Purple-Warlock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$91

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

135

Trades

14,214

lifetime

Volume

$184.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 08-10 20:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 71% +$202

Other

30% 93% $-16

Politics

10% 54% $-89

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 690 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	35	$4.2K	5,460	288	+5,172	open	—	04-21 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	37	$1.7K	2,675	162	+2,513	open	—	05-24 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	48	$1.3K	1,335	0	+1,335	open	—	05-30 11:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	10	$1.2K	1,800	0	+1,800	open	—	07-19 05:40
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	6	$1.2K	653	653	+0	open	—	06-14 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	17	$1.1K	1,125	0	+1,125	open	—	05-31 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	15	$1.1K	1,090	0	+1,090	open	—	05-30 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	18	$1.0K	1,036	0	+1,036	open	—	05-31 09:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	3	$983	319	744	-425	open	—	06-15 04:48
will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt3b	6	$949	1,033	0	+1,033	open	—	07-14 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	13	$930	960	0	+960	open	—	05-31 10:59
will 40 49 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	30	$910	691	751	-60	open	—	04-14 15:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	5	$839	483	483	+0	open	—	06-15 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	12	$801	810	0	+810	open	—	05-24 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	8	$800	842	0	+842	open	—	05-24 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	6	$769	800	0	+800	open	—	05-30 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	13	$750	819	0	+819	open	—	05-24 11:09
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	12	$741	920	0	+920	open	—	06-14 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	13	$730	742	8	+734	open	—	05-23 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	18	$725	735	0	+735	open	—	05-31 09:00
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	6	$697	800	0	+800	open	—	07-02 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	21	$697	706	0	+706	open	—	05-25 11:20
will oracle q4 remaining performance obligations be above 500b	7	$693	749	0	+749	open	—	06-10 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	22	$667	681	0	+681	open	—	05-31 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	7	$660	690	0	+690	open	—	05-30 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	19	$660	672	0	+672	open	—	05-31 16:50
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	6	$650	925	925	+0	open	—	06-14 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	10	$648	660	0	+660	open	—	05-30 11:10
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	23	$644	877	106	+770	open	—	04-07 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	19	$633	639	0	+639	open	—	05-25 11:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 20:14:09	gety quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0pt01	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x85c9c6…
08-10 20:05:18	qubt quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 neg0pt04	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x66ecd3…
08-07 10:00:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xfe31df…
08-06 20:14:45	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 27pt6b 20260725020755865	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7cd29b…
08-06 20:08:35	will lyft lyft q2 rides be above 205m 20260725195759091	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc30cf9…
08-06 20:05:56	will lyft lyft q2 rides be above 265m 20260725195759091	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xae112e…
08-06 20:05:44	will lyft lyft q2 rides be above 225m 20260725195759091	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc39d52…
08-06 20:05:42	will lyft lyft q2 rides be above 245m 20260725195759091	Yes	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x2ff3a8…
08-06 20:05:41	will lyft lyft q2 rides be above 265m 20260725195759091	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xe66574…
08-06 20:04:09	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 27pt6b 20260725020755865	No	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0xca6b2e…
08-06 20:04:05	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 27pt3b 20260725020755864	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x73f6ef…
08-06 20:03:59	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 26pt4b 20260725020755861	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xed5b7f…
08-06 20:03:56	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 26pt7b 20260725020755862	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x67bda2…
08-06 20:03:54	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 27b 20260725020755863	Yes	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0xdedc61…
08-05 20:03:42	will western digital wdc q4 exabytes shipped be above 255 20260718025354560	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x78c353…
08-05 20:03:41	will western digital wdc q4 exabytes shipped be above 250 20260718025354560	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe4b0b4…
08-05 20:03:35	will western digital wdc q4 exabytes shipped be above 245 20260718025354560	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x07dacc…
08-05 20:03:32	will western digital wdc q4 exabytes shipped be above 240 20260718025354560	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbafa3e…
08-05 20:03:30	will western digital wdc q4 exabytes shipped be above 235 20260718025354560	No	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0x914283…
08-05 10:46:24	will eli lilly lly q2 zepbound sales be above 4pt5b 20260725020159990	Yes	BUY	83	99¢	$83	0x764193…
08-05 10:45:51	will eli lilly lly q2 mounjaro sales be above 10pt5b 20260725020059922	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbc74de…
08-05 10:45:51	will eli lilly lly q2 zepbound sales be above 5b 20260725020159991	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xabc571…
08-05 10:45:51	will eli lilly lly q2 zepbound sales be above 5pt5b 20260725020159992	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x9df740…
08-05 10:45:51	will eli lilly lly q2 mounjaro sales be above 7pt5b 20260725020059918	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x755a96…
08-05 10:45:51	will eli lilly lly q2 zepbound sales be above 6b 20260725020159993	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x6932e8…
08-05 10:45:51	will eli lilly lly q2 mounjaro sales be above 9b 20260725020059920	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x48257a…
08-05 10:45:51	will eli lilly lly q2 zepbound sales be above 4pt5b 20260725020159990	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x1b461a…
08-05 10:45:50	will eli lilly lly q2 mounjaro sales be above 8pt25b 20260725020059919	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6b3d5d…
08-05 10:45:50	will eli lilly lly q2 mounjaro sales be above 9pt75b 20260725020059921	Yes	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x658bde…
08-04 20:37:18	will advanced micro devices amd q2 data center revenue be above 6b 20260725015741182	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xa2ebd0…
08-04 20:16:09	will advanced micro devices amd q2 data center revenue be above 6pt75b 20260725015741185	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x6d70d1…
08-04 20:16:03	will advanced micro devices amd q2 data center revenue be above 6pt25b 20260725015741183	Yes	BUY	71	96¢	$68	0x62ced0…
08-04 20:16:00	will advanced micro devices amd q2 data center revenue be above 6pt5b 20260725015741184	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x432ba6…
08-04 20:01:39	will booking bkng q2 gross bookings be above 53b 20260718020809242	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xefa144…
08-04 20:01:36	will booking bkng q2 gross bookings be above 55b 20260718020809243	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x66df87…
08-04 20:01:30	will booking bkng q2 gross bookings be above 49b 20260718020809240	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x45a740…
08-04 20:01:26	will booking bkng q2 gross bookings be above 49b 20260718020809240	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xc2db80…
08-04 20:01:23	will booking bkng q2 gross bookings be above 49b 20260718020809240	Yes	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0xdcf687…
08-04 16:34:15	will booking bkng q2 gross bookings be above 53b 20260718020809242	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xdc7a98…
08-04 16:27:18	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	SELL	258	7¢	$18	0x3f38cb…
08-04 15:46:30	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	76	10¢	$8	0xf113ee…
08-04 15:42:26	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x9b73b3…
08-04 15:41:35	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0x520941…
08-04 15:39:15	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	120	18¢	$21	0xc0a9d5…
08-04 15:36:29	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	31	15¢	$5	0xce178b…
08-04 15:14:05	Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfdd11e…
08-03 11:00:42	will marriott mar q2 worldwide revpar be above 137pt5 20260725194931753	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdf3154…
08-03 11:00:42	will marriott mar q2 worldwide revpar be above 142 20260725194931756	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb04609…
08-03 11:00:42	will marriott mar q2 worldwide revpar be above 143pt5 20260725194931757	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x76835d…
08-03 11:00:42	will marriott mar q2 worldwide revpar be above 140pt5 20260725194931755	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x450518…
08-03 11:00:42	will marriott mar q2 worldwide revpar be above 139 20260725194931754	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x25b85a…
08-02 15:22:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x033283…
08-02 15:22:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xccd787…
08-01 15:13:41	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	7	77¢	$6	0xab9ec2…
08-01 15:06:59	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x26b254…
08-01 14:57:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x66bfa4…
08-01 14:56:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x8d8e87…
08-01 14:53:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x334ea0…
07-31 10:30:05	will exxonmobil xom q2 oil equivalent barrels per day net production koebd be above 4pt5m 20260718015701120	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x967973…
07-31 10:30:05	will exxonmobil xom q2 oil equivalent barrels per day net production koebd be above 4pt4m 20260718015701119	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x19d155…
07-31 09:34:11	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt75b 20260718015334048	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcd6513…
07-31 09:34:11	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt8b 20260718015334049	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7aee24…
07-31 09:34:11	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt65b 20260718015334046	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x700158…
07-31 09:34:09	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt6b 20260718015334045	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x95e6c5…
07-31 09:34:09	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt7b 20260718015334047	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x40d783…
07-30 20:30:33	will apple aapl q3 wearables home and accessories revenue be above 8pt5b 20260717035113334	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xff1d98…
07-30 20:30:33	will apple aapl q3 mac revenue be above 9pt5b 20260717034907915	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xadf10e…
07-30 20:30:33	will apple aapl q3 mac revenue be above 8pt5b 20260717034907913	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x964b11…
07-30 20:30:33	will apple aapl q3 iphone revenue be above 55b 20260717035215861	No	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x3c2ed1…
07-30 20:30:32	will apple aapl q3 iphone revenue be above 58b 20260717035215863	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe7ba2a…
07-30 20:30:32	will apple aapl q3 iphone revenue be above 53pt5b 20260717035215860	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe76611…
07-30 20:30:32	will apple aapl q3 services revenue be above 32b 20260717034820300	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xe289c3…
07-30 20:30:32	will apple aapl q3 services revenue be above 32pt5b 20260717034820301	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbdb0ad…
07-30 20:30:32	will apple aapl q3 iphone revenue be above 52b 20260717035215859	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xb16e04…
07-30 20:30:32	will apple aapl q3 services revenue be above 31pt5b 20260717034820299	No	BUY	95	78¢	$75	0x8f314e…
07-30 20:30:32	will apple aapl q3 ipad revenue be above 8b 20260717034957307	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x58e785…
07-30 20:30:32	will apple aapl q3 services revenue be above 31b 20260717034820298	No	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0x469d07…
07-30 20:30:32	will apple aapl q3 iphone revenue be above 56pt5b 20260717035215862	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x0986d3…
07-30 20:30:32	will apple aapl q3 mac revenue be above 10b 20260717034907916	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x05224a…
07-30 20:30:32	will apple aapl q3 services revenue be above 30pt5b 20260717034820297	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0517fa…
07-30 20:30:30	will apple aapl q3 greater china revenue be above 21b 20260717035254129	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf06515…
07-30 20:30:30	will apple aapl q3 greater china revenue be above 18b 20260717035254126	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xa46dce…
07-30 20:30:30	will apple aapl q3 ipad revenue be above 6b 20260717034957303	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9ea6f1…
07-30 20:30:30	will apple aapl q3 greater china revenue be above 22b 20260717035254130	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x70a5d5…
07-30 20:30:30	will apple aapl q3 greater china revenue be above 20b 20260717035254128	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x559878…
07-30 15:36:41	will the total us effective tariff rate for q2 be at least 6 20260722202131837	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x64d84e…
07-30 15:36:17	will the total us effective tariff rate for q2 be at least 7 20260722202131838	Yes	BUY	357	97¢	$348	0xf30582…
07-30 15:35:47	will the total us effective tariff rate for q2 be at least 6 20260722202131837	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd08a67…
07-30 15:35:45	will the total us effective tariff rate for q2 be at least 5 20260722202131836	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xa9aa9d…
07-30 12:46:05	will the total us effective tariff rate for q2 be at least 7 20260722202131838	Yes	BUY	41	85¢	$35	0xf4c3af…
07-30 12:34:44	will the total us effective tariff rate for q2 be at least 8 20260722202131839	Yes	BUY	172	28¢	$48	0x415463…
07-30 12:30:54	will the total us effective tariff rate for q2 be at least 8 20260722202131839	Yes	BUY	291	34¢	$100	0xffa5f4…
07-30 12:30:53	will the total us effective tariff rate for q2 be at least 7 20260722202131838	Yes	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xdce1d8…
07-30 12:30:53	will the total us effective tariff rate for q2 be at least 5 20260722202131836	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x91ce7f…
07-30 12:30:53	will the total us effective tariff rate for q2 be at least 6 20260722202131837	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x137d5b…
07-30 12:05:14	ma quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 4pt77	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xaa9ac5…
07-30 11:00:36	will altria mo q2 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume sticks in millions be above 14m 20260718021248119	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4335c5…
07-30 11:00:35	will altria mo q2 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume sticks in millions be above 14pt5m 20260718021248120	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf4d975…
07-30 10:56:57	will hyatt hotels h q2 system wide hotels revpar be above 160 20260725195253869	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfa2625…
07-30 10:56:53	will hyatt hotels h q2 system wide hotels revpar be above 158 20260725195253869	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x25ce3f…