Inferior-Grain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.00K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,169

lifetime

Volume

$347.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$297

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 08-11 11:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

79% 100% +$2,000

Politics

18% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
dal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 13 2026 1pt57	4	$7.9K	4,318	4,318	+0	open	—	01-13 13:48
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	47	$7.5K	5,213	5,213	+0	open	—	07-02 13:05
will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	1	$6.9K	10,345	0	+10,345	open	—	04-21 13:04
will us gdp growth in 2025 be between 2pt0 and 2pt5	1	$6.3K	6,319	0	+6,319	open	—	02-20 13:49
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	8	$6.2K	3,199	3,399	-200	open	—	05-25 12:43
will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	1	$5.9K	7,177	0	+7,177	open	—	03-31 12:46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	25	$5.2K	3,061	3,141	-79	open	—	07-01 13:06
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt3	1	$4.9K	5,175	0	+5,175	open	—	04-03 12:30
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	1	$4.9K	5,570	0	+5,570	open	—	04-21 13:04
will us gdp growth in 2025 be greater than 2pt5	1	$4.6K	4,627	0	+4,627	open	—	02-20 13:47
cvx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 30 2026 1pt48	2	$4.5K	4,947	0	+4,947	open	—	01-30 11:15
bk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 13 2026 1pt99	5	$4.3K	2,238	2,238	+0	open	—	01-13 13:47
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on april 19 2026	1	$3.9K	5,258	0	+5,258	open	—	04-21 13:04
will the february 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt4	1	$3.9K	4,651	0	+4,651	open	—	03-06 13:30
will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	1	$3.9K	4,482	0	+4,482	open	—	03-31 12:46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	19	$3.6K	1,918	1,918	+0	open	—	07-01 13:08
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	39	$3.5K	2,575	2,216	+359	open	—	05-05 20:58
cof quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 22 2026 4pt17	2	$3.5K	6,348	0	+6,348	open	—	01-22 21:05
will vertiv holdings vrt be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	4	$3.4K	3,614	0	+3,614	open	—	03-06 22:44
will the us add more than 125k jobs in january	1	$3.4K	3,946	0	+3,946	open	—	02-11 13:30
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	1	$3.4K	3,549	0	+3,549	open	—	04-10 12:30
jpm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 13 2026 4pt94	17	$3.4K	1,976	1,976	+0	open	—	01-13 13:17
cvs quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt99	2	$3.3K	3,551	0	+3,551	open	—	02-10 11:30
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	19	$3.3K	3,600	200	+3,400	open	—	04-12 14:09
will annual inflation increase by 2pt4 in february 763 544 382 181	1	$3.1K	3,510	0	+3,510	open	—	03-11 12:30
will japans january 2026 unemployment rate be 2pt7	18	$3.0K	4,003	0	+4,003	open	—	03-03 02:55
yum quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 04 2026 1pt76	2	$3.0K	3,301	0	+3,301	open	—	02-04 12:00
will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	1	$2.9K	4,593	0	+4,593	open	—	04-14 12:45
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in december	1	$2.9K	3,025	0	+3,025	open	—	01-13 13:30
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	7	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-25 12:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 11:00:03	etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	No	BUY	149	42¢	$63	0xfb81e1…
08-10 20:07:03	gety quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0pt01	No	BUY	526	89¢	$469	0x9d0aea…
08-10 20:05:03	rklb quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 neg0pt08	No	BUY	1,208	51¢	$614	0x7d76a4…
08-10 20:05:03	hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 neg0pt05	No	BUY	116	95¢	$110	0x5a899c…
08-07 11:00:06	wen quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 07 2026 0pt16	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x03a769…
08-06 20:15:03	net quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt27	Yes	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xe8f8b4…
08-06 20:15:02	mchp quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt7	Yes	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x037660…
08-06 20:10:02	mnst quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt58	Yes	BUY	33	71¢	$23	0x3b3d2a…
08-06 20:05:03	yelp quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt36	Yes	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x10c826…
08-06 20:04:03	dbx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt74	Yes	BUY	224	94¢	$211	0x40b375…
08-06 20:03:03	txrh quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 06 2026 1pt83	Yes	BUY	80	65¢	$52	0xe53416…
08-06 20:01:03	ttd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt4	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9ca778…
08-06 20:01:02	akam quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 1pt58	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x01fdec…
08-06 10:59:54	pzza quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt45	Yes	BUY	101	49¢	$50	0x56edd6…
08-06 10:45:03	wrby quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt04	No	BUY	105	71¢	$75	0xed4ceb…
08-06 10:45:03	usfd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 1pt36	Yes	BUY	836	76¢	$635	0xd2da05…
08-06 10:00:03	celh quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt39	No	BUY	165	87¢	$144	0xc2cec3…
08-05 20:15:03	met quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 2pt29	Yes	BUY	150	91¢	$136	0xb76e53…
08-05 20:15:03	snex quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 1pt1	No	BUY	234	34¢	$79	0x8cc3bd…
08-05 20:05:03	fig quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt31	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0xbb6da0…
08-05 20:05:03	app quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 3pt76	No	BUY	607	18¢	$110	0x8446b1…
08-05 20:04:03	soun quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt04	Yes	BUY	673	65¢	$435	0x2443a0…
08-05 11:00:03	khc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt53	Yes	BUY	907	89¢	$807	0x5f7aa6…
08-05 10:32:15	dis quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt86	Yes	BUY	58	94¢	$55	0x6d76f4…
08-05 10:10:03	crcl quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt16	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xefd5d2…
08-04 20:05:03	tost quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 0pt2	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x3e4c97…
08-04 20:01:03	wynn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xdbf2d6…
08-04 20:00:11	bkng quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 2pt44	Yes	BUY	109	95¢	$104	0xd87367…
07-24 14:12:52	will the next claude opus model be released by july 27 2026	Yes	SELL	140	72¢	$101	0x2727c5…
07-24 13:54:03	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	Yes	SELL	61	85¢	$52	0xdd7c04…
07-24 13:53:49	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	Yes	SELL	58	85¢	$50	0x389744…
07-24 13:48:03	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	Yes	SELL	129	80¢	$103	0x2a12d8…
07-24 13:46:10	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	Yes	BUY	129	78¢	$100	0xc07525…
07-24 13:46:10	will the next claude opus model be released by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	140	72¢	$100	0x89b265…
07-24 13:46:10	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	Yes	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x2d9bf7…
07-22 20:04:28	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 0pt5	No	BUY	363	62¢	$224	0xe26ee4…
07-22 20:02:04	will google googl q2 youtube ads revenue be above 10pt4b 20260703213709252	Yes	BUY	124	98¢	$121	0x901485…
07-22 20:02:04	will google googl q2 youtube ads revenue be above 10pt8b 20260703213709254	Yes	BUY	261	95¢	$249	0x263481…
07-22 20:02:04	will google googl q2 youtube ads revenue be above 11b 20260703213709255	Yes	BUY	262	81¢	$214	0x12675d…
07-22 20:02:03	will google googl q2 youtube ads revenue be above 11pt2b 20260703213709256	No	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0xd1960e…
07-22 20:02:03	will google googl q2 cloud revenue be above 23pt5b 20260703214914069	Yes	BUY	211	95¢	$201	0xcfcd31…
07-22 20:02:03	will google googl q2 search other revenue be above 64b 20260703213321810	No	BUY	143	93¢	$133	0xc537d0…
07-22 20:02:03	will google googl q2 youtube ads revenue be above 10pt6b 20260703213709253	Yes	BUY	168	95¢	$158	0xb9c5b6…
07-22 20:02:03	will google googl q2 search other revenue be above 62b 20260703213321808	Yes	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x7e62a4…
07-22 20:02:03	will google googl q2 search other revenue be above 63b 20260703213321809	Yes	BUY	115	94¢	$108	0x7534b6…
07-22 20:02:01	will google googl q2 capital expenditures be above 40b 20260703215213302	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x8021d8…
07-22 20:02:01	will google googl q2 cloud revenue be above 24b 20260703214914070	Yes	BUY	106	98¢	$104	0x6c4eea…
07-22 20:02:01	will google googl q2 cloud revenue be above 22pt5b 20260703214914067	Yes	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x2c0efc…
07-22 20:02:01	will google googl q2 capital expenditures be above 46b 20260703215213304	No	BUY	72	71¢	$51	0x0f6836…
07-22 20:01:03	will texas instruments txn q2 analog revenue be above 4pt5b 20260707025511714	No	BUY	39	84¢	$33	0xade3a1…
07-22 20:01:03	txn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 22 2026 1pt92	Yes	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x706fe2…
07-22 11:00:09	cme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 2pt96	Yes	BUY	27	95¢	$25	0x2c0014…
07-22 10:30:06	will att t q2 total revenue be above 31pt4b 20260703212929586	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x90a7af…
07-22 10:30:06	will att t q2 total revenue be above 31pt8b 20260703212929588	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x131b8f…
07-22 10:30:06	will att t q2 total revenue be above 31pt6b 20260703212929587	No	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0x0bdf41…
07-21 20:05:03	cof quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 21 2026 4pt75	Yes	BUY	140	70¢	$98	0x891542…
07-21 20:01:03	ibkr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 21 2026 0pt62	Yes	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0x2df26d…
07-21 11:21:07	ally quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 21 2026 1pt23	No	BUY	250	25¢	$64	0x2d68be…
07-21 10:45:03	msci quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 21 2026 4pt90	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xeb69b5…
07-20 20:15:04	wtfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 20 2026 3pt16	Yes	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x89cd54…
07-18 22:10:37	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	Yes	BUY	290	58¢	$168	0x7bdea8…
07-16 11:31:16	stt quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 16 2026 3pt23	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xc2f264…
07-16 09:55:02	unh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 16 2026 4pt85	Yes	BUY	237	88¢	$208	0xb1177e…
07-15 12:30:02	ctas quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 15 2026 1pt23	Yes	BUY	1,041	93¢	$973	0xce3734…
07-15 11:25:17	will morgan stanley ms q2 investment banking revenue be above 2pt125b	Yes	BUY	81	95¢	$77	0xc9e836…
07-15 11:25:17	will morgan stanley ms q2 investment banking revenue be above 2pt0b	Yes	BUY	516	93¢	$480	0x15b6be…
07-14 10:00:02	unty quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 14 2026 1pt44	No	BUY	127	57¢	$73	0xa1a3e8…
07-07 13:26:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	143	71¢	$101	0x7bd154…
07-07 13:25:16	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026 974	Yes	SELL	26	87¢	$22	0x6684bb…
07-07 12:58:17	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 743	Yes	SELL	646	99¢	$641	0x148e33…
07-07 12:42:29	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 743	Yes	BUY	646	80¢	$516	0x076a8b…
07-07 02:32:26	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x666f38…
07-07 02:31:38	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	97	98¢	$96	0xea5330…
07-07 00:49:53	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x33db02…
07-05 14:17:25	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026 974	Yes	BUY	14	83¢	$11	0x019cd6…
07-05 14:17:23	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026 974	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x54b472…
07-04 14:16:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0xb65505…
07-03 23:36:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0xd40e19…
07-03 23:33:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	97	16¢	$16	0x240373…
07-03 23:33:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	43	48¢	$21	0x71c35c…
07-03 18:03:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x073972…
07-03 18:00:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x77cb28…
07-02 13:05:44	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x948b8c…
07-02 12:35:44	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	SELL	5,161	100¢	$5,151	0xb466e8…
07-01 17:00:04	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0x548000…
07-01 13:10:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	SELL	400	99¢	$397	0x1b8214…
07-01 13:09:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138 771 819 232	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0xf1f0cd…
07-01 13:08:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	1,918	99¢	$1,908	0x6084d0…
07-01 13:06:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	2,293	90¢	$2,063	0xf19c89…
07-01 13:05:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	848	90¢	$763	0xa4b83e…
07-01 13:04:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662 752 464 953	Yes	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xf726d7…
07-01 13:04:10	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x071e28…
06-30 16:50:05	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	72	11¢	$8	0x0bc34d…
06-30 16:49:05	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	220	11¢	$25	0x85c4b2…
06-30 16:48:32	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	231	11¢	$26	0x765f97…
06-30 16:47:25	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	197	11¢	$22	0x2cde58…
06-30 16:46:32	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	201	11¢	$23	0xd2c54b…
06-30 15:14:17	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	79	11¢	$9	0xccf3dd…
06-30 12:24:01	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	400	16¢	$65	0x256c40…
06-30 10:30:10	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x89a691…