Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a9810…c51b92
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
—
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
214
214 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$27.4K
$27.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$128
Open exposure
$16.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 14:00
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
85% — —
Other
15% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,680 $1,922 76¢ $2.1K +$128 05-06 11:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No +1,111 $1,080 95¢ $1.1K $-30 05-06 11:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? No +1,047 $773 93¢ $977 +$205 05-06 11:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? No +1,000 $970 95¢ $952 $-18 05-06 11:02
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? No -1,266 $-717 68¢ $-859 $-142 05-06 12:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? No +1,068 $961 76¢ $817 $-144 05-06 12:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No +1,000 $740 76¢ $755 +$15 05-06 09:31
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026? No -751 $-740 99¢ $-744 $-4 05-06 07:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? No +1,004 $531 72¢ $728 +$197 05-05 14:29
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? Yes -1,214 $-654 58¢ $-707 $-53 05-06 01:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -1,337 $-688 50¢ $-662 +$27 05-06 09:24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +979 $576 68¢ $661 +$84 05-06 10:00
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +641 $632 99¢ $635 +$3 05-05 17:59
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +871 $575 68¢ $596 +$22 05-06 00:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Yes +1,003 $615 52¢ $517 $-99 05-06 12:52
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? No +1,059 $483 42¢ $443 $-40 05-05 19:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +779 $373 50¢ $394 +$20 05-06 09:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? No -691 $-300 56¢ $-384 $-84 05-06 14:00
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? Yes -503 $-286 72¢ $-365 $-79 05-06 01:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +890 $320 40¢ $360 +$40 05-06 08:54
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +401 $356 88¢ $354 $-2 05-06 09:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +1,000 $290 28¢ $275 $-15 05-06 09:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +357 $122 76¢ $270 +$148 05-06 12:02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +704 $177 34¢ $236 +$59 05-06 09:04
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? No +814 $358 28¢ $224 $-134 05-06 01:44
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? Yes +604 $244 32¢ $194 $-50 05-06 01:59
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -697 $-112 24¢ $-171 $-59 05-06 11:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? Yes +318 $111 44¢ $142 +$31 05-06 11:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes -502 $-129 28¢ $-138 $-9 05-06 10:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No +178 $124 72¢ $129 +$4 05-06 09:19