Realized P&L
+$20
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
47.5%
Resolved
18
Trades
120,471
lifetime
Volume
$111.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$121
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 22:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
53% 47% $-35
Politics
25% 100% +$55
Crypto
14%
Sports
5%
Pop-Culture
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes -37 $-4 45¢ $-17 $-13 05-27 21:37
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 06-24 14:16
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -7 $-6 88¢ $-6 $-1 05-30 16:25
Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -6 $-5 100¢ $-6 $-1 05-28 13:09
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -7 $-5 82¢ $-6 $-0 06-24 13:31
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-1 05-31 17:03
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026? Yes -15 $-6 34¢ $-5 +$1 06-22 15:06
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -6 $-7 84¢ $-5 +$2 06-24 13:46
Will Donald Trump visit South Carolina in 2026? No -10 $-4 44¢ $-4 $-1 06-27 16:41
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? Yes -92 $-4 $-4 $-0 06-24 13:42
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 79¢ $-4 $-0 06-07 23:46
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? Yes -36 $-5 11¢ $-4 +$2 06-30 11:27
Huddle FDV above $20M one day after launch? No +5 $3 82¢ $4 +$0 06-26 13:44
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes -8 $-2 50¢ $-4 $-1 05-29 13:41
Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes -9 $-3 41¢ $-4 $-0 05-30 00:18
Unit FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -9 $-3 37¢ $-3 +$0 06-25 09:35
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -44 $-2 $-3 $-1 06-25 09:00
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027? Yes -14 $1 22¢ $-3 $-4 06-30 01:54
Hurupay FDV above $30M one day after launch? Yes -55 $-1 $-3 $-2 06-29 12:04
Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +178 $2 $3 +$1 06-30 08:42
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-3 81¢ $-3 +$0 06-24 13:38
Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes -29 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-25 22:30
Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-24 13:42
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? Yes -22 $-4 10¢ $-2 +$1 06-06 19:45
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $0 11¢ $2 +$2 06-29 02:30
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No -2 $-3 92¢ $-2 +$1 06-24 13:46
Will SZA have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes -5 $-0 42¢ $-2 $-2 06-24 14:24
Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +5 $2 42¢ $2 +$1 06-28 19:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $63 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-24 16:37
Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -9 $-2 20¢ $-2 +$0 06-10 09:13