Will the Republican Party win the TX-16 House seat?
No won
Total volume
$7,383
Trades
197
Unique wallets
57
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-05-06
last 11-04 03:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.4¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $6.5K
vs crowd: 8% YES on $7.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 26 | $263 | $6.3K | $6.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $236 | $49 | +$187 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $38 | $73 | $35 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $1 | $88 | $87 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 12 | $211 | $6.2K | $6.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 2 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 4 | $2 | $157 | $155 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $55 | — | +$55 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $43 | $59 | $16 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 19 | $227 | $25 | +$201 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | +5,563 | $5,256 | $5,256 | 7 | 09-17 17:26 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | +5,059 | $196 | $196 | 32 | 09-19 15:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cfe…86a0 | Yes | +550 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 11-04 03:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c71…3f1a | No | +354 | $354 | $354 | 1 | 11-04 03:40 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +320 | $3 | $3 | 13 | 10-29 04:42 |
| Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | No | +245 | $244 | $244 | 2 | 11-04 02:09 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +200 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-07 11:44 |
| Short-Convention 0x6a88…b859 | No | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 11-04 02:09 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +106 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 10-31 23:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 11-04 02:09 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | +97 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-03 22:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c52…0d84 | No | +90 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 10-29 04:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xe210…63ff | No | +70 | $69 | $69 | 3 | 11-01 00:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xf94d…cfe1 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-04 03:40 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +47 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-31 18:59 |
| Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | +35 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 09-17 17:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-24 21:57 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +27 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 07-31 04:04 |
| Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | +26 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-01 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc5b…750c | Yes | +25 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-04 02:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-04 02:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-17 17:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-01 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 09-17 17:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-04 03:40 |
| Thorough-Faith 0x36a9…c1d3 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-04 02:21 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $4 | 2 | 11-03 22:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-04 03:40:07 | (anonymous) 0x6cfe…86a0 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc401ac… |
| 11-04 03:40:07 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc401ac… |
| 11-04 03:40:07 | (anonymous) 0x8c71…3f1a | No | BUY | 354 | 100¢ | $354 | 0xc401ac… |
| 11-04 03:40:07 | (anonymous) 0xf94d…cfe1 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc401ac… |
| 11-04 02:21:01 | Thorough-Faith 0x36a9…c1d3 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x150772… |
| 11-04 02:21:01 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x150772… |
| 11-04 02:09:48 | Short-Convention 0x6a88…b859 | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0xbef579… |
| 11-04 02:09:48 | (anonymous) 0x6cfe…86a0 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbef579… |
| 11-04 02:09:45 | (anonymous) 0x6cfe…86a0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdb96c8… |
| 11-04 02:09:45 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdb96c8… |
| 11-04 02:09:45 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | No | BUY | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0xdb96c8… |
| 11-04 02:09:40 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x36985c… |
| 11-04 02:09:40 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x36985c… |
| 11-04 02:09:40 | (anonymous) 0xdc5b…750c | Yes | BUY | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x36985c… |
| 11-04 02:09:40 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $199 | 0x36985c… |
| 11-04 02:09:40 | (anonymous) 0x6cfe…86a0 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x36985c… |
| 11-03 22:48:54 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | BUY | 97 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xed4fce… |
| 11-03 22:48:54 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 97 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xed4fce… |
| 11-01 23:57:34 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x42ef17… |
| 11-01 23:57:34 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x42ef17… |
| 11-01 23:57:34 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x42ef17… |
| 11-01 00:23:58 | (anonymous) 0xe210…63ff | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x382582… |
| 11-01 00:23:58 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x382582… |
| 10-31 23:54:58 | (anonymous) 0xe210…63ff | No | BUY | 57 | 98¢ | $56 | 0x587520… |
| 10-31 23:54:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x587520… |
| 10-31 18:59:09 | (anonymous) 0xe210…63ff | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x298c47… |
| 10-31 18:59:09 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x298c47… |
| 10-29 04:42:26 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc64d6d… |
| 10-29 04:42:26 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc64d6d… |
| 10-29 04:42:26 | (anonymous) 0x4c52…0d84 | No | BUY | 90 | 98¢ | $88 | 0xc64d6d… |
| 10-25 03:50:06 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 72 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x2afe5b… |
| 10-25 03:50:06 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 98 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x2afe5b… |
| 10-25 03:50:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2afe5b… |
| 10-25 03:50:06 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2afe5b… |
| 09-24 03:41:02 | (anonymous) 0x9a01…cd36 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x2f6ceb… |
| 09-24 03:41:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2f6ceb… |
| 09-19 21:28:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x62b784… |
| 09-19 21:28:08 | (anonymous) 0x9a14…1c26 | Yes | SELL | 102 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x62b784… |
| 09-19 21:28:08 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x62b784… |
| 09-19 15:33:59 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 254 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x31a479… |
| 09-19 15:33:59 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x31a479… |
| 09-19 15:33:59 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 204 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x31a479… |
| 09-19 15:33:48 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 269 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x1cf5cf… |
| 09-19 15:33:48 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 269 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x1cf5cf… |
| 09-19 15:33:35 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0805a1… |
| 09-19 15:33:35 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0805a1… |
| 09-19 15:14:45 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | SELL | 1,020 | 1¢ | $7 | 0x208353… |
| 09-19 15:14:45 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 1,020 | 1¢ | $7 | 0x208353… |
| 09-19 10:03:37 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd93945… |
| 09-19 10:03:37 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd93945… |
| 09-19 04:56:19 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0a9d2a… |
| 09-19 04:56:19 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0a9d2a… |
| 09-18 22:09:57 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe5dcec… |
| 09-18 22:09:57 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe5dcec… |
| 09-18 09:01:33 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5d6ad1… |
| 09-18 09:01:33 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5d6ad1… |
| 09-18 08:58:18 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x773129… |
| 09-18 08:58:18 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x773129… |
| 09-18 08:54:48 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9a93b1… |
| 09-18 08:54:48 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9a93b1… |
| 09-18 08:51:18 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4a0f99… |
| 09-18 08:51:18 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4a0f99… |
| 09-18 08:48:04 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfdee0b… |
| 09-18 08:48:04 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfdee0b… |
| 09-18 08:44:48 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x109f9c… |
| 09-18 08:44:48 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x109f9c… |
| 09-18 07:51:12 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x45e174… |
| 09-18 07:51:12 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x454068… |
| 09-18 07:51:12 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x45e174… |
| 09-18 07:51:12 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x454068… |
| 09-18 07:51:06 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x34e75e… |
| 09-18 07:51:06 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x34e75e… |
| 09-17 17:37:28 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2e4ce1… |
| 09-17 17:37:28 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2e4ce1… |
| 09-17 17:31:39 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x214a3b… |
| 09-17 17:31:39 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x214a3b… |
| 09-17 17:30:30 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x815355… |
| 09-17 17:30:30 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x815355… |
| 09-17 17:28:31 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | BUY | 51 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x35b17b… |
| 09-17 17:28:31 | (anonymous) 0xda00…61b4 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x35b17b… |
| 09-17 17:27:09 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x312bb2… |
| 09-17 17:27:09 | Incomparable-Zone-Birdbath 0x1e31…594b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x312bb2… |
| 09-17 17:27:06 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | BUY | 78 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xab6132… |
| 09-17 17:27:06 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 140 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xab6132… |
| 09-17 17:27:01 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | BUY | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x185563… |
| 09-17 17:27:01 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 38 | 97¢ | $37 | 0x992fdb… |
| 09-17 17:27:01 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 62 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x992fdb… |
| 09-17 17:27:01 | Fast-Macro 0x304b…a619 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x185563… |
| 09-17 17:27:01 | (anonymous) 0x375d…751f | Yes | SELL | 200 | 3¢ | $6 | 0x992fdb… |
| 09-17 17:27:01 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 62 | 97¢ | $60 | 0x185563… |
| 09-17 17:27:00 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbc9228… |
| 09-17 17:27:00 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbc9228… |
| 09-17 17:26:49 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x1c4d97… |
| 09-17 17:26:49 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 140 | 4¢ | $6 | 0x1c4d97… |
| 09-17 17:26:49 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x1c4d97… |
| 09-17 17:26:49 | (anonymous) 0xda00…61b4 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x1c4d97… |
| 09-17 17:26:49 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x80dcbe… |
| 09-17 17:26:49 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 2,134 | 96¢ | $2,044 | 0x1c4d97… |
| 09-17 17:26:49 | Fast-Macro 0x304b…a619 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x1c4d97… |
| 09-17 17:26:49 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x80dcbe… |