Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a9810…c51b92
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$59
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
82
93 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$10.9K
$11.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$128
Open exposure
$10.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 05:10
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
76% — —
Other
24% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? No -1,524 $-897 65¢ $-986 $-89 05-06 01:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No +1,000 $981 98¢ $976 $-6 05-05 19:47
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? No +1,000 $920 90¢ $905 $-15 05-05 04:49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? No -878 $-855 97¢ $-853 +$2 05-05 12:05
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? Yes -1,214 $-654 57¢ $-698 $-44 05-06 01:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? No +1,004 $531 66¢ $658 +$126 05-05 14:29
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026? No -667 $-657 98¢ $-657 $-0 05-06 02:19
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +641 $632 100¢ $638 +$6 05-05 17:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +978 $576 64¢ $631 +$55 05-05 23:50
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +871 $575 68¢ $588 +$13 05-06 00:58
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? No +1,059 $483 42¢ $450 $-33 05-05 19:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +727 $350 57¢ $418 +$68 05-06 01:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -978 $-489 42¢ $-416 +$73 05-06 00:07
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? No +814 $358 41¢ $334 $-24 05-06 01:44
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? Yes -503 $-286 59¢ $-297 $-11 05-06 01:44
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? Yes +604 $244 35¢ $213 $-31 05-06 01:59
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes -994 $-149 14¢ $-134 +$15 05-05 23:50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? No +133 $113 84¢ $111 $-2 05-05 04:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -140 $-90 65¢ $-91 $-1 05-06 01:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +134 $79 62¢ $84 +$5 05-06 02:14
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? Yes +1,000 $190 6¢ $65 $-125 05-05 14:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? Yes +260 $60 22¢ $58 $-1 05-06 05:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes +982 $51 5¢ $51 $-0 05-06 00:44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? Yes +1,266 $38 3¢ $36 $-2 05-06 02:14
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? No +36 $24 69¢ $25 +$0 05-05 10:05
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +16 $3 100¢ $16 +$13 05-05 16:54
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes +7 $8 99¢ $7 $-1 05-05 20:25
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026? Yes +394 $14 2¢ $6 $-9 05-05 08:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Yes -15 $-7 34¢ $-5 +$2 05-04 22:44
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No -300 $42 1¢ $-3 $-44 05-05 21:54