Realized P&L
+$871
Unrealized P&L
+$180
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,034
lifetime
Volume
$625.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$605
Open exposure
$133.3K
13 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 06-09 16:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
59% 100% +$30
Politics
41% 100% +$841
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +83,395 $81,561 98¢ $82.0K +$458 06-08 06:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +15,497 $15,024 97¢ $15.0K $-7 06-08 11:25
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +10,475 $9,928 96¢ $10.0K +$91 06-09 01:56
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +7,556 $6,760 90¢ $6.8K +$41 06-04 05:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +5,345 $5,255 99¢ $5.3K +$39 06-03 06:06
Trump out as President by June 30? No +4,317 $4,270 99¢ $4.3K +$19 06-01 16:30
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +3,738 $2,803 72¢ $2.7K $-131 06-05 06:45
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +3,314 $2,877 74¢ $2.5K $-408 06-06 19:10
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +2,028 $1,917 96¢ $2.0K +$35 06-08 13:36
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +1,599 $1,542 98¢ $1.6K +$31 06-01 13:50
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +760 $548 73¢ $555 +$8 06-02 10:04
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026? Yes +434 $418 98¢ $426 +$8 06-06 05:13
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No +265 $206 76¢ $201 $-5 06-06 05:14