Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a9810…c51b92
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$157
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
213
213 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$27.3K
$27.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$128
Open exposure
$16.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 13:12
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
85% — —
Other
15% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,680 $1,922 76¢ $2.0K +$115 05-06 11:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No +1,111 $1,080 94¢ $1.0K $-34 05-06 11:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? No +1,047 $773 92¢ $963 +$191 05-06 11:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? No +1,000 $970 95¢ $952 $-18 05-06 11:02
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? No -1,266 $-717 70¢ $-887 $-169 05-06 12:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? No +1,068 $961 80¢ $849 $-112 05-06 12:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No +1,000 $740 74¢ $745 +$5 05-06 09:31
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026? No -751 $-740 99¢ $-743 $-3 05-06 07:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? No +1,004 $531 74¢ $738 +$207 05-05 14:29
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? Yes -1,214 $-654 59¢ $-715 $-61 05-06 01:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -1,337 $-688 52¢ $-702 $-13 05-06 09:24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +979 $576 68¢ $666 +$89 05-06 10:00
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +641 $632 99¢ $634 +$2 05-05 17:59
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +871 $575 70¢ $605 +$30 05-06 00:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Yes +1,003 $615 50¢ $507 $-109 05-06 12:52
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? No +1,059 $483 41¢ $435 $-48 05-05 19:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +779 $373 48¢ $370 $-3 05-06 09:19
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? Yes -503 $-286 72¢ $-360 $-74 05-06 01:44
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +401 $356 89¢ $356 +$0 05-06 09:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +890 $320 39¢ $347 +$27 05-06 08:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +1,000 $290 28¢ $275 $-15 05-06 09:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? No -463 $-170 58¢ $-271 $-101 05-06 11:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +357 $122 74¢ $264 +$143 05-06 12:02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +704 $177 34¢ $236 +$59 05-06 09:04
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? No +814 $358 29¢ $232 $-126 05-06 01:44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -697 $-112 26¢ $-181 $-70 05-06 11:42
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? Yes +604 $244 30¢ $181 $-63 05-06 01:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes -502 $-129 30¢ $-153 $-24 05-06 10:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? Yes +318 $111 42¢ $132 +$21 05-06 11:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No +178 $124 70¢ $123 $-1 05-06 09:19