume
$12.2M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$105
Open exposure
$55.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 06-29 05:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Politics
82% 64% +$7,236
Other
14% 80% +$4
Crypto
2% — —
Tech
1% — —
Sports
1% 62% +$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 7844 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -7,510 $-3,170 66¢ $-4957 $-1,786 06-22 14:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -3,699 $-3,504 100¢ $-3696 $-192 06-09 03:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -3,998 $-3,108 88¢ $-3498 $-390 06-02 22:28
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -3,997 $-2,859 84¢ $-3337 $-478 06-07 19:19
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -5,302 $-3,007 52¢ $-2784 +$223 06-24 12:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -8,130 $-5,294 34¢ $-2764 +$2,530 06-22 21:01
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +2,763 $2,154 100¢ $2.8K +$602 06-21 18:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -2,383 $-2,299 100¢ $-2381 $-81 06-04 18:59
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -2,350 $-2,096 100¢ $-2348 $-252 05-29 17:05
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -2,269 $-2,171 98¢ $-2218 $-47 06-02 11:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -2,521 $-1,846 82¢ $-2080 $-234 06-23 07:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -4,652 $-2,089 43¢ $-2000 +$89 06-24 03:48
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No -1,998 $-1,982 100¢ $-1996 $-14 06-15 13:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2,000 $-1,700 92¢ $-1830 $-130 06-24 20:53
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1,996 $-1,790 92¢ $-1826 $-36 06-17 04:17
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No -1,826 $-1,494 100¢ $-1821 $-326 06-23 02:39
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +2,000 $1,620 90¢ $1.8K +$190 05-31 12:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +1,431 $978 100¢ $1.4K +$449 06-19 21:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -1,389 $-1,569 100¢ $-1386 +$183 06-18 13:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -1,644 $-1,233 75¢ $-1233 +$1 06-18 11:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1,400 $663 80¢ $1.1K +$464 06-17 00:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -4,790 $-570 18¢ $-838 $-268 06-20 14:28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +972 $869 86¢ $836 $-33 06-12 21:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -2,701 $-1,379 30¢ $-797 +$582 06-20 14:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -3,687 $-1,573 20¢ $-719 +$854 06-18 20:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes -2,352 $-734 25¢ $-588 +$146 06-18 17:15
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +561 $466 90¢ $502 +$36 06-08 02:35
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +485 $477 100¢ $485 +$8 06-01 14:43
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +627 $492 74¢ $467 $-25 06-13 00:00
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +468 $454 98¢ $461 +$7 06-08 20:11