Realized P&L (7d)
Unrealized P&L
+$139
Hit rate
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
17
17 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$724
$724 lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$207
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 19:27
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
97%
Politics
2%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +100 $97 100¢ $100 +$3 05-05 19:27
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes -62 $55 99¢ $-62 $-116 05-05 18:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +25 $10 42¢ $11 +$1 05-04 20:34
Iran leadership change by May 31? No +11 $10 93¢ $10 +$0 05-05 14:39
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? Yes +8 $8 98¢ $8 +$0 05-05 19:27
Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week? No +9 $8 78¢ $7 $-1 05-05 15:42
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 05-05 14:39
Will Trump post "FBI" on Truth Social this week? No +5 $2 52¢ $3 +$1 05-05 15:42
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes -429 $-0 $-1 $-1 05-05 13:47
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes -317 $-251 $-1 +$250 05-05 13:46
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes -96 $-3 $-0 +$3 05-05 16:32
Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? Yes -31 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-05 16:52