Realized P&L
-$374
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
0.4%
Resolved
255
Trades
1,556
lifetime
Volume
$52.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$241
23 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 06-15 04:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
46% 8% $-145
Crypto
35% 4% $-194
Sports
13% 7% $-33
Politics
5% 0% $-2
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 566 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +58 $56 99¢ $57 +$1 05-30 03:44
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +62 $60 90¢ $56 $-5 05-30 03:38
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? No +34 $24 74¢ $25 +$1 05-30 04:47
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +30 $21 72¢ $22 +$0 05-31 18:45
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +16 $16 98¢ $16 +$0 05-28 22:41
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes +14 $11 89¢ $13 +$2 05-28 22:41
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027? No +11 $11 96¢ $11 +$0 05-28 22:44
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? No +11 $11 96¢ $11 +$0 05-28 22:39
Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +9 $8 92¢ $8 $-0 05-28 01:12
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 05-28 23:07
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 05-28 22:40
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 05-29 01:53
Will Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2027? No +2 $2 93¢ $2 $-0 05-29 01:35
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 05-28 22:37
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +2 $1 62¢ $1 $-0 05-29 01:42
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? Yes +2 $1 52¢ $1 $-0 05-29 07:06
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 05-30 02:49
Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 05-30 03:26
Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $-0 05-30 04:01
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 60¢ $1 $-0 05-29 07:06
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 05-30 04:01
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +1 $1 58¢ $1 $-0 05-29 01:40
Will Russia capture Prymorske by June 30, 2026? Yes +35 $1 $0 $-1 05-29 01:35