Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?
open
Total volume
$363
Trades
49
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$39
Latest YES mid
32¢
Latest NO mid
68¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-03
last 08-08 17:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $117 | $58 | +$58 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $2 | $21 | $19 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $27 | $8 | +$20 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $111 | $17 | +$94 |
| Median | 4 | $3 | $7 | $4 |
| Below median | 2 | $5 | $3 | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $10 | $2 | +$8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $49 | $49 |
| unranked | 5 | $20 | $8 | +$12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | +44 | $11 | $11 | 5 | 07-29 21:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xb146…c098 | No | +29 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 08-08 17:19 |
| Scented-Hygienic 0x8af8…adc5 | No | +28 | $1 | $96 | 2 | 07-04 21:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 03:51 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +19 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-15 03:51 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +11 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-05 09:29 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-07 17:02 |
| Measly-Downforce 0xa450…7a2a | Yes | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-20 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x2802…ce16 | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-27 11:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1b0…4d1e | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-04 21:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc6c…919a | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-30 06:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-08 17:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x66ec…3adf | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-30 06:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-08 17:19 |
| Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | Yes | +3 | $-1 | $2 | 3 | 07-04 21:31 |
| Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | No | +3 | $-19 | $25 | 7 | 06-20 06:16 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +1 | $-1 | $15 | 3 | 07-27 11:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 17:19:25 | (anonymous) 0xb146…c098 | No | BUY | 9 | 59¢ | $5 | 0x0560a7… |
| 08-08 17:19:25 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | SELL | 0 | 58¢ | $0 | 0x0560a7… |
| 08-08 17:19:25 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x0560a7… |
| 08-08 17:19:25 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x0560a7… |
| 08-07 17:02:39 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 42¢ | $4 | 0xceb74e… |
| 08-07 17:02:39 | (anonymous) 0xb146…c098 | No | BUY | 21 | 58¢ | $12 | 0xceb74e… |
| 08-07 17:02:39 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | SELL | 6 | 58¢ | $3 | 0xceb74e… |
| 08-07 17:02:39 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | SELL | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0xceb74e… |
| 08-05 09:29:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 38¢ | $4 | 0x095f0d… |
| 08-05 09:29:50 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 6 | 61¢ | $4 | 0x095f0d… |
| 08-05 09:29:50 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 38¢ | $7 | 0x095f0d… |
| 07-30 06:40:06 | (anonymous) 0x66ec…3adf | No | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x00aa5b… |
| 07-30 06:40:06 | (anonymous) 0xfc6c…919a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x00aa5b… |
| 07-29 21:37:18 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x3c8802… |
| 07-29 21:37:18 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x3c8802… |
| 07-27 11:14:13 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x38eb27… |
| 07-27 11:14:13 | (anonymous) 0x2802…ce16 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x38eb27… |
| 07-20 02:23:00 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 9 | 57¢ | $5 | 0x1758ae… |
| 07-20 02:23:00 | Measly-Downforce 0xa450…7a2a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 57¢ | $5 | 0x1758ae… |
| 07-04 22:08:11 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x815a19… |
| 07-04 22:08:11 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x815a19… |
| 07-04 22:08:11 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0x815a19… |
| 07-04 21:50:35 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x2559e6… |
| 07-04 21:50:35 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x2559e6… |
| 07-04 21:49:20 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0xccf133… |
| 07-04 21:49:20 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0xccf133… |
| 07-04 21:49:20 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xccf133… |
| 07-04 21:49:20 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xccf133… |
| 07-04 21:31:01 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xb69a46… |
| 07-04 21:31:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 29¢ | $0 | 0xb69a46… |
| 07-04 21:31:01 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xb69a46… |
| 07-04 21:13:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 22¢ | $6 | 0xeaab92… |
| 07-04 21:13:40 | Lazy-Postbox 0x2ddd…73b2 | Yes | SELL | 106 | 20¢ | $21 | 0xeaab92… |
| 07-04 21:13:40 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xeaab92… |
| 07-04 21:13:40 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | SELL | 9 | 77¢ | $7 | 0xeaab92… |
| 07-04 21:13:40 | (anonymous) 0xf1b0…4d1e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xeaab92… |
| 07-04 21:13:40 | Scented-Hygienic 0x8af8…adc5 | No | SELL | 60 | 79¢ | $47 | 0xeaab92… |
| 06-20 06:16:58 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | No | SELL | 12 | 56¢ | $6 | 0x79ca88… |
| 06-20 06:16:58 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x79ca88… |
| 06-20 06:16:58 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 46¢ | $7 | 0x79ca88… |
| 06-20 06:16:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 26 | 57¢ | $15 | 0x79ca88… |
| 06-20 06:16:58 | Scented-Hygienic 0x8af8…adc5 | No | BUY | 88 | 56¢ | $49 | 0x79ca88… |
| 06-15 03:51:24 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x0ff652… |
| 06-15 03:51:24 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 19 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0ff652… |
| 06-15 03:51:24 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | No | BUY | 24 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0ff652… |
| 06-15 03:51:24 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x0ff652… |
| 06-15 03:51:24 | Lazy-Postbox 0x2ddd…73b2 | Yes | BUY | 106 | 95¢ | $100 | 0x0ff652… |
| 06-03 07:59:27 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd8b967… |
| 06-03 07:59:27 | (anonymous) 0x4247…91c4 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd8b967… |