Outstanding-Change 0xc03fd7…c1249d
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$747
Unrealized P&L
-$282
Hit rate
14.3%
Resolved
62
Trades
38,735
lifetime
Volume
$2.17M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$1.03K
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 07-20 20:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Politics
43% 33% $-177
Other
36% 18% $-420
Sports
11% 17% $-150
Crypto
8% — —
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -500 $-198 72¢ $-358 $-161 06-03 14:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -200 $-158 88¢ $-175 $-17 05-28 07:02
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic -200 $-128 86¢ $-171 $-43 06-16 09:52
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -187 $-76 66¢ $-124 $-48 07-20 00:03
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +80 $31 82¢ $65 +$34 07-06 22:41
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes -333 $-63 14¢ $-45 +$18 06-29 12:32
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +320 $55 12¢ $40 $-15 06-12 12:12
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +100 $89 34¢ $34 $-55 07-13 18:21
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +91 $5 11¢ $10 +$5 07-06 10:55
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? Yes -75 $-17 11¢ $-8 +$9 06-16 08:40
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +2 $9 70¢ $2 $-7 06-12 12:32
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +2 $2 22¢ $1 $-2 06-28 16:50
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +0 $0 29¢ $0 $-0 07-18 03:42
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +0 $-0 20¢ $0 +$0 06-15 15:09