Realized P&L
+$5.92K
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
51.8%
Resolved
6,387
Trades
131,098
lifetime
Volume
$125.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$100
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 11:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 157 days
Categories
Other
52% 32% -$443
Politics
26% 36% +$6,093
Crypto
13% 35% -$110
Sports
5% 35% +$156
Tech
2% 49% +$208
Pop-Culture
2% 38% +$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -18 -$13 96¢ $-18 -$4 06-27 18:24
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,010 $1 1¢ $10 +$9 09-05 13:33
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -13 -$4 79¢ $-10 -$6 07-20 20:14
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +10 $3 89¢ $8 +$5 06-01 03:49
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes -5 -$2 94¢ $-5 -$3 05-16 09:45
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -97 -$2 5¢ $-5 -$3 05-06 08:05
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026? No -5 -$4 89¢ $-4 $0 05-11 09:56
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -9 -$8 41¢ $-3 +$5 08-24 09:04
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No -3 -$4 98¢ $-3 +$1 08-07 18:57
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +5 $3 66¢ $3 +$1 07-14 19:30
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +5 $4 59¢ $3 -$1 07-01 01:38
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +4 $2 66¢ $3 +$1 07-01 20:51
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +4 $4 64¢ $2 -$1 05-07 18:05
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +2 $0 97¢ $2 +$2 08-05 16:58
Human moon landing in 2026? Yes +168 $0 1¢ $2 +$2 10-05 08:17
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +2 -$3 82¢ $2 +$5 07-13 12:17
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +4 $3 42¢ $2 -$1 05-08 15:42
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +5 $2 41¢ $2 +$0 06-30 08:58
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -66 -$2 3¢ $-2 +$0 08-01 06:34
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +2 $0 90¢ $2 +$1 06-07 23:46
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 86¢ $-1 +$0 07-20 13:04
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +2 $1 56¢ $1 $0 07-06 20:28
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? Yes -27 -$7 3¢ $-1 +$6 08-19 16:14
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat? Yes +24 $1 4¢ $1 -$1 08-10 00:41
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 07-05 16:26
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 08-05 21:33
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -1 $0 59¢ $-1 -$1 08-12 14:10
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? Yes -54 -$2 1¢ $-1 +$1 08-10 14:17
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? Yes -13 -$9 5¢ $-1 +$8 09-01 16:56
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $2 29¢ $1 -$1 08-19 06:20