Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$72

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

Trades

226

lifetime

Volume

$7.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$862

16 positions

First seen

2026-10-25

last 11-06 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

49% 58% -$4

Politics

47% 67% -$69

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

1% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?	No	+200	$179	96¢	$193	+$14	11-04 11:02
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?	No	+212	$164	82¢	$173	+$9	11-05 07:39
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	No	+144	$128	92¢	$132	+$4	10-27 16:36
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?	No	+90	$77	100¢	$90	+$12	11-04 04:20
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+197	$81	44¢	$87	+$5	11-04 00:57
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	+205	$91	32¢	$65	-$26	11-05 06:47
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+148	$56	40¢	$60	+$4	11-06 06:21
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	+24	$20	89¢	$21	+$2	10-27 18:19
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	Yes	+202	$25	7¢	$14	-$11	11-03 01:46
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+25	$13	55¢	$14	+$1	10-31 10:42
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	Yes	+95	$6	7¢	$7	+$1	10-31 06:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?	Yes	+118	$4	3¢	$3	$0	11-06 04:10
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	+51	$17	3¢	$1	-$16	10-31 03:17
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	+37	$1	4¢	$1	+$0	11-03 13:24
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+41	$2	3¢	$1	-$1	11-03 23:30
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	Yes	+10	$3	2¢	$0	-$3	10-29 04:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republican Party win the MN-03 House seat?	2	$290	150	150	+0	No	-$5	10-29 13:06
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?	2	$236	155	155	+0	open	—	11-02 02:26
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	3	$194	110	110	+0	No	+$26	10-30 22:55
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	4	$179	335	130	+205	open	—	11-05 06:47
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?	1	$179	200	0	+200	open	—	11-04 11:02
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-03 House seat?	1	$168	170	0	+170	No	+$2	10-30 05:10
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?	6	$164	212	0	+212	open	—	11-05 07:39
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of October 2026?	1	$160	170	0	+170	open	—	10-30 04:16
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 6% or more?	2	$158	85	85	+0	open	—	11-02 18:33
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 0%-3%?	3	$149	81	81	+0	open	—	11-01 03:46
Will the Republican Party win the NY-25 House seat?	1	$148	150	0	+150	No	+$2	10-28 07:34
Will the Republican Party win the NY-13 House seat?	1	$147	150	0	+150	No	+$3	10-27 16:49
Will the Republican Party win the VA-03 House seat?	1	$147	150	0	+150	No	+$3	10-28 19:25
Will the Republican Party win the IL-03 House seat?	1	$145	148	0	+148	No	+$3	10-27 16:35
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?	2	$145	150	0	+150	No	+$6	10-28 03:31
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	4	$142	95	95	+0	open	—	10-27 18:05
Will the Republican Party win the NY-16 House seat?	2	$141	72	72	+0	No	-$1	10-26 01:17
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-03 House seat?	1	$140	145	0	+145	No	+$5	10-28 07:03
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 0%-3%?	2	$138	85	85	+0	open	—	11-02 18:33
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 6% or more?	3	$131	70	70	+0	open	—	11-01 03:46
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	2	$128	144	0	+144	open	—	10-27 16:36
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more?	2	$117	65	65	+0	open	—	11-04 17:40
Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	2	$117	60	60	+0	Yes	+$0	11-02 12:46
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 9%-12%?	2	$114	66	66	+0	open	—	11-04 17:40
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	1	$112	115	0	+115	Yes	+$3	10-28 09:15
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 6% or more?	5	$107	90	30	+60	open	—	10-31 03:17
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 3%-6%?	2	$99	66	66	+0	open	—	11-04 17:40
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 260M by October 30, 2026?	1	$98	100	0	+100	No	+$2	10-31 04:27
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-09 House seat?	1	$93	95	0	+95	No	+$2	10-31 13:42
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	2	$91	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	10-28 19:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 18:54:01	Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?	No	SELL	660	0¢	$1	0x0ad434…
11-06 18:46:51	Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?	No	SELL	950	0¢	$3	0x931462…
11-06 06:21:58	Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x8164fb…
11-06 06:07:28	Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	38¢	$36	0xbfb712…
11-06 06:06:27	Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?	No	BUY	660	2¢	$11	0x20ce29…
11-06 06:06:16	Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?	No	BUY	950	1¢	$10	0x6f1d55…
11-06 04:10:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	88	3¢	$3	0x0cf1aa…
11-05 18:53:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0x153d87…
11-05 12:59:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	22¢	$5	0x99c866…
11-05 07:39:16	Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?	No	BUY	28	84¢	$24	0x0652aa…
11-05 06:47:58	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	44	52¢	$23	0xd91e11…
11-05 06:47:21	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	161	52¢	$84	0xb3281d…
11-04 17:40:43	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 3%-6%?	No	SELL	66	75¢	$50	0x4173c9…
11-04 17:40:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more?	No	SELL	65	96¢	$62	0xf6ade3…
11-04 17:40:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 9%-12%?	No	SELL	66	84¢	$56	0x1bf7cf…
11-04 11:02:06	Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$179	0x045ded…
11-04 07:01:13	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x8e9c85…
11-04 04:20:12	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 8%-12%?	No	BUY	75	91¢	$68	0xa59f14…
11-04 04:20:10	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?	No	BUY	75	86¢	$64	0x9bea41…
11-04 04:20:00	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x52ab3f…
11-04 04:20:00	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 8%-12%?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x3ab3b2…
11-04 04:20:00	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$13	0x274cb7…
11-04 04:10:42	Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	195	20¢	$39	0xd9083b…
11-04 04:10:31	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	108	1¢	$1	0xc30f6f…
11-04 02:03:25	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	32	41¢	$13	0x4cdd60…
11-04 01:59:42	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	173	38¢	$66	0xfc08e6…
11-04 01:48:07	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	108	7¢	$8	0x023c50…
11-04 01:05:04	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	66	88¢	$59	0xa47519…
11-04 01:05:04	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	65	84¢	$54	0x9f89be…
11-04 01:05:04	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	67	39¢	$26	0x7ba173…
11-04 01:05:04	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	66	75¢	$50	0x181f7b…
11-04 00:57:03	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	41¢	$71	0x34526f…
11-03 23:30:40	Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x723a7c…
11-03 13:24:45	Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xf15790…
11-03 07:04:07	Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?	No	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x10027f…
11-03 01:46:28	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x5773a4…
11-02 20:28:07	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	Yes	BUY	49	12¢	$6	0x61bf7c…
11-02 18:33:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 6% or more?	No	SELL	85	92¢	$79	0xab3dad…
11-02 18:33:27	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-16 House seat?	Yes	SELL	86	28¢	$24	0x0a9fd3…
11-02 18:33:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 0%-3%?	No	SELL	85	82¢	$70	0x0663e3…
11-02 12:46:04	Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x88f2f2…
11-02 05:40:43	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	Yes	BUY	33	13¢	$4	0xdd2ea2…
11-02 05:23:27	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	Yes	BUY	34	13¢	$4	0xcfc3de…
11-02 04:52:31	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	13¢	$5	0xb67f6e…
11-02 02:26:31	Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	155	29¢	$45	0x516390…
11-02 02:26:31	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	155	74¢	$115	0x0a612c…
11-02 02:23:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?	No	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0xecbbba…
11-02 02:23:03	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x768f01…
11-01 04:06:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xe56e3a…
11-01 04:06:27	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xa5fb05…
11-01 03:47:00	Will the Republican Party win the PA-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	81	12¢	$10	0x8285fb…
11-01 03:46:58	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 6% or more?	No	SELL	70	97¢	$68	0xf84ee0…
11-01 03:46:58	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 0%-3%?	No	SELL	81	92¢	$75	0x3bca9d…
10-31 13:42:42	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-09 House seat?	No	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0xb13089…
10-31 13:42:42	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x3c1d1f…
10-31 10:42:04	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x95b2be…
10-31 10:42:04	Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x32914c…
10-31 08:59:04	Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x54451b…
10-31 08:58:55	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 3%-6%?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x6e1c88…
10-31 08:58:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 6%-9%?	No	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x8446e4…
10-31 08:58:39	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 0%-3%?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xb92277…
10-31 06:13:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xd19ae8…
10-31 06:07:57	Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	73	6¢	$4	0x367e1d…
10-31 06:03:57	Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x1da095…
10-31 04:27:57	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd6ceb4…
10-31 04:27:57	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 260M by October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x6412b9…
10-31 03:46:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd28f7a…
10-31 03:46:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xc90407…
10-31 03:46:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xa6eb03…
10-31 03:46:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x682178…
10-31 03:46:42	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x57bbe5…
10-31 03:17:22	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 6% or more?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xef0fc9…
10-31 03:17:22	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x74bdeb…
10-31 03:17:22	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x1ed4fa…
10-31 03:17:22	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x1c40ae…
10-31 02:25:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-07 House election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x980d57…
10-31 02:25:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-07 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4ec4c4…
10-31 02:25:40	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x1e33f5…
10-31 02:25:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-07 House election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x14645d…
10-31 02:25:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-07 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0d8be0…
10-31 02:25:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-07 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x03afeb…
10-31 01:23:40	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0xcd00d4…
10-31 01:23:40	Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x7ac923…
10-31 01:23:40	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 3% or more?	No	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0x08c6b1…
10-30 23:58:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xdf4153…
10-30 23:58:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x9bef48…
10-30 23:58:40	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?	No	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x945c82…
10-30 23:58:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x6fec56…
10-30 23:58:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x6430f5…
10-30 23:58:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x44dc9e…
10-30 22:55:30	Will the Republican Party win the FL-20 House seat?	No	BUY	85	98¢	$83	0xa216dc…
10-30 22:55:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election?	Yes	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0x002e2f…
10-30 22:55:21	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x4bc60f…
10-30 22:55:12	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	110	0¢	$0	0x1604e7…
10-30 14:30:19	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0xf34094…
10-30 14:30:19	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	79¢	$47	0x8bbeac…
10-30 14:24:52	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x0ecc11…
10-30 14:24:51	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xddb6b7…
10-30 12:03:09	Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?	No	SELL	36	91¢	$33	0xfefb20…
10-30 05:10:27	Will the Democratic Party win the OK-03 House seat?	No	BUY	170	99¢	$168	0x7ffcad…