Realized P&L
+$20
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
47.5%
Resolved
18
Trades
120,140
lifetime
Volume
$111.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$151
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 07:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
53% 47% $-35
Politics
25% 100% +$55
Crypto
14%
Sports
5%
Pop-Culture
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 225 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Miami Heretics finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season? Yes +69 $3 23¢ $16 +$13 06-10 05:38
Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes -37 $-4 42¢ $-15 $-12 05-27 21:37
Huddle FDV above $20M one day after launch? No +10 $8 71¢ $7 $-0 06-03 01:35
Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30? No +7 $7 99¢ $7 +$0 06-08 14:28
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? Yes -46 $-6 15¢ $-7 $-0 06-04 11:55
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +8 $6 80¢ $6 +$0 06-08 10:14
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -7 $-6 90¢ $-6 $-1 05-30 16:25
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? Yes +8 $3 84¢ $6 +$3 06-03 08:56
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +12 $4 51¢ $6 +$2 06-01 19:13
Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -6 $-5 94¢ $-5 $-0 05-28 13:09
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +8 $5 72¢ $5 +$1 06-01 13:48
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 05-31 17:03
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 76¢ $5 +$0 06-04 07:50
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 05-30 12:23
Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +506 $8 $5 $-3 06-04 02:00
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes -8 $-2 62¢ $-5 $-2 05-29 13:41
Huddle FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +20 $1 22¢ $4 +$3 06-02 07:46
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? Yes +32 $5 12¢ $4 $-1 06-01 17:02
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 62¢ $-3 +$1 06-07 23:46
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? Yes +27 $2 12¢ $3 +$1 06-01 22:55
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? Yes -22 $-4 14¢ $-3 +$0 06-06 19:45
Will Boston Breach finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season? Yes +6 $0 43¢ $3 +$3 06-02 06:56
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -44 $-2 $-3 $-1 05-31 03:16
Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes -9 $-3 26¢ $-2 +$1 05-30 00:18
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +128 $4 $2 $-2 06-07 22:38
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? Yes +63 $3 $2 $-1 06-08 21:30
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $2 20¢ $2 +$0 05-29 20:10
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam? Yes +5 $1 40¢ $2 +$1 06-09 06:15
Over $140B wagered on US sports betting in 2026? No -5 $-4 38¢ $-2 +$2 06-02 20:34
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June? Yes +100 $1 $2 +$0 06-03 01:04