Outstanding-Change 0xc03fd7…c1249d
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$747
Unrealized P&L
-$322
Hit rate
14.3%
Resolved
62
Trades
37,422
lifetime
Volume
$2.10M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$1.10K
20 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 06-30 22:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Politics
44% 33% $-177
Other
35% 18% $-420
Sports
11% 17% $-150
Crypto
8% — —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 489 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -500 $-198 70¢ $-348 $-150 06-03 14:45
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic -200 $-128 90¢ $-179 $-51 06-16 09:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -200 $-158 88¢ $-175 $-17 05-28 07:02
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -187 $-79 58¢ $-108 $-29 06-29 02:10
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +80 $31 74¢ $59 +$28 06-28 17:27
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +181 $62 32¢ $59 $-3 06-30 22:31
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes -333 $-63 15¢ $-48 +$15 06-29 12:32
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +100 $67 42¢ $42 $-25 06-24 20:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +320 $55 12¢ $40 $-15 06-12 12:12
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? Yes -75 $-17 32¢ $-24 $-7 06-16 08:40
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +100 $16 18¢ $18 +$2 06-15 05:21
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +3 $2 60¢ $2 $-0 06-27 06:08
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +2 $9 56¢ $1 $-8 06-12 12:32
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? No +3 $34 11¢ $0 $-34 06-29 06:43
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +2 $2 10¢ $0 $-2 06-28 16:50
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? Yes -113 $-6 0¢ $-0 +$6 05-30 17:06
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +0 $2 55¢ $0 $-2 06-24 11:59
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +0 $-0 30¢ $0 +$0 06-15 15:09
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +0 $32 0¢ $0 $-32 06-11 13:03
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +0 $-1 0¢ $0 +$1 06-27 18:57