Realized P&L
-$2.18K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.41K
Hit rate
29.2%
Resolved
1,578
Trades
6,560
lifetime
Volume
$256.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$10.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 08-11 23:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 138 days
Categories
Other
49% 27% -$1,685
Sports
18% 27% -$744
Politics
16% 40% +$250
Crypto
16% 19% +$44
Tech
1% 46% -$50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +870 $852 99¢ $860 +$7 05-25 08:32
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? No +677 $427 75¢ $508 +$81 05-25 08:53
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +450 $414 96¢ $433 +$19 05-25 08:14
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +429 $381 98¢ $419 +$38 05-25 08:46
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +425 $416 98¢ $418 +$2 05-25 05:41
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +421 $404 98¢ $411 +$7 05-25 08:59
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +423 $409 96¢ $404 -$5 05-25 08:33
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +421 $409 95¢ $400 -$9 05-25 08:34
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No +404 $105 98¢ $397 +$292 05-24 21:58
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +410 $369 94¢ $387 +$19 05-25 08:17
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +395 $375 96¢ $378 +$3 05-28 22:40
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +353 $346 99¢ $350 +$4 05-25 08:36
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +351 $344 99¢ $348 +$5 05-25 08:35
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +355 $257 96¢ $342 +$85 05-25 08:30
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +331 $326 100¢ $331 +$5 05-25 08:34
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +401 $313 82¢ $331 +$18 05-25 08:29
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? No +328 $318 99¢ $323 +$5 05-25 07:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +327 $150 94¢ $307 +$156 05-25 08:07
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,972 $87 16¢ $307 +$219 05-25 08:00
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,421 $117 9¢ $306 +$189 05-24 21:56
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +323 $303 94¢ $302 -$2 05-25 08:40
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +314 $313 92¢ $288 -$24 05-25 08:33
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +268 $252 98¢ $264 +$12 05-25 08:49
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No +266 $252 99¢ $264 +$12 05-25 06:02
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +277 $268 91¢ $252 -$16 05-30 03:45
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +253 $148 100¢ $252 +$104 05-25 03:43
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +250 $87 97¢ $243 +$156 05-25 05:35
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No +244 $233 98¢ $240 +$7 05-25 07:12
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? No +243 $221 96¢ $232 +$11 05-25 10:31
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +223 $216 99¢ $221 +$5 05-25 08:23