Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?
open
Total volume
$214
$44 in 24h
Trades
37
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$2,609
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
85¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-01 21:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $9 | $21 | $11 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $1 | $20 | $19 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $5 | $36 | $30 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $13 | $13 |
| Median | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 3 | $4 | $38 | $34 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $5 | $4 | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 7 | $3 | $35 | $31 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bewitched-Merchant 0xb253…2d38 | No | +25 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 07-01 10:08 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-01 21:05 |
| Clear-Aspic 0x24ae…202d | No | +18 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-01 22:25 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +16 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-29 19:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | +13 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-30 23:41 |
| Aromatic-Carter 0xde28…2115 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-02 13:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ad0…c718 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-01 21:05 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 16:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-29 19:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x9381…8059 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 08:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 21:05:31 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x892381… |
| 07-01 21:05:31 | (anonymous) 0x2ad0…c718 | No | BUY | 8 | 80¢ | $6 | 0x892381… |
| 07-01 10:08:01 | Bewitched-Merchant 0xb253…2d38 | No | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0xdc0907… |
| 07-01 10:08:01 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xdc0907… |
| 06-30 23:41:22 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x04530f… |
| 06-30 23:41:22 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | Yes | SELL | 13 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x04530f… |
| 06-30 23:39:25 | Bewitched-Merchant 0xb253…2d38 | No | BUY | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0x77af9a… |
| 06-30 23:39:25 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | Yes | BUY | 13 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x77af9a… |
| 06-29 19:19:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 16 | 80¢ | $13 | 0x0d28b5… |
| 06-29 19:19:52 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 21 | 80¢ | $17 | 0x0d28b5… |
| 06-29 19:19:52 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x0d28b5… |
| 06-29 16:40:02 | (anonymous) 0xbf59…f2b8 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xecce41… |
| 06-29 16:40:02 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0xecce41… |
| 06-29 16:40:02 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | SELL | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0xecce41… |
| 06-28 17:23:25 | (anonymous) 0xbf59…f2b8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0xacbfa6… |
| 06-28 17:23:25 | Heavenly-Switch 0x118a…457e | No | SELL | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xacbfa6… |
| 06-25 08:28:13 | (anonymous) 0x9381…8059 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0xcc0ca0… |
| 06-25 08:28:13 | Heavenly-Switch 0x118a…457e | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xcc0ca0… |
| 06-16 20:17:22 | (anonymous) 0x3057…bf7b | No | SELL | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x3ef59d… |
| 06-16 20:17:22 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | SELL | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x3ef59d… |
| 06-16 15:30:50 | (anonymous) 0x3057…bf7b | No | BUY | 7 | 77¢ | $6 | 0xe2c921… |
| 06-16 15:30:50 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | SELL | 7 | 77¢ | $6 | 0xe2c921… |
| 06-13 10:37:40 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x429ab0… |
| 06-13 10:37:40 | (anonymous) 0xa8a0…d5a0 | No | SELL | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0x429ab0… |
| 06-13 10:30:13 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | SELL | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x25644b… |
| 06-13 10:30:13 | (anonymous) 0xa8a0…d5a0 | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x25644b… |
| 06-02 13:50:54 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 11 | 79¢ | $9 | 0x804b1a… |
| 06-02 13:50:54 | Aromatic-Carter 0xde28…2115 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x804b1a… |
| 06-01 22:25:02 | Clear-Aspic 0x24ae…202d | No | BUY | 18 | 78¢ | $14 | 0x0d42d0… |
| 06-01 22:25:02 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 18 | 78¢ | $14 | 0x0d42d0… |
| 05-30 22:07:11 | (anonymous) 0xbf59…f2b8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xc4c200… |
| 05-30 22:07:11 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xc4c200… |
| 05-30 16:40:38 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xb313a9… |
| 05-30 16:40:38 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | BUY | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xb313a9… |
| 05-29 15:04:04 | Slight-Ferry 0x6bfe…bfb7 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 19¢ | $7 | 0x8977b6… |
| 05-29 15:04:04 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x8977b6… |
| 05-29 15:04:04 | Compassionate-Lawsuit 0x8df7…36c4 | No | SELL | 29 | 81¢ | $24 | 0x8977b6… |