Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a9810…c51b92
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$142
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
74
lifetime
Volume
$9.99K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$135
Open exposure
$9.23K
27 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 00:58
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
72% — —
Other
28% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? No -1,656 $-981 64¢ $-1060 $-79 05-06 00:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No +1,000 $981 97¢ $971 $-10 05-05 19:47
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? No +1,000 $920 89¢ $890 $-30 05-05 04:49
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? Yes -1,501 $-819 57¢ $-860 $-42 05-05 21:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? No -878 $-855 97¢ $-855 +$0 05-05 12:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? No +1,004 $531 64¢ $638 +$106 05-05 14:29
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +641 $632 99¢ $634 +$3 05-05 17:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +978 $576 62¢ $611 +$36 05-05 23:50
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +871 $575 66¢ $575 +$0 05-06 00:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,000 $500 55¢ $545 +$45 05-06 00:18
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? No +1,059 $483 43¢ $452 $-31 05-05 19:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -978 $-489 46¢ $-445 +$44 05-06 00:07
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? Yes +638 $257 36¢ $230 $-27 05-05 19:58
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes -994 $-149 14¢ $-134 +$15 05-05 23:50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? No +133 $113 82¢ $109 $-5 05-05 04:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? Yes +1,000 $190 6¢ $65 $-125 05-05 14:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes +982 $51 5¢ $48 $-3 05-06 00:44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? Yes +996 $28 3¢ $27 $-2 05-05 12:05
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? No +36 $24 74¢ $26 +$2 05-05 10:05
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +16 $3 100¢ $16 +$13 05-05 16:54
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No -300 $42 4¢ $-10 $-52 05-05 21:54
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? Yes +12 $7 64¢ $8 +$0 05-06 00:49
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes +7 $8 96¢ $7 $-1 05-05 20:25
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026? Yes +394 $14 1¢ $5 $-9 05-05 08:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Yes -15 $-7 36¢ $-5 +$2 05-04 22:44
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes -123 $-7 0¢ $-1 +$7 05-05 20:29
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +1 $0 74¢ $0 $-0 05-05 18:42