Fast-Macro — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.7%

Resolved

Trades

3,811

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 05-28 03:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

49% 9% $-4

Crypto

41% — —

Politics

5% 0% $-7

Sports

5% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 596 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	10	$211	226	226	+0	open	—	05-24 08:40
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 28?	4	$187	100	100	+0	open	—	04-28 08:09
lol jdg omg 2026 03 31	3	$121	68	68	+0	open	—	03-31 12:47
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?	4	$121	65	65	+0	open	—	04-27 08:38
Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 31?	4	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	05-03 05:49
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 27?	2	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	04-27 02:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	2	$87	50	50	+0	open	—	05-28 03:08
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	4	$84	100	100	+0	Yes	$-2	04-26 04:30
lol jdg omg 2026 03 31 game2	9	$82	110	50	+60	open	—	03-31 12:01
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 30?	2	$75	50	50	+0	open	—	04-30 02:53
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	4	$74	100	100	+0	open	—	05-11 05:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$72	50	50	+0	open	—	04-30 02:38
lol hle1 bro2 2026 04 01	11	$67	59	58	+0	open	—	03-29 11:18
eth updown 15m 1770435900	8	$66	68	67	+1	open	—	02-07 03:51
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	2	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	05-09 02:01
wta eala noskova 2026 03 10	3	$65	40	40	+0	open	—	03-11 05:25
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	2	$64	50	50	+0	open	—	05-05 07:22
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	2	$64	40	40	+0	open	—	05-09 09:42
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 30?	2	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	04-30 02:40
lol foxy hle 2026 03 30 game2	8	$61	60	30	+30	open	—	03-30 08:31
lol t1 kt 2026 04 01 game2	5	$61	95	0	+95	open	—	04-01 11:25
will bilibili gaming gaming win the lpl 2026 split 1 playoffs	2	$61	35	35	+0	open	—	03-08 15:39
atp gentzsc nestero 2026 03 11	8	$58	46	46	+0	open	—	03-12 10:47
cs2 aur1 mglz 2026 03 27	3	$58	76	41	+36	open	—	03-27 13:47
cs2 mglz wc1 2026 04 07	2	$58	31	30	+0	open	—	04-07 10:54
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 30?	2	$56	50	50	+0	open	—	04-30 03:25
cs2 prv wc1 2026 04 08	2	$56	30	30	+0	open	—	04-08 15:37
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$55	50	50	+0	open	—	04-26 04:49
lol blg we 2026 03 31 game1	2	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	03-31 09:31
wta keys kartal 2026 03 09	7	$54	58	29	+29	open	—	03-10 02:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 03:15:06	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	13	65¢	$9	0xbdbffc…
05-28 03:13:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	13	65¢	$9	0xdef63e…
05-28 03:12:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x1cbd75…
05-28 03:12:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x30a1b9…
05-28 03:08:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x503110…
05-28 03:08:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xd8d3fb…
05-24 12:56:17	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0x3a148b…
05-24 08:46:19	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x4794a6…
05-24 08:40:14	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x18722b…
05-24 08:39:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x3d7f8d…
05-24 08:32:39	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x053645…
05-24 08:32:30	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe637bc…
05-24 08:29:42	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x436f8a…
05-24 07:54:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	50	39¢	$19	0x68de40…
05-24 07:54:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0x657ff6…
05-24 07:54:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xf564b2…
05-24 07:54:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xe88f52…
05-24 07:45:01	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0x130455…
05-24 07:44:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	26	40¢	$11	0x27bc98…
05-24 07:36:02	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0xcc6e0f…
05-24 07:35:57	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xca8825…
05-15 01:21:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xd081d7…
05-15 01:21:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x7131f5…
05-11 05:55:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0xbb8c0d…
05-11 05:52:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x9acadf…
05-11 04:53:25	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x11072e…
05-11 04:50:16	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x66285e…
05-11 02:39:13	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	45¢	$18	0x526b5b…
05-11 02:39:11	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xafcc67…
05-10 11:58:56	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xc94e21…
05-10 11:57:04	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xea4a54…
05-10 10:51:55	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x973ae2…
05-10 10:51:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xc456d4…
05-10 10:45:33	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x530c38…
05-10 10:45:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xa2a5f1…
05-09 12:23:18	Will Applied Materials' Semiconductor Systems revenue be above $5.7B in Q2?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xd71e54…
05-09 12:23:04	Will Applied Materials' Semiconductor Systems revenue be above $5.7B in Q2?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x2ddc62…
05-09 09:42:20	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	No	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0xf3468c…
05-09 09:42:18	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	No	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x96ae01…
05-09 02:23:21	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x499b42…
05-09 02:23:17	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xfe51e4…
05-09 02:01:06	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0xcf3939…
05-09 02:00:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xf8f81a…
05-08 09:30:26	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x388a26…
05-08 09:29:14	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xd2ac0f…
05-08 04:35:33	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	Yes	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x04da63…
05-08 04:35:32	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xe40118…
05-08 04:01:19	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x974834…
05-08 04:00:14	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xba2b01…
05-08 02:51:10	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x11973c…
05-08 02:50:02	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xa66062…
05-07 13:32:28	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x9cde58…
05-07 13:31:55	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xab1813…
05-06 15:53:09	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x956e7c…
05-06 15:51:45	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x25166c…
05-06 10:18:00	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xb3afce…
05-06 10:17:42	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xe34c3e…
05-06 10:14:22	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x2cbd11…
05-06 10:13:20	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	No	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x4509d3…
05-06 09:13:10	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xb31dcc…
05-06 09:08:44	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x5104e8…
05-06 05:35:22	Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xc9cb0d…
05-06 05:34:44	Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x2e2277…
05-06 05:06:24	Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x599914…
05-06 05:05:20	Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x860105…
05-06 02:52:18	Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x129b78…
05-06 02:51:52	Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe56011…
05-06 01:40:12	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x2bd997…
05-06 01:38:30	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xa81492…
05-05 12:37:48	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xeef9c8…
05-05 12:37:26	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xdfd856…
05-05 07:22:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0x20d30c…
05-05 07:20:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x1e2c96…
05-05 06:25:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x62bfcd…
05-05 06:24:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xef2add…
05-05 05:44:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x9386fc…
05-05 05:43:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xd04581…
05-05 04:14:22	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	No	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x3c03ac…
05-05 04:13:10	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x11dd4d…
05-05 02:58:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0x5c4bed…
05-05 02:57:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x97eef7…
05-05 02:22:44	Will Alex Consani be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x47706e…
05-05 02:11:48	Will Beyoncé be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd62671…
05-05 02:03:34	Will Nicole Kidman be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x12e982…
05-05 02:03:08	Will Zoë Kravitz be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x590615…
05-05 02:02:26	Will Nicole Kidman be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x7257bf…
05-05 02:02:08	Will Alex Consani be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x862bd6…
05-05 01:43:30	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x29d3ab…
05-05 01:42:58	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xf76d7d…
05-04 08:15:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x546f7a…
05-04 08:15:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xaef15a…
05-03 11:23:00	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x2f009c…
05-03 11:22:02	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x096266…
05-03 11:21:20	Will Zoominfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x8c09f6…
05-03 11:20:34	Will Zoominfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x39d02e…
05-03 08:56:42	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xbee6fb…
05-03 08:55:22	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xfb82b0…
05-03 08:13:38	Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0xb3b763…
05-03 08:10:50	Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xfe36c5…
05-03 07:19:42	Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0x69f7e8…