Will Thomas Welby win the 2026 Galway West by-election?
open
Total volume
$376
Trades
79
Unique wallets
39
Liquidity
$5,224
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2027-03-31
First seen
2026-02-26
last 04-27 11:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.9¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $29
vs crowd: 6% YES on $368)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $12 | $295 | $284 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $3 | $18 | $15 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $6 | $33 | $28 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $1 | — | +$1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $0 | $29 | $28 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $13 | $8 | +$5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 7 | $0 | $18 | $17 |
| Below median | 8 | $1 | $14 | $13 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $1 | $20 | $19 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $3 | $13 | $10 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $244 | $244 |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +239 | $236 | $236 | 4 | 04-26 18:31 |
| Detailed-Leather 0x33e6…ba11 | Yes | +187 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-26 18:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-10 22:46 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +73 | $10 | $10 | 9 | 03-28 16:46 |
| Considerate-Crazy 0xeb07…fd6b | Yes | +40 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-13 01:55 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-10 12:25 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +24 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 04-08 21:39 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +20 | $-0 | $1 | 5 | 04-27 11:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xb616…0086 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 04-27 11:53 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-08 21:42 |
| Ill-Diving 0x5fdd…2132 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 03-27 01:27 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-08 21:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 04-11 12:17 |
| Aware-Carbohydrate 0x5f95…46c4 | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-19 16:20 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 03-16 20:45 |
| Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 03-27 01:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xe51f…3b96 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 03-16 20:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x6586…497c | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 03-27 00:57 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 04-08 21:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xe179…b701 | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-13 22:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x9ac5…6a3d | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 03-28 16:46 |
| Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 03-27 01:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-11 00:08 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-11 00:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 03-27 01:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xf178…c931 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-11 15:28 |
| Substantial-Derivative 0x4c4e…b978 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 03-27 01:31 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-26 10:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xb939…81b8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 02-26 10:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 11:57:42 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbeabbd… |
| 04-27 11:57:42 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbeabbd… |
| 04-27 11:53:56 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8670aa… |
| 04-27 11:53:56 | (anonymous) 0xb616…0086 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x8670aa… |
| 04-26 18:31:00 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 76 | 99¢ | $75 | 0xe2ab80… |
| 04-26 18:31:00 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 88 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe2ab80… |
| 04-26 18:31:00 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe2ab80… |
| 04-26 18:31:00 | Detailed-Leather 0x33e6…ba11 | Yes | BUY | 187 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe2ab80… |
| 04-26 18:31:00 | (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe2ab80… |
| 04-19 16:20:18 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9027a8… |
| 04-19 16:20:18 | Aware-Carbohydrate 0x5f95…46c4 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9027a8… |
| 04-13 22:11:29 | Nutty-Ordinary 0x10ac…0e0b | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b82e3… |
| 04-13 22:11:29 | (anonymous) 0xe179…b701 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b82e3… |
| 04-13 01:55:25 | (anonymous) 0x6b74…33f9 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x94bdb6… |
| 04-13 01:55:25 | (anonymous) 0x8625…9fb8 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x94bdb6… |
| 04-13 01:55:25 | Considerate-Crazy 0xeb07…fd6b | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x94bdb6… |
| 04-13 01:51:29 | (anonymous) 0x6b74…33f9 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf0fc49… |
| 04-13 01:51:29 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf0fc49… |
| 04-13 01:29:53 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3e8c7d… |
| 04-13 01:29:53 | (anonymous) 0x6b74…33f9 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3e8c7d… |
| 04-12 09:54:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b74…33f9 | Yes | BUY | 157 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x334edf… |
| 04-12 09:54:43 | Complete-Novel 0x60fd…89a9 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x334edf… |
| 04-12 09:54:43 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0x334edf… |
| 04-12 09:54:43 | Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | Yes | SELL | 123 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x334edf… |
| 04-11 15:28:33 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x20cd6b… |
| 04-11 15:28:33 | (anonymous) 0xf178…c931 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x20cd6b… |
| 04-11 12:17:35 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd22db4… |
| 04-11 12:17:35 | (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd22db4… |
| 04-11 00:08:11 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad15fa… |
| 04-11 00:08:11 | (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad15fa… |
| 04-11 00:08:11 | Different-Hazel 0x3dd2…9ab1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad15fa… |
| 04-11 00:08:11 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad15fa… |
| 04-10 22:46:27 | (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x633f60… |
| 04-10 22:46:27 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x633f60… |
| 04-10 12:25:31 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 39 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x04a647… |
| 04-10 12:25:31 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x04a647… |
| 04-10 12:25:31 | Complete-Novel 0x60fd…89a9 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x04a647… |
| 04-08 21:52:23 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x063f17… |
| 04-08 21:52:23 | Nutty-Ordinary 0x10ac…0e0b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x063f17… |
| 04-08 21:52:13 | Nutty-Ordinary 0x10ac…0e0b | Yes | BUY | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x3391f5… |
| 04-08 21:52:13 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 4 | 92¢ | $4 | 0x3391f5… |
| 04-08 21:42:19 | Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | Yes | BUY | 18 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xf8e1f3… |
| 04-08 21:42:19 | (anonymous) 0xdad6…0d14 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xf8e1f3… |
| 04-08 21:42:19 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xf8e1f3… |
| 04-08 21:39:09 | (anonymous) 0xe6bd…0f6d | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd14a4c… |
| 04-08 21:39:09 | (anonymous) 0xdad6…0d14 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd14a4c… |
| 04-08 21:39:05 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xaa0a27… |
| 04-08 21:39:05 | (anonymous) 0xdad6…0d14 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xaa0a27… |
| 04-08 21:39:05 | (anonymous) 0xdad6…0d14 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x604456… |
| 04-08 21:39:05 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x604456… |
| 04-08 21:39:03 | (anonymous) 0xe6bd…0f6d | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xfe24fc… |
| 04-08 21:39:03 | (anonymous) 0xdad6…0d14 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xfe24fc… |
| 04-08 21:38:59 | (anonymous) 0xdad6…0d14 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x56e2d4… |
| 04-08 21:38:59 | (anonymous) 0xe6bd…0f6d | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x56e2d4… |
| 04-08 21:38:59 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0x49c757… |
| 04-08 21:38:59 | (anonymous) 0xdad6…0d14 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x49c757… |
| 03-28 16:46:13 | (anonymous) 0x9ac5…6a3d | No | BUY | 9 | 87¢ | $8 | 0xffe14e… |
| 03-28 16:46:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xffe14e… |
| 03-27 01:31:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x635642… |
| 03-27 01:31:49 | (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x0a5900… |
| 03-27 01:31:49 | Substantial-Derivative 0x4c4e…b978 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x635642… |
| 03-27 01:31:49 | Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x635642… |
| 03-27 01:31:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x0a5900… |
| 03-27 01:27:51 | Ill-Diving 0x5fdd…2132 | No | BUY | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0x1b9f20… |
| 03-27 01:27:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x1b9f20… |
| 03-27 01:27:49 | Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0xe7b113… |
| 03-27 01:27:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xe7b113… |
| 03-27 01:01:09 | Different-Hazel 0x3dd2…9ab1 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x3f3629… |
| 03-27 01:01:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x3f3629… |
| 03-27 00:58:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x41a83c… |
| 03-27 00:58:13 | Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b | No | BUY | 4 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x41a83c… |
| 03-27 00:57:41 | Ill-Diving 0x5fdd…2132 | No | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x331f6f… |
| 03-27 00:57:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x331f6f… |
| 03-27 00:57:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x56f0ca… |
| 03-27 00:57:39 | (anonymous) 0x6586…497c | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $8 | 0x56f0ca… |
| 03-16 20:45:21 | (anonymous) 0xe51f…3b96 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x6163fe… |
| 03-16 20:45:21 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6163fe… |
| 02-26 10:48:18 | (anonymous) 0xb939…81b8 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc7d643… |
| 02-26 10:48:18 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc7d643… |