Realized P&L
-$1.93K
Unrealized P&L
+$220
Hit rate
34.6%
Resolved
7,293
Trades
15,056
lifetime
Volume
$281.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$8.78K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 10-29 03:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 198 days
Categories
Other
52% 74% -$1,398
Politics
37% 18% -$211
Sports
4% 55% -$105
Crypto
4% 66% -$212
Tech
3% 25% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 184 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +992 $750 74¢ $729 -$21 10-27 00:52
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +442 $426 97¢ $427 +$0 10-28 07:16
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +420 $128 100¢ $418 +$290 10-27 15:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +460 $370 82¢ $375 +$5 10-26 03:13
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +523 $368 70¢ $369 +$1 10-26 04:30
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +400 $358 92¢ $366 +$8 10-26 20:50
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +456 $326 80¢ $363 +$37 10-27 06:15
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +560 $391 62¢ $350 -$41 10-26 07:17
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +360 $293 86¢ $308 +$15 10-26 19:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +560 $426 55¢ $305 -$120 10-26 21:55
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +300 $302 98¢ $294 -$7 10-27 08:43
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +300 $276 92¢ $278 +$2 10-24 11:53
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +400 $302 68¢ $270 -$32 10-25 10:20
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +992 $258 26¢ $263 +$5 10-27 00:52
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +300 $236 86¢ $257 +$20 10-27 18:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +260 $271 98¢ $255 -$16 10-28 15:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +560 $168 46¢ $255 +$87 10-26 21:55
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +400 $257 64¢ $254 -$3 10-26 21:23
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +400 $254 62¢ $246 -$8 10-26 13:01
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +358 $250 66¢ $235 -$15 10-28 17:28
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +256 $241 92¢ $234 -$6 10-23 12:19
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +400 $181 58¢ $231 +$50 10-26 23:50
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +400 $300 56¢ $226 -$74 10-28 08:32
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +296 $221 74¢ $218 -$3 10-25 18:01
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +300 $233 72¢ $218 -$16 10-28 03:03
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +260 $216 82¢ $212 -$5 10-26 02:23
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +560 $174 38¢ $210 +$36 10-26 07:17
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +248 $148 84¢ $207 +$59 10-26 12:17
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +300 $237 69¢ $207 -$30 10-28 19:41
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +222 $200 92¢ $205 +$5 10-26 18:04