Realized P&L
+$17.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$10.1K
Hit rate
93.8%
Resolved
2,589
Trades
106,268
lifetime
Volume
$8.69M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$82
Open exposure
$195.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-22 02:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 117 days
Categories
Other
57%
89%
+$27,109
Politics
27%
86%
+$8,901
Sports
13%
91%
+$3,183
Tech
1%
62%
-$22,887
Pop-Culture
1%
89%
+$1,008
Crypto
0%
100%
+$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | +23,964 | $18,843 | 92¢ | $21.9K | +$3,084 | 05-20 18:27 | |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | +9,759 | $9,697 | 100¢ | $9.7K | +$48 | 05-20 09:22 | |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | +9,759 | $9,722 | 100¢ | $9.7K | +$22 | 05-20 09:22 | |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | +9,728 | $8,871 | 100¢ | $9.7K | +$842 | 05-20 09:22 | |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | +9,718 | $9,599 | 100¢ | $9.7K | +$109 | 05-20 09:22 | |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | +9,699 | $9,330 | 100¢ | $9.7K | +$345 | 05-20 09:22 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | +9,776 | $8,238 | 98¢ | $9.6K | +$1,386 | 05-20 09:22 | |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | +9,443 | $9,286 | 100¢ | $9.4K | +$143 | 05-20 09:22 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other | No | +7,493 | $7,445 | 100¢ | $7.5K | +$41 | 05-18 12:54 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | No | +7,380 | $7,270 | 99¢ | $7.3K | +$48 | 05-18 12:54 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | +6,810 | $5,490 | 92¢ | $6.3K | +$809 | 05-18 12:54 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | +7,327 | $4,842 | 72¢ | $5.3K | +$470 | 05-18 12:54 | |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | +4,887 | $4,619 | 98¢ | $4.8K | +$182 | 05-20 18:31 | |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | +4,628 | $4,588 | 100¢ | $4.6K | +$36 | 05-20 18:31 | |
| Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | — | +4,628 | $4,618 | 100¢ | $4.6K | +$5 | 05-20 18:31 |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | +4,628 | $4,612 | 100¢ | $4.6K | +$11 | 05-20 18:31 | |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | +4,628 | $4,614 | 100¢ | $4.6K | +$7 | 05-20 18:31 | |
| Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | +4,628 | $4,613 | 100¢ | $4.6K | +$8 | 05-20 18:31 | |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | +4,628 | $4,617 | 100¢ | $4.6K | +$4 | 05-20 18:31 | |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | +4,628 | $4,617 | 100¢ | $4.6K | +$4 | 05-20 18:31 | |
| Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | +4,628 | $4,614 | 100¢ | $4.6K | +$7 | 05-20 18:31 | |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | +4,628 | $4,613 | 100¢ | $4.6K | +$8 | 05-20 18:31 | |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | +4,628 | $4,622 | 100¢ | $4.6K | -$1 | 05-20 18:31 | |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | +4,584 | $4,300 | 99¢ | $4.6K | +$256 | 05-16 08:06 | |
| Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | +4,552 | $4,531 | 100¢ | $4.5K | +$17 | 05-20 18:31 | |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | +4,502 | $4,485 | 100¢ | $4.5K | +$10 | 05-20 18:31 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | +6,202 | $4,673 | 62¢ | $3.8K | -$859 | 05-21 03:07 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | +4,689 | $2,851 | 78¢ | $3.7K | +$830 | 05-20 18:31 | |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | +4,048 | $2,462 | 90¢ | $3.7K | +$1,201 | 05-20 18:31 | |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | No | +3,537 | $2,430 | 97¢ | $3.4K | +$1,011 | 05-19 00:44 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 421 | $95.7K | 97,159 | 0 | +97,159 | No | +$1,478 | 05-21 12:40 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 375 | $95.4K | 95,660 | 0 | +95,660 | No | +$241 | 05-21 12:40 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 382 | $95.0K | 95,660 | 0 | +95,660 | No | +$648 | 05-21 12:40 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 380 | $93.7K | 94,160 | 0 | +94,160 | No | +$448 | 05-21 12:40 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? | 569 | $81.3K | 84,917 | 0 | +84,917 | No | +$3,583 | 05-13 11:43 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 320 | $78.1K | 80,553 | 0 | +80,553 | No | +$2,478 | 05-21 04:04 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026? | 487 | $74.0K | 74,376 | 0 | +74,376 | No | +$406 | 05-13 10:33 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | 662 | $70.5K | 70,643 | 0 | +70,643 | No | +$172 | 05-21 15:35 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 334 | $68.3K | 79,259 | 0 | +79,259 | Yes | -$68,328 | 05-21 04:04 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | 603 | $64.3K | 64,373 | 0 | +64,373 | No | +$66 | 05-21 15:35 |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? | 708 | $62.9K | 63,026 | 0 | +63,026 | No | +$149 | 05-16 20:02 |
| Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? | 706 | $62.7K | 62,955 | 0 | +62,955 | No | +$287 | 05-16 22:48 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026? | 459 | $62.2K | 62,892 | 0 | +62,892 | No | +$669 | 05-13 03:52 |
| Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? | 697 | $62.2K | 62,260 | 0 | +62,260 | No | +$107 | 05-16 20:02 |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | 703 | $62.1K | 62,253 | 0 | +62,253 | No | +$139 | 05-16 20:02 |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? | 700 | $62.0K | 62,360 | 0 | +62,360 | No | +$377 | 05-16 20:02 |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | 710 | $61.9K | 62,748 | 0 | +62,748 | No | +$860 | 05-16 22:48 |
| Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | 703 | $61.6K | 62,003 | 0 | +62,003 | No | +$393 | 05-16 22:15 |
| Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | 701 | $61.6K | 61,858 | 0 | +61,858 | No | +$267 | 05-16 20:02 |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | 700 | $61.4K | 61,834 | 0 | +61,834 | No | +$403 | 05-16 20:02 |
| Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026? | 440 | $61.1K | 61,735 | 0 | +61,735 | No | +$650 | 05-12 20:28 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | 153 | $61.1K | 61,306 | 0 | +61,306 | No | +$227 | 05-21 06:44 |
| Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | 692 | $60.9K | 61,108 | 0 | +61,108 | No | +$255 | 05-16 20:02 |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026? | 704 | $60.7K | 61,644 | 0 | +61,644 | No | +$936 | 05-16 22:48 |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | 669 | $59.8K | 59,904 | 0 | +59,904 | No | +$67 | 05-16 22:48 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 407 | $59.7K | 80,842 | 0 | +80,842 | No | +$21,138 | 05-21 04:04 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | 152 | $59.5K | 60,127 | 0 | +60,127 | No | +$596 | 05-21 06:44 |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | 730 | $59.2K | 62,603 | 0 | +62,603 | No | +$3,436 | 05-16 22:59 |
| Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | 693 | $59.1K | 62,008 | 0 | +62,008 | No | +$2,917 | 05-16 20:02 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | 702 | $59.1K | 66,456 | 0 | +66,456 | No | +$7,385 | 05-21 15:35 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||