Realized P&L
+$91
Unrealized P&L
-$99
Hit rate
69.4%
Resolved
135
Trades
13,850
lifetime
Volume
$169.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$1.09K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-22
last 07-01 12:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Crypto
65% 71% +$202
Other
24% 93% $-16
Politics
10% 54% $-89
Tech
1%
Sports
0% 0% $-5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 690 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +600 $530 82¢ $495 $-35 06-27 22:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +800 $366 32¢ $252 $-114 06-28 17:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +200 $172 100¢ $199 +$27 06-26 08:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No -50 $-49 100¢ $-50 $-1 06-22 13:50
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No +50 $48 99¢ $49 +$2 06-23 14:55
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No -19 $-15 86¢ $-17 $-1 06-07 12:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +20 $14 75¢ $15 +$1 06-19 07:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +20 $11 56¢ $11 +$1 06-19 07:36
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +39 $5 10¢ $4 $-1 06-08 13:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -79 $-23 $-0 +$23 06-15 04:38