Downright-Website 0x836ffd…e6906e
whale hot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$42.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.20K
Hit rate
93.1%
Resolved
483
Trades
6,801
lifetime
Volume
$3.12M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$458
Open exposure
$197.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 10-28 00:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 123 days
Categories
Other
52% 94% +$29,840
Politics
47% 89% +$12,302
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$313
Sports
0% 91% +$35
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 172 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
kharg island no longer under iranian control by october 31 No +34,496 $33,667 100¢ $34.3K +$674 10-27 02:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +35,705 $33,133 90¢ $32.3K -$821 10-27 17:12
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +14,959 $13,685 92¢ $13.7K +$2 10-23 06:56
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +11,318 $10,270 92¢ $10.4K +$86 10-26 12:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +9,578 $7,968 94¢ $9.0K +$988 10-27 16:22
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +8,000 $7,670 96¢ $7.7K +$42 10-15 16:12
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +7,135 $6,884 96¢ $6.8K -$44 10-28 01:16
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +6,459 $5,919 96¢ $6.2K +$295 10-27 13:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +6,107 $5,266 97¢ $5.9K +$658 10-14 05:24
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +5,727 $5,222 96¢ $5.5K +$304 10-27 08:28
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +5,210 $5,007 96¢ $5.0K +$18 10-14 08:31
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +5,184 $3,494 94¢ $4.9K +$1,405 10-27 07:26
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? No +4,905 $4,535 96¢ $4.7K +$198 10-27 08:03
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +4,782 $4,275 92¢ $4.4K +$148 10-11 05:24
us x yemen ceasefire continues through october 31 20260920 Yes +4,259 $3,743 98¢ $4.2K +$439 10-15 05:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +6,147 $3,805 64¢ $3.9K +$98 10-20 09:18
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,699 $3,565 97¢ $3.6K +$28 10-26 15:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +3,549 $3,359 98¢ $3.5K +$119 10-27 08:38
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +3,738 $3,289 92¢ $3.5K +$168 08-20 15:38
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -3,670 -$3,613 86¢ $-3156 +$457 10-27 08:35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +3,369 $3,167 94¢ $3.2K -$17 09-17 08:38
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +3,268 $3,066 94¢ $3.1K -$10 10-17 03:07
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,676 $2,576 96¢ $2.6K -$13 10-26 22:35
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +2,507 $2,417 97¢ $2.4K +$23 10-26 15:13
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +2,462 $2,345 96¢ $2.4K +$14 10-20 17:00
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2,369 $2,251 98¢ $2.3K +$72 09-17 08:37
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +2,391 $2,314 97¢ $2.3K +$4 10-16 06:52
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 Yes +6,084 $10,722 35¢ $2.1K -$8,584 10-16 14:06
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026? No +2,137 $2,090 100¢ $2.1K +$43 10-16 06:55
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +2,212 $2,112 96¢ $2.1K +$7 09-17 08:36