Youthful-Calico — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.13K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

10,515

Trades

46,094

lifetime

Volume

$18.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 10-30 13:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 256 days

Categories

Other

69% 26% +$2,109

Sports

13% 26% +$953

Crypto

10% 30% +$193

Politics

7% 43% +$802

Tech

0% 38% +$20

Pop-Culture

0% 36% +$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	-10	-$1	13¢	$-1	$0	05-16 12:23
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	No	+3	$0	12¢	$0	+$0	08-11 05:25
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	-5	$0	2¢	$-0	+$0	05-02 02:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Exact Score: São Bernardo FC 1 - 0 Grêmio Novorizontino?	5	$178	178	178	+0	No	+$178	05-31 15:46
Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	50	$154	966	476	+490	Yes	+$186	06-16 07:57
Birmingham: Completed Match: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanen	9	$139	27	140	-113	Yes	+$25	06-03 15:12
Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?	99	$131	561	554	+7	open	—	09-22 18:59
Set 1 Winner: Wong vs Yao	7	$80	161	79	+82	Yao	+$10	05-04 05:35
ethereum above 2000 on june 25 2026	3	$76	76	76	+0	No	+$75	06-23 13:08
Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)	4	$75	76	76	+0	Instituto AC Córdoba	+$75	09-01 02:08
dota2 astini lixoes 2026 03 20 game handicap away 1pt5	7	$74	224	79	+145	LiXO eSports	+$103	03-20 15:03
nba phi ind 2026 02 24 1h spread away 6pt5	9	$68	153	98	+55	76ers	+$72	02-25 01:17
highest temperature in dallas on march 4 2026 74forhigher	138	$67	707	988	-281	Yes	+$44	03-04 14:34
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	17	$66	306	167	+138	Yes	+$59	05-16 23:03
nba phi ind 2026 02 24 1h spread away 5pt5	5	$65	102	95	+6	76ers	+$63	02-25 01:14
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?	33	$65	239	239	+0	No	+$54	08-27 15:14
will xrp dip to 1pt3 on april 18	9	$62	234	63	+170	No	+$85	04-19 03:25
lol ve tos 2026 03 06 game1 odd even total kills	6	$58	139	62	+78	Odd	+$41	03-07 07:55
hok ltg tkl 2026 07 12	9	$56	107	56	+51	LT Gaming	+$54	07-12 06:52
mlb wsh lad 2026 09 04 tb max muncy 2pt5	7	$56	56	56	+0	Under	+$54	09-05 04:52
mlb wsh lad 2026 09 04 tb max muncy 3pt5	7	$56	56	56	+0	Under	+$54	09-05 04:52
mlb wsh lad 2026 09 04 hrr max muncy 2pt5	6	$56	56	56	+0	Under	+$54	09-05 04:52
mlb wsh lad 2026 09 04 tb max muncy 1pt5	6	$56	56	56	+0	Under	+$54	09-05 04:52
mlb wsh lad 2026 09 04 hrr max muncy 0pt5	6	$56	56	56	+0	Under	+$54	09-05 04:54
mlb wsh lad 2026 09 04 hits max muncy 0pt5	6	$56	56	56	+0	Under	+$54	09-05 04:51
mlb wsh lad 2026 09 04 hrr max muncy 1pt5	6	$56	56	56	+0	Under	+$54	09-05 04:52
cs2 fokus ice 2026 03 01 game4	4	$54	1,080	52	+1,028	FOKUS	+$78	03-01 18:44
wta tomljan paolini 2026 03 08 match total 22pt5	7	$53	113	145	-32	Over	+$51	03-08 23:07
O/U 2.5 Rounds	7	$52	102	53	+49	Over	+$50	10-24 15:32
lol mea exe 2026 02 19 game handicap home 2pt5	4	$51	836	51	+785	Meavedron	+$49	02-18 18:59
will the gta 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long 20260807064756492	9	$48	164	164	+0	Yes	+$45	08-07 23:12
Will Lorient finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?	51	$48	192	182	+10	No	+$44	04-18 00:02
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 shots cherif ndiaye gte1	4	$43	56	56	+0	No	+$42	07-01 21:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 14:53:36	Will tkzin play for FURIA Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x41f44d…
10-30 14:53:36	Will tkzin play for MIBR in 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x0e3444…
10-30 14:53:34	Will tkzin play for Leviatán Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa96763…
10-30 14:00:25	Will Chiu Chien-fu win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x6c06b0…
10-30 13:16:55	Will tkzin play for Team Envy in 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0xeb7837…
10-30 12:56:48	Will Asuna play for Sentinels in 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x2e0ca1…
10-30 12:29:06	Will Nate Morris be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x71e05e…
10-30 10:42:24	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in November?	Yes	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0xe028aa…
10-30 10:02:37	Will the Republican Party win the TX-01 House seat?	No	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xca77ee…
10-30 10:01:36	Will the Republican Party win the TX-01 House seat?	No	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x190d73…
10-30 09:53:22	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0x8d5f6e…
10-30 09:53:06	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xa20d87…
10-30 08:56:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-07 House election?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xfe1519…
10-30 08:42:42	Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x25c8f8…
10-30 08:24:34	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-11 House seat?	No	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xa19ab8…
10-30 07:22:10	Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "agent"?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xd9055a…
10-30 07:08:31	Will the Republicans win Maine in the 2028 Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x07c994…
10-30 06:12:15	Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?	No	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0xb457bf…
10-30 06:04:09	Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x5ff42c…
10-30 06:03:46	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 35% or more?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xe0aad2…
10-30 04:45:09	Spread: Sabres (-1.5)	Sabres	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x41ef32…
10-30 04:44:43	Sabres vs. Ducks	Ducks	SELL	49	1¢	$0	0x2d73b5…
10-30 04:44:31	Sabres vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xfdd81d…
10-30 04:44:09	Sabres vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x6b0d25…
10-30 04:43:39	Spread: Sabres (-2.5)	Sabres	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xbe2d17…
10-30 04:43:24	Spread: Sabres (-2.5)	Sabres	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x0a4556…
10-30 04:36:24	Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd128c2…
10-30 04:00:15	Will zekken play for Sentinels in 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xd918b8…
10-30 02:37:10	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x73985b…
10-30 02:26:27	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0x230907…
10-30 01:32:24	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?	No	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x880f99…
10-30 01:31:16	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?	No	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x2ad001…
10-30 01:30:57	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xb8aa30…
10-30 00:45:07	Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "agent"?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x675007…
10-30 00:31:31	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?	No	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0xd7aa13…
10-30 00:31:25	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?	No	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x36764a…
10-30 00:30:51	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?	No	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x108601…
10-30 00:30:34	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?	No	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xc3a0d7…
10-30 00:19:00	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x7fbc67…
10-30 00:18:51	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x64ea44…
10-30 00:08:45	Will Iran target Bahrain by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x9ac8f2…
10-30 00:08:03	Will Z.ai have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x316f56…
10-30 00:08:03	Will Meta have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x16a364…
10-30 00:01:34	Will the Republicans win Maine in the 2028 Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xed3ebb…
10-29 23:58:03	Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election?	Yes	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0x736917…
10-29 23:15:22	Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?	No	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xa69a99…
10-29 22:58:27	Will Iran target Bahrain by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x54591f…
10-29 22:42:03	Will zekken play for Sentinels in 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x585820…
10-29 21:02:58	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xdb2ef2…
10-29 20:43:16	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 29?	No	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xf07c51…
10-29 20:43:16	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 29?	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x81d164…
10-29 20:33:57	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 29?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xf6070b…
10-29 20:33:55	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc69743…
10-29 19:54:19	Will Liang Wen-tao win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election?	Yes	SELL	33	5¢	$2	0xe688a1…
10-29 19:45:34	Will Brett St. Amand be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0x8cda41…
10-29 19:35:31	Will Brett St. Amand be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xd0b3db…
10-29 19:26:39	CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 89% to 90.5%?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x2bd5cd…
10-29 19:25:31	Will Brett St. Amand be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x56c77d…
10-29 19:24:27	Will Meta have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x44c02b…
10-29 19:16:40	CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 89% to 90.5%?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf0295b…
10-29 19:16:40	CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) <89%?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x533438…
10-29 19:16:40	CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) <89%?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x341162…
10-29 19:15:33	Will Brett St. Amand be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x39c2b7…
10-29 19:15:31	Will SpaceXAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x441119…
10-29 17:37:53	Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "agent"?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x57f4b2…
10-29 17:30:01	Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "bait"?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x10413f…
10-29 17:00:19	Will XRP reach $1.40 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x14c81b…
10-29 16:33:43	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x446233…
10-29 16:32:22	Will XRP reach $1.40 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x1b1e2b…
10-29 16:06:13	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$1	0x04c202…
10-29 15:59:25	Will Asuna play for KRÜ Esports in 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xb5efcb…
10-29 14:49:56	Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x303e9f…
10-29 14:49:41	Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xa7a8bd…
10-29 14:36:35	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on October 29?	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x9f45e9…
10-29 13:55:08	Will zekken play for Leviatán Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x814193…
10-29 13:07:19	Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x17a2f2…
10-29 12:17:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x4747ee…
10-29 12:01:40	Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xba250d…
10-29 11:50:52	Will Nate Morris be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xfb57b6…
10-29 11:50:52	Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x58600a…
10-29 11:50:52	Will Brett St. Amand be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x58158f…
10-29 11:22:35	Will Asuna play for 100 Thieves in 2027?	No	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x3988c5…
10-29 09:45:52	Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xfa2743…
10-29 08:20:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xd5ad45…
10-29 08:10:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x51b00c…
10-29 08:05:05	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	1	61¢	$0	0xc2dd1c…
10-29 08:05:05	Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x37c16e…
10-29 07:50:02	Will Charles "Bruiser" Martin be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x5630b3…
10-29 07:34:35	Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7d259b…
10-29 06:59:29	Will Iran target Bahrain by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x672763…
10-29 04:44:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb3f0f2…
10-29 04:44:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x89ddf4…
10-29 04:44:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x659000…
10-29 04:44:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x55682a…
10-29 03:34:19	Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	Devils	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa35386…
10-29 02:22:17	US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xb1ad3e…
10-28 23:41:16	Will zekken play for Leviatán Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x770d4d…
10-28 23:41:08	Will zekken play for Leviatán Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xbee5dd…
10-28 23:37:32	Will zekken play for Leviatán Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xda595b…
10-28 23:37:32	Will zekken play for Leviatán Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xc3900c…