Youthful-Calico — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.12K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

10,490

Trades

45,847

lifetime

Volume

$17.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 10-27 04:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 253 days

Categories

Other

69% 26% +$2,104

Sports

13% 26% +$955

Crypto

10% 30% +$197

Politics

7% 43% +$802

Tech

0% 35% +$17

Pop-Culture

0% 36% +$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	-10	-$1	6¢	$-1	+$0	05-16 12:23
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	No	+3	$0	8¢	$0	$0	08-11 05:25
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	-5	$0	3¢	$-0	$0	05-02 02:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Exact Score: São Bernardo FC 1 - 0 Grêmio Novorizontino?	5	$178	178	178	+0	No	+$178	05-31 15:46
Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	50	$154	966	476	+490	Yes	+$186	06-16 07:57
Birmingham: Completed Match: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanen	9	$139	27	140	-113	Yes	+$25	06-03 15:12
Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?	99	$131	561	554	+7	open	—	09-22 18:59
Set 1 Winner: Wong vs Yao	7	$80	161	79	+82	Yao	+$10	05-04 05:35
ethereum above 2000 on june 25 2026	3	$76	76	76	+0	No	+$75	06-23 13:08
Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)	4	$75	76	76	+0	Instituto AC Córdoba	+$75	09-01 02:08
dota2 astini lixoes 2026 03 20 game handicap away 1pt5	7	$74	224	79	+145	LiXO eSports	+$103	03-20 15:03
nba phi ind 2026 02 24 1h spread away 6pt5	9	$68	153	98	+55	76ers	+$72	02-25 01:17
highest temperature in dallas on march 4 2026 74forhigher	138	$67	707	988	-281	Yes	+$44	03-04 14:34
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	17	$66	306	167	+138	Yes	+$59	05-16 23:03
nba phi ind 2026 02 24 1h spread away 5pt5	5	$65	102	95	+6	76ers	+$63	02-25 01:14
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?	33	$65	239	239	+0	No	+$54	08-27 15:14
will xrp dip to 1pt3 on april 18	9	$62	234	63	+170	No	+$85	04-19 03:25
lol ve tos 2026 03 06 game1 odd even total kills	6	$58	139	62	+78	Odd	+$41	03-07 07:55
hok ltg tkl 2026 07 12	9	$56	107	56	+51	LT Gaming	+$54	07-12 06:52
mlb wsh lad 2026 09 04 tb max muncy 2pt5	7	$56	56	56	+0	Under	+$54	09-05 04:52
mlb wsh lad 2026 09 04 tb max muncy 3pt5	7	$56	56	56	+0	Under	+$54	09-05 04:52
mlb wsh lad 2026 09 04 hrr max muncy 2pt5	6	$56	56	56	+0	Under	+$54	09-05 04:52
mlb wsh lad 2026 09 04 tb max muncy 1pt5	6	$56	56	56	+0	Under	+$54	09-05 04:52
mlb wsh lad 2026 09 04 hrr max muncy 0pt5	6	$56	56	56	+0	Under	+$54	09-05 04:54
mlb wsh lad 2026 09 04 hits max muncy 0pt5	6	$56	56	56	+0	Under	+$54	09-05 04:51
mlb wsh lad 2026 09 04 hrr max muncy 1pt5	6	$56	56	56	+0	Under	+$54	09-05 04:52
cs2 fokus ice 2026 03 01 game4	4	$54	1,080	52	+1,028	FOKUS	+$78	03-01 18:44
wta tomljan paolini 2026 03 08 match total 22pt5	7	$53	113	145	-32	Over	+$51	03-08 23:07
O/U 2.5 Rounds	7	$52	102	53	+49	Over	+$50	10-24 15:32
lol mea exe 2026 02 19 game handicap home 2pt5	4	$51	836	51	+785	Meavedron	+$49	02-18 18:59
will the gta 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long 20260807064756492	9	$48	164	164	+0	Yes	+$45	08-07 23:12
Will Lorient finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?	51	$48	192	182	+10	No	+$44	04-18 00:02
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 shots cherif ndiaye gte1	4	$43	56	56	+0	No	+$42	07-01 21:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:18:44	Will zekken play for Leviatán Esports in 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xdf9015…
10-27 04:49:29	Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "slop"?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xbfc2aa…
10-27 03:11:32	Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rot"?	Yes	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0xdfdd18…
10-27 02:11:48	Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rot"?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x7f5e9b…
10-27 02:11:44	Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rot"?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x1309c5…
10-27 00:54:50	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x779ac3…
10-27 00:52:54	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xba44fb…
10-27 00:27:20	Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "bait"?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x417b77…
10-27 00:26:03	Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xcf0f11…
10-27 00:26:03	Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x6343f8…
10-27 00:21:54	Club Bolívar vs. FC Universitario: Club Bolívar O/U 0.5	Under	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x439a71…
10-27 00:21:51	Club Bolívar vs. FC Universitario: Club Bolívar O/U 0.5	Under	SELL	22	7¢	$2	0x27f988…
10-27 00:08:42	Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "slop"?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x269e49…
10-26 23:40:44	Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x86175e…
10-26 23:32:48	Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6d360f…
10-26 23:19:27	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xbc9331…
10-26 20:00:02	Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	No	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x58b773…
10-26 19:09:26	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-28?	No	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0xc3974a…
10-26 17:51:00	Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	No	SELL	6	8¢	$1	0xbce3d0…
10-26 17:40:50	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x6f5d32…
10-26 17:15:26	Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	No	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x9520fe…
10-26 16:27:12	Will Asuna play for FURIA Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xee7f76…
10-26 16:26:08	Will Asuna play for KRÜ Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xb2fa47…
10-26 16:25:05	Will Asuna play for KRÜ Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5f78e8…
10-26 16:18:56	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 35% or more?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xca6986…
10-26 15:24:08	Will zekken play for Team Envy in 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xaa2b9b…
10-26 14:48:51	Sheffield Shield: Tasmania Tigers vs New South Wales Blues - Match goes to Day 5?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xa3217f…
10-26 14:47:51	Sheffield Shield: Tasmania Tigers vs New South Wales Blues - Match goes to Day 5?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x04b94d…
10-26 14:21:56	Will XRP reach $1.30 on October 26?	No	BUY	109	0¢	$0	0xf3e0ad…
10-26 14:21:56	Will XRP reach $1.30 on October 26?	No	BUY	143	0¢	$0	0xb1aefc…
10-26 14:21:56	Will XRP reach $1.30 on October 26?	No	BUY	91	0¢	$0	0x22595c…
10-26 13:34:24	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	69	16¢	$11	0x6a0326…
10-26 13:20:11	Will Asuna play for KRÜ Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x9c041d…
10-26 13:20:11	Will Asuna play for MIBR in 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3051cb…
10-26 13:20:09	Will Asuna play for FURIA Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xd6df12…
10-26 13:20:09	Will Asuna play for MIBR in 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7f259d…
10-26 12:28:33	Will XRP reach $1.30 on October 26?	No	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x93cc2e…
10-26 12:28:29	Will XRP reach $1.30 on October 26?	No	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0xed9188…
10-26 12:28:15	Will XRP reach $1.30 on October 26?	No	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0xb0f7e9…
10-26 12:28:15	Will XRP reach $1.30 on October 26?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x749117…
10-26 12:01:12	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x9b9c39…
10-26 12:01:12	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x5f0a7c…
10-26 12:01:12	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x493c14…
10-26 12:01:12	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x3eb66a…
10-26 12:01:11	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xe5421e…
10-26 12:01:11	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xc545d6…
10-26 12:01:11	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xafd155…
10-26 12:01:11	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xa30146…
10-26 12:01:11	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x992aab…
10-26 12:01:11	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x6fa3bd…
10-26 12:01:11	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x597885…
10-26 12:01:09	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xf932e2…
10-26 12:01:09	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x90d287…
10-26 12:01:05	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xf9337f…
10-26 12:01:05	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xbcd408…
10-26 12:01:05	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xb1aff3…
10-26 12:01:05	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xad1959…
10-26 12:01:05	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xa2da8c…
10-26 12:01:05	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x4c61fc…
10-26 12:01:05	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x249861…
10-26 12:01:03	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xe2f026…
10-26 12:01:03	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x97c518…
10-26 12:01:03	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x8f6844…
10-26 12:01:03	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x566e4d…
10-26 12:01:03	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x297604…
10-26 12:01:03	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x06d199…
10-26 12:01:02	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x762726…
10-26 12:01:02	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x66ef3d…
10-26 12:01:02	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x4fbceb…
10-26 12:00:56	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xcb1b84…
10-26 10:18:27	Will Lyft (LYFT) Q3 rides be above 285M?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x9267b0…
10-26 10:02:24	Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x45b3d5…
10-26 10:02:20	Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	602	0¢	$1	0x4ef602…
10-26 09:32:18	US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x530997…
10-26 09:23:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 55% or more?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x267084…
10-26 08:47:45	bitcoin above 80600 on october 26 2026 5am et	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf76e2d…
10-26 08:47:44	bitcoin above 80600 on october 26 2026 5am et	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x9b1387…
10-26 08:47:42	bitcoin above 80600 on october 26 2026 5am et	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x23b390…
10-26 07:40:21	Will zekken play for Team Envy in 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xc88b49…
10-26 05:31:05	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in November?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x6417e1…
10-26 05:30:41	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in November?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0xbff05e…
10-26 05:30:30	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in November?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x29ed27…
10-26 02:03:06	Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by at least 25%?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x61973a…
10-26 00:55:53	Will zekken play for Team Envy in 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x821d33…
10-26 00:15:36	Will tkzin play for Evil Geniuses in 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xffc0ad…
10-26 00:15:36	Will tkzin play for Sentinels in 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xdea150…
10-26 00:15:36	Will tkzin play for FURIA Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x742014…
10-26 00:15:35	Will tkzin play for FURIA Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfa873d…
10-26 00:15:35	Club Bolívar vs. FC Universitario: Club Bolívar O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x988560…
10-26 00:15:35	Will tkzin play for G2 Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x91ce8e…
10-26 00:15:35	Will tkzin play for Cloud9 in 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x633c90…
10-26 00:15:35	Club Bolívar vs. FC Universitario: Club Bolívar O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x2822dd…
10-26 00:15:33	Club Bolívar vs. FC Universitario: Club Bolívar O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x650ca9…
10-26 00:11:44	Club Bolívar vs. FC Universitario: Club Bolívar O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xea1ce8…
10-26 00:11:39	Club Bolívar vs. FC Universitario: Club Bolívar O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xa07cbf…
10-26 00:10:41	Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x69fd98…
10-26 00:10:41	Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x124f25…
10-25 23:43:15	Will zekken play for Team Envy in 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x5eca61…
10-25 23:31:26	Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0xc66e62…
10-25 23:13:33	Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xee7e7b…