Realized P&L
-$374
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
0.4%
Resolved
255
Trades
1,556
lifetime
Volume
$52.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$152
17 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 06-15 04:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
46% 8% $-145
Crypto
35% 4% $-194
Sports
13% 7% $-33
Politics
5% 0% $-2
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 566 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +62 $60 96¢ $60 $-0 05-30 03:38
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? No +34 $24 88¢ $30 +$6 05-30 04:47
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +16 $16 97¢ $16 $-0 05-28 22:41
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes +14 $11 91¢ $13 +$2 05-28 22:41
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027? No +11 $11 96¢ $11 +$0 05-28 22:44
Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +9 $8 90¢ $8 $-0 05-28 01:12
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 05-28 22:40
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 05-29 01:53
Will Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2027? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 05-29 01:35
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 05-28 22:37
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 71¢ $1 +$0 05-29 07:06
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 05-29 01:42
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 05-30 02:49
Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $-0 05-30 04:01
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? Yes +2 $1 50¢ $1 $-0 05-29 07:06
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 $-0 05-30 04:01
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +1 $1 58¢ $1 $-0 05-29 01:40