Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a9810…c51b92
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$151
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
65
lifetime
Volume
$8.20K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$126
Open exposure
$7.54K
23 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 21:54
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
78% — —
Other
22% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? No -1,644 $-974 64¢ $-1046 $-72 05-05 19:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No +1,000 $981 97¢ $970 $-11 05-05 19:47
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? No +1,000 $920 88¢ $885 $-35 05-05 04:49
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? Yes -1,501 $-819 57¢ $-859 $-40 05-05 21:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? No -878 $-855 97¢ $-850 +$5 05-05 12:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $590 66¢ $655 +$65 05-05 09:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? No +1,004 $531 64¢ $638 +$106 05-05 14:29
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +641 $632 99¢ $634 +$2 05-05 17:59
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? No +1,059 $483 43¢ $453 $-30 05-05 19:11
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? Yes +638 $257 36¢ $232 $-24 05-05 19:58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? No +133 $113 82¢ $109 $-5 05-05 04:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? Yes +1,000 $190 11¢ $105 $-85 05-05 14:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? Yes +996 $28 3¢ $32 +$4 05-05 12:05
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? No +36 $24 70¢ $25 +$1 05-05 10:05
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +16 $3 99¢ $16 +$13 05-05 16:54
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026? Yes +394 $14 3¢ $10 $-4 05-05 08:46
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No -300 $42 2¢ $-7 $-49 05-05 21:54
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes +7 $8 98¢ $7 $-1 05-05 20:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Yes -15 $-7 36¢ $-5 +$2 05-04 22:44
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? Yes +2 $1 58¢ $1 +$0 05-05 10:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes -13 $-1 7¢ $-1 $-0 05-05 03:14
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes -123 $-7 1¢ $-1 +$7 05-05 20:29
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +1 $0 74¢ $0 $-0 05-05 18:42