Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$618

Unrealized P&L

+$23

Hit rate

50.2%

Resolved

326

Trades

2,772

lifetime

Volume

$18.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$1.75K

30 positions

First seen

2026-06-23

last 10-24 10:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

55% 41% +$372

Politics

36% 42% -$409

Sports

9% 20% -$580

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	+259	$243	93¢	$240	-$4	10-21 01:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+246	$89	82¢	$203	+$114	10-12 16:23
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	+148	$56	58¢	$86	+$29	10-08 21:14
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+422	$87	19¢	$81	-$5	10-04 09:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	+140	$49	57¢	$81	+$32	08-25 20:50
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	+104	$71	75¢	$77	+$6	10-23 15:28
No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+285	$73	25¢	$72	-$1	10-23 15:28
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+76	$65	85¢	$65	+$0	08-29 08:25
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	+74	$67	86¢	$64	-$4	10-01 18:56
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	+94	$70	63¢	$59	-$10	08-18 03:33
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+68	$63	86¢	$59	-$4	10-18 15:00
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+62	$56	90¢	$56	$0	10-20 01:40
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	+97	$38	57¢	$55	+$17	10-08 21:14
New pandemic in 2026?	No	+49	$46	96¢	$47	+$1	09-04 20:49
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	+47	$39	97¢	$45	+$6	08-20 01:13
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+1,077	$91	4¢	$44	-$47	09-17 13:05
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	No	+37	$36	96¢	$36	$0	10-04 01:36
will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232	Yes	+66	$32	53¢	$35	+$3	09-18 00:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+200	$69	18¢	$35	-$34	09-29 19:17
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+199	$36	16¢	$32	-$4	09-28 07:13
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	+40	$34	79¢	$32	-$2	09-24 20:30
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+469	$41	6¢	$30	-$10	10-02 04:43
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+36	$28	84¢	$30	+$2	08-23 06:27
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	+44	$39	66¢	$29	-$10	08-27 21:37
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	+209	$41	14¢	$28	-$13	09-02 12:40
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+162	$69	17¢	$28	-$41	10-04 05:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+420	$29	6¢	$27	-$2	10-24 10:30
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	+46	$24	57¢	$27	+$2	08-15 20:24
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	+23	$21	96¢	$22	+$0	09-16 19:30
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+139	$21	15¢	$20	$0	09-25 20:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	203	$3.3K	3,112	2,666	+446	open	—	10-12 16:23
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	72	$927	2,451	1,373	+1,077	open	—	09-17 13:05
No one announced as next James Bond?	41	$697	961	573	+388	open	—	10-23 15:28
No one announced as next James Bond?	9	$656	336	336	+0	Yes	-$2	06-29 01:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	98	$616	1,458	80	+1,377	No	-$51	09-15 13:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	38	$599	411	411	+0	Yes	+$55	09-15 08:30
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	27	$568	374	374	+0	open	—	08-26 03:01
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$566	4,764	3,573	+1,191	No	-$137	07-06 08:51
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	29	$437	6,990	6,990	+0	No	+$11	07-06 14:20
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	32	$411	428	25	+403	Yes	+$38	07-24 18:23
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	2	$368	377	0	+377	No	+$10	07-08 21:16
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	44	$350	234	212	+22	open	—	09-01 06:38
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	59	$323	175	175	+0	No	+$21	08-26 18:07
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	17	$299	940	0	+940	Yes	-$245	08-25 22:24
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	5	$269	140	140	+0	open	—	09-21 15:43
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	7	$252	352	1	+351	open	—	10-21 01:03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	37	$239	147	134	+14	Yes	+$1	08-26 00:03
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	38	$231	897	0	+897	No	-$231	07-03 23:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	19	$218	939	0	+939	No	-$218	07-29 17:46
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	19	$198	157	138	+18	Yes	+$34	08-12 07:07
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	23	$188	323	294	+29	Yes	-$23	07-07 02:34
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	30	$158	96	91	+5	Yes	+$8	08-11 11:21
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	111	$132	73	70	+3	open	—	09-14 14:59
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	9	$129	1,264	500	+764	open	—	09-17 15:07
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	8	$126	397	0	+397	No	+$20	08-24 01:53
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$126	8,464	0	+8,464	No	-$126	07-03 17:41
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	16	$114	204	55	+149	open	—	09-29 21:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	24	$111	73	73	+0	open	—	09-15 13:49
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	6	$110	837	0	+837	No	+$398	07-31 19:31
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	1	$100	117	0	+117	Yes	+$18	07-06 19:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 10:30:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	124	7¢	$9	0x93b479…
10-24 08:16:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	296	7¢	$21	0x905de1…
10-23 15:28:30	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0x1cc2fb…
10-23 15:28:29	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	135	17¢	$23	0x4b3375…
10-23 15:19:02	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xf9eb15…
10-23 14:53:30	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x441a50…
10-23 14:49:32	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	32	85¢	$27	0x6628d4…
10-23 14:46:56	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x26aa4b…
10-23 05:56:42	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xf4425b…
10-23 03:04:18	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x51b36f…
10-23 01:26:45	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x4acc12…
10-23 01:26:35	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x6e5535…
10-23 01:26:26	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xe543fb…
10-23 01:26:03	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x622969…
10-23 01:26:00	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xf05a0b…
10-22 12:19:47	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xd3f693…
10-22 09:37:41	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x39cb98…
10-22 09:31:57	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x54cc22…
10-21 01:03:36	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x6d05d4…
10-20 23:46:03	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	251	94¢	$236	0x521993…
10-20 01:40:48	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x0be7d2…
10-19 14:06:59	Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xf4a4c9…
10-19 11:28:38	Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xd35db5…
10-19 11:28:38	Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	2¢	$1	0x28bc05…
10-19 02:44:36	Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x1f5ad2…
10-19 02:12:23	Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xbf24d2…
10-18 15:09:05	Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xae0a25…
10-18 15:00:35	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x119e39…
10-18 01:52:03	Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0x7fa494…
10-18 01:42:54	Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x3acff4…
10-17 16:31:21	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0xaff2ca…
10-17 16:31:21	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x0fb40c…
10-17 16:31:21	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x075677…
10-17 09:54:42	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0xf3a016…
10-17 03:55:20	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	44	6¢	$3	0xf9d27f…
10-17 01:56:41	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7b673f…
10-17 01:51:47	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x46445e…
10-17 01:21:54	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x0d2989…
10-17 00:13:36	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x6227c6…
10-16 23:31:24	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	33	47¢	$15	0x831a0c…
10-16 23:19:26	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0xc788cd…
10-16 23:19:26	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0xb583a3…
10-16 23:19:26	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0x3ffbdd…
10-16 22:28:08	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x4d6847…
10-16 22:28:08	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x1d3b0c…
10-16 21:25:15	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0xcd6045…
10-16 21:24:47	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x0b617a…
10-16 20:29:56	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0xa7cd02…
10-16 19:41:22	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0xc5eede…
10-16 18:59:05	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0xd5c834…
10-16 18:59:05	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0xcc39b8…
10-16 18:59:05	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0xbf30f5…
10-16 18:59:05	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x234dfd…
10-16 18:59:05	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x14ccdb…
10-16 18:54:05	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0xdde57c…
10-16 18:51:04	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0xa8b37d…
10-16 18:51:04	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x0995be…
10-16 17:58:03	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x75cfdc…
10-16 17:56:51	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0xfa0a9e…
10-16 17:56:50	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x2a7943…
10-16 15:30:19	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	9	73¢	$6	0x9990a8…
10-16 08:14:57	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	39	73¢	$29	0xdae838…
10-15 13:55:43	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xfe9f88…
10-15 13:48:05	Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x8bbbe9…
10-15 13:47:10	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x8ce057…
10-15 13:38:44	Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x8e08c3…
10-15 13:29:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	56	72¢	$40	0x11c3c4…
10-15 11:31:21	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	54	10¢	$5	0xb42abe…
10-15 02:59:05	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xcd8c14…
10-15 01:26:46	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x866fe3…
10-14 16:27:39	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	39	10¢	$4	0xdcbb4f…
10-14 08:48:56	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xde0690…
10-14 02:06:01	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x5b2962…
10-14 02:05:47	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x36c8d1…
10-14 00:32:22	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x7e0ca4…
10-14 00:32:04	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xd2d055…
10-14 00:08:31	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x968e6a…
10-14 00:08:30	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xd535a4…
10-13 00:25:59	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x3c5bf4…
10-12 19:50:17	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xd97fd9…
10-12 17:35:02	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xd01c2e…
10-12 17:35:02	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa21e5d…
10-12 16:33:02	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x699aa9…
10-12 16:23:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	28	83¢	$23	0xd56cd5…
10-12 16:23:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x303811…
10-12 15:59:02	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x928507…
10-12 15:58:35	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x8f47bb…
10-12 15:56:23	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x680bf8…
10-12 15:56:14	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x11f424…
10-12 15:56:08	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x5bdbf4…
10-12 15:55:56	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xa4998e…
10-12 15:41:38	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x405d8a…
10-12 15:41:32	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x2503bb…
10-12 15:41:32	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x22bb7c…
10-12 12:56:33	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x065cd7…
10-12 03:02:35	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xa0f78d…
10-12 03:02:35	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x436f48…
10-12 03:02:35	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x0888d8…
10-12 03:02:33	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xfb9f5a…
10-11 20:56:37	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x71ae8a…