Realized P&L
+$871
Unrealized P&L
+$7.23K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,743
lifetime
Volume
$1.06M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$610
Open exposure
$97.8K
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 06-29 20:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
60% 100% +$30
Politics
40% 100% +$841
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +21,883 $19,164 100¢ $21.9K +$2,697 06-30 03:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +20,873 $19,632 100¢ $20.9K +$1,220 06-30 03:13
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +13,981 $12,750 100¢ $13.9K +$1,161 06-17 02:57
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +8,176 $7,331 100¢ $8.1K +$804 06-13 06:49
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +7,491 $6,940 100¢ $7.5K +$533 06-15 16:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +5,345 $5,255 100¢ $5.3K +$85 06-03 06:06
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +6,239 $4,780 84¢ $5.2K +$430 06-13 20:30
Trump out as President by June 30? No +4,317 $4,270 100¢ $4.3K +$43 06-01 16:30
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +3,794 $3,682 100¢ $3.8K +$108 06-11 13:34
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +2,887 $2,779 99¢ $2.8K +$68 06-27 13:31
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +2,028 $1,917 100¢ $2.0K +$102 06-08 13:36
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +991 $1,055 100¢ $990 $-65 06-18 00:59
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +760 $548 72¢ $548 $-0 06-02 10:04
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election? No +250 $247 100¢ $249 +$3 06-15 08:11
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No +265 $206 84¢ $222 +$16 06-06 05:14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No -92 $-121 100¢ $-92 +$29 06-30 03:12