Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,054
$1,670 in 24h
Trades
127
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$3,723
Latest YES mid
38¢
Latest NO mid
62¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-06-01
last 07-03 12:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $72 | $184 | $111 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $56 | $150 | $94 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $32 | $13 | +$19 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $161 | $146 | +$15 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $70 | $63 | +$8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 2 | $14 | $1 | +$13 |
| Below median | 6 | $33 | $185 | $152 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $61 | $36 | +$25 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $17 | $49 | $31 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | $56 | $56 |
| unranked | 11 | $124 | $103 | +$21 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aromatic-Carter 0xde28…2115 | Yes | +151 | $53 | $53 | 6 | 07-02 19:19 |
| Bewitched-Merchant 0xb253…2d38 | No | +148 | $102 | $102 | 7 | 07-03 12:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x010d…d0e6 | Yes | +143 | $53 | $94 | 5 | 07-03 00:11 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +118 | $77 | $77 | 7 | 07-02 18:52 |
| Nice-Sweets 0x6413…556e | Yes | +88 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 06-29 19:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | +88 | $53 | $53 | 3 | 07-03 00:11 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +82 | $31 | $31 | 7 | 07-02 21:14 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +78 | $49 | $49 | 5 | 07-02 21:16 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +76 | $36 | $105 | 11 | 07-03 00:26 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | +76 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 06-17 01:35 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +61 | $39 | $39 | 5 | 06-25 23:13 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +50 | $26 | $26 | 3 | 06-22 20:17 |
| Smoggy-Antique 0xaab9…a08d | Yes | +34 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 07-03 12:11 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +29 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 06-25 23:13 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-22 20:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x3057…bf7b | No | +17 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-19 05:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f99…abc7 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-24 03:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xf125…49d5 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-27 23:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xa8a0…d5a0 | No | +5 | $6 | $17 | 2 | 06-13 10:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +4 | $-1 | $21 | 9 | 07-02 19:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | +3 | $0 | $6 | 2 | 06-13 20:30 |
| Shady-Pinstripe 0x9efa…9332 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-23 08:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $15 | 2 | 06-29 19:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 12:11:13 | Smoggy-Antique 0xaab9…a08d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x6a4e7f… |
| 07-03 12:11:13 | (anonymous) 0x7c19…cd48 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x6a4e7f… |
| 07-03 12:10:05 | Smoggy-Antique 0xaab9…a08d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x9231ed… |
| 07-03 12:10:05 | Bewitched-Merchant 0xb253…2d38 | No | BUY | 30 | 70¢ | $21 | 0x9231ed… |
| 07-03 12:10:05 | (anonymous) 0x7c19…cd48 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x9231ed… |
| 07-03 00:26:13 | Warm-Basement 0x4676…b720 | No | SELL | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0x2d4e32… |
| 07-03 00:26:13 | Bewitched-Merchant 0xb253…2d38 | No | BUY | 14 | 71¢ | $10 | 0x2d4e32… |
| 07-03 00:26:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x2d4e32… |
| 07-03 00:11:34 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | No | SELL | 7 | 60¢ | $4 | 0x02ec7e… |
| 07-03 00:11:34 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 7 | 60¢ | $4 | 0x02ec7e… |
| 07-03 00:11:10 | (anonymous) 0x010d…d0e6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 37¢ | $3 | 0x1789a3… |
| 07-03 00:11:10 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | No | BUY | 7 | 63¢ | $5 | 0x1789a3… |
| 07-02 21:16:14 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 18 | 61¢ | $11 | 0x4e09a5… |
| 07-02 21:16:14 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 61 | 60¢ | $37 | 0x4e09a5… |
| 07-02 21:16:14 | (anonymous) 0x010d…d0e6 | Yes | BUY | 79 | 40¢ | $32 | 0x4e09a5… |
| 07-02 21:14:32 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x17fb7d… |
| 07-02 21:14:32 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0x17fb7d… |
| 07-02 19:20:05 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 28¢ | $0 | 0xa764b1… |
| 07-02 19:20:05 | Warm-Basement 0x4676…b720 | No | SELL | 0 | 72¢ | $0 | 0xa764b1… |
| 07-02 19:20:04 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 37¢ | $0 | 0x9aee33… |
| 07-02 19:20:04 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | No | SELL | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x9aee33… |
| 07-02 19:20:04 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 19 | 60¢ | $11 | 0x9aee33… |
| 07-02 19:20:04 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | SELL | 0 | 38¢ | $0 | 0x9aee33… |
| 07-02 19:19:35 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | No | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0xee7735… |
| 07-02 19:19:35 | Aromatic-Carter 0xde28…2115 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0xee7735… |
| 07-02 19:12:56 | Aromatic-Carter 0xde28…2115 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 37¢ | $5 | 0x718444… |
| 07-02 19:12:56 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x718444… |
| 07-02 19:12:56 | Warm-Basement 0x4676…b720 | No | BUY | 8 | 63¢ | $5 | 0x718444… |
| 07-02 19:01:59 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xc1f33d… |
| 07-02 19:01:59 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xc1f33d… |
| 07-02 19:01:58 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | SELL | 19 | 38¢ | $7 | 0xc99910… |
| 07-02 19:01:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 37¢ | $12 | 0xc99910… |
| 07-02 19:01:58 | Aromatic-Carter 0xde28…2115 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 37¢ | $19 | 0xc99910… |
| 07-02 18:52:20 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0xeec5e2… |
| 07-02 18:52:20 | Aromatic-Carter 0xde28…2115 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0xeec5e2… |
| 07-02 17:21:47 | Aromatic-Carter 0xde28…2115 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x5dc611… |
| 07-02 17:21:47 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x5dc611… |
| 07-02 17:21:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 37¢ | $5 | 0x5dc611… |
| 07-02 16:39:13 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0xdbf5c1… |
| 07-02 16:39:13 | Aromatic-Carter 0xde28…2115 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 30¢ | $8 | 0xdbf5c1… |
| 07-02 16:39:13 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xdbf5c1… |
| 07-02 13:17:41 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x6ce819… |
| 07-02 13:17:41 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 6 | 68¢ | $4 | 0x6ce819… |
| 07-02 13:17:40 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 19 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x0c0a4b… |
| 07-02 13:17:40 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 12 | 68¢ | $8 | 0x0c0a4b… |
| 07-02 13:17:40 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x0c0a4b… |
| 07-02 13:02:07 | Bewitched-Merchant 0xb253…2d38 | No | BUY | 42 | 72¢ | $30 | 0x9ff30f… |
| 07-02 13:02:07 | Smoggy-Antique 0xaab9…a08d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x9ff30f… |
| 07-02 13:02:07 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x9ff30f… |
| 07-02 13:02:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x9ff30f… |
| 07-02 10:59:08 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x8fdd27… |
| 07-02 10:59:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x8fdd27… |
| 07-01 10:08:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x5c3605… |
| 07-01 10:08:28 | Bewitched-Merchant 0xb253…2d38 | No | BUY | 14 | 70¢ | $10 | 0x5c3605… |
| 07-01 10:06:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xd43b7e… |
| 07-01 10:06:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 4 | 63¢ | $2 | 0xd43b7e… |
| 07-01 10:06:43 | Bewitched-Merchant 0xb253…2d38 | No | BUY | 15 | 68¢ | $10 | 0xd43b7e… |
| 07-01 10:06:17 | Bewitched-Merchant 0xb253…2d38 | No | BUY | 17 | 63¢ | $11 | 0x51b9ee… |
| 07-01 10:06:17 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x51b9ee… |
| 07-01 10:06:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 13 | 63¢ | $8 | 0x51b9ee… |
| 06-30 23:39:02 | Bewitched-Merchant 0xb253…2d38 | No | BUY | 16 | 63¢ | $10 | 0xe1a4ed… |
| 06-30 23:39:02 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 16 | 37¢ | $6 | 0xe1a4ed… |
| 06-30 18:06:29 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 9 | 62¢ | $6 | 0x292be8… |
| 06-30 18:06:29 | (anonymous) 0x010d…d0e6 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 38¢ | $10 | 0x292be8… |
| 06-30 18:06:29 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 16 | 38¢ | $6 | 0x292be8… |
| 06-30 08:41:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x7d8f40… |
| 06-30 08:41:43 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x7d8f40… |
| 06-29 19:01:38 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 36¢ | $18 | 0xf9df14… |
| 06-29 19:01:38 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0xf9df14… |
| 06-29 19:01:38 | Nice-Sweets 0x6413…556e | Yes | BUY | 88 | 36¢ | $32 | 0xf9df14… |
| 06-29 19:01:38 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 37¢ | $7 | 0xf9df14… |
| 06-29 05:38:58 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 41¢ | $8 | 0x61e72d… |
| 06-29 05:38:58 | (anonymous) 0x010d…d0e6 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 41¢ | $11 | 0x61e72d… |
| 06-29 05:38:58 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x61e72d… |
| 06-28 20:19:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x4c85f2… |
| 06-28 20:19:52 | Heavenly-Switch 0x118a…457e | No | SELL | 1 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x4c85f2… |
| 06-27 23:42:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x14a5e9… |
| 06-27 23:42:50 | (anonymous) 0xf125…49d5 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x14a5e9… |
| 06-25 23:13:47 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | SELL | 16 | 41¢ | $6 | 0xbf2c27… |
| 06-25 23:13:47 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 9 | 58¢ | $5 | 0xbf2c27… |
| 06-25 23:13:47 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 60¢ | $30 | 0xbf2c27… |
| 06-25 23:13:47 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0xbf2c27… |
| 06-25 22:55:13 | (anonymous) 0x010d…d0e6 | Yes | BUY | 107 | 36¢ | $39 | 0x27f763… |
| 06-25 22:55:13 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x27f763… |
| 06-25 22:55:13 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 63¢ | $32 | 0x27f763… |
| 06-25 22:55:13 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 17 | 65¢ | $11 | 0x27f763… |
| 06-25 22:55:13 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0x27f763… |
| 06-25 21:50:22 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0xbc4ff8… |
| 06-25 21:50:22 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xbc4ff8… |
| 06-25 21:29:31 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x52e7c1… |
| 06-25 21:29:31 | (anonymous) 0xfc23…5a3d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x52e7c1… |
| 06-25 08:27:08 | Heavenly-Switch 0x118a…457e | No | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xcf91eb… |
| 06-25 08:27:08 | (anonymous) 0xfc23…5a3d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 30¢ | $0 | 0xcf91eb… |
| 06-24 21:30:22 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0x1288fb… |
| 06-24 21:30:22 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x1288fb… |
| 06-24 03:58:32 | (anonymous) 0x6f99…abc7 | No | BUY | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x0b2347… |
| 06-24 03:58:32 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x0b2347… |
| 06-23 15:07:20 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0x70393c… |
| 06-23 15:07:20 | Personal-Understanding 0xff34…e2c0 | No | SELL | 50 | 61¢ | $30 | 0x70393c… |
| 06-23 15:07:20 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0x70393c… |