Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,049
Trades
120
Unique wallets
48
Liquidity
$10,334
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-17 05:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.7¢
(top1%: 27% YES on $23
vs crowd: 22% YES on $1.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $68 | $61 | +$6 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $191 | $830 | $639 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $3 | $61 | $59 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $20 | $37 | $17 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $6 | $17 | $11 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $12 | $670 | $658 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| Median | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 9 | $22 | $42 | $20 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $22 | $25 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $14 | $105 | $91 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $181 | $40 | +$141 |
| unranked | 11 | $8 | $90 | $83 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unsteady-Enjoyment 0x4b2d…f0d4 | No | +844 | $666 | $666 | 1 | 06-02 12:20 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +589 | $124 | $136 | 3 | 06-15 18:17 |
| Pesky-Cat 0x641b…5433 | Yes | +128 | $17 | $46 | 3 | 06-15 19:27 |
| Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | +100 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-02 12:20 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +85 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 05-28 07:24 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +48 | $9 | $9 | 5 | 06-15 19:27 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +46 | $38 | $38 | 4 | 06-17 05:53 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +30 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-27 20:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x7881…0cea | Yes | +26 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-15 18:17 |
| Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | +26 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-15 18:17 |
| Rare-Netball 0x03e1…e180 | No | +26 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-15 18:17 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +25 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-27 20:44 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | +18 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-11 12:11 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | +18 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-11 12:11 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +17 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-02 12:20 |
| Untried-Porch 0x36b9…e05c | Yes | +15 | $4 | $12 | 3 | 06-15 19:27 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-29 18:51 |
| Pretty-Surprise 0x27b4…04f0 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $4 | 2 | 06-15 19:27 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-31 20:20 |
| Natural-Perch 0x985a…9d00 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-02 13:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f18…dc6d | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 02:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | No | +2 | $2 | $37 | 4 | 06-17 02:07 |
| Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 22:03 |
| Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | +1 | $1 | $7 | 2 | 06-01 06:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 05:53:26 | (anonymous) 0x0bc6…97dc | No | SELL | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x33b7dc… |
| 06-17 05:53:26 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x33b7dc… |
| 06-17 02:07:16 | (anonymous) 0x1f18…dc6d | No | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0xec0557… |
| 06-17 02:07:16 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | No | SELL | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0xec0557… |
| 06-15 19:27:19 | (anonymous) 0xccc4…4193 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x0dd562… |
| 06-15 19:27:19 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x0dd562… |
| 06-15 19:27:18 | Untried-Porch 0x36b9…e05c | Yes | SELL | 25 | 16¢ | $4 | 0xa56e39… |
| 06-15 19:27:18 | Pretty-Surprise 0x27b4…04f0 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x7100d8… |
| 06-15 19:27:18 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x7100d8… |
| 06-15 19:27:18 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | No | SELL | 14 | 84¢ | $12 | 0xa56e39… |
| 06-15 19:27:18 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xa56e39… |
| 06-15 19:27:16 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 80 | 82¢ | $66 | 0x4b6a13… |
| 06-15 19:27:16 | Pesky-Cat 0x641b…5433 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 18¢ | $14 | 0x4b6a13… |
| 06-15 18:17:42 | Rare-Netball 0x03e1…e180 | No | BUY | 26 | 81¢ | $21 | 0x435b40… |
| 06-15 18:17:42 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | SELL | 26 | 81¢ | $21 | 0x435b40… |
| 06-15 18:17:40 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x5813ec… |
| 06-15 18:17:40 | (anonymous) 0xccc4…4193 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x5813ec… |
| 06-15 18:17:39 | Untried-Porch 0x36b9…e05c | Yes | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xb64393… |
| 06-15 18:17:39 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | BUY | 26 | 82¢ | $21 | 0xe5864a… |
| 06-15 18:17:39 | (anonymous) 0x7881…0cea | Yes | BUY | 26 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xe5864a… |
| 06-15 18:17:39 | Untried-Porch 0x36b9…e05c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x58926f… |
| 06-15 18:17:39 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xb64393… |
| 06-15 18:17:39 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x58926f… |
| 06-15 18:17:39 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x58926f… |
| 06-15 18:17:39 | Pretty-Surprise 0x27b4…04f0 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xb0f7b4… |
| 06-15 18:17:39 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 14 | 82¢ | $11 | 0xb0f7b4… |
| 06-15 18:17:37 | Pesky-Cat 0x641b…5433 | Yes | BUY | 154 | 15¢ | $23 | 0x1e4522… |
| 06-15 18:17:37 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x1e4522… |
| 06-15 18:17:37 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 59 | 15¢ | $9 | 0x1e4522… |
| 06-15 18:17:37 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | BUY | 26 | 84¢ | $22 | 0x636c1e… |
| 06-15 18:17:37 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | No | BUY | 23 | 84¢ | $19 | 0x636c1e… |
| 06-15 18:17:37 | Pesky-Cat 0x641b…5433 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 16¢ | $9 | 0x636c1e… |
| 06-15 18:17:37 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 75 | 85¢ | $64 | 0x1e4522… |
| 06-15 18:17:37 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x636c1e… |
| 06-11 22:16:18 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 4 | 85¢ | $3 | 0x3a2c89… |
| 06-11 22:16:18 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 4 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x3a2c89… |
| 06-11 21:24:00 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $0 | 0x0e83e6… |
| 06-11 21:24:00 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x0e83e6… |
| 06-11 12:15:55 | (anonymous) 0x830d…be50 | No | SELL | 103 | 85¢ | $88 | 0x441a97… |
| 06-11 12:15:55 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 103 | 15¢ | $16 | 0x441a97… |
| 06-11 12:11:37 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | BUY | 18 | 86¢ | $16 | 0xd3d084… |
| 06-11 12:11:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 18 | 86¢ | $16 | 0xd3d084… |
| 06-11 12:11:36 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xf2067f… |
| 06-11 12:11:36 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xf2067f… |
| 06-11 12:11:36 | (anonymous) 0x258a…46bd | No | SELL | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0xf2067f… |
| 06-11 12:10:22 | (anonymous) 0x258a…46bd | No | SELL | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0x7aa8e0… |
| 06-11 12:10:22 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x7aa8e0… |
| 06-11 12:10:22 | (anonymous) 0xb8bc…37d1 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 15¢ | $6 | 0x7aa8e0… |
| 06-06 07:23:04 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xba1a7d… |
| 06-06 07:23:04 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | SELL | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0xba1a7d… |
| 06-06 07:22:36 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x74bcfc… |
| 06-06 07:22:36 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x74bcfc… |
| 06-06 03:32:24 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xb1c74d… |
| 06-06 03:32:24 | (anonymous) 0x6643…1d29 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xb1c74d… |
| 06-05 13:15:10 | Open-Incompetence 0x5697…613b | Yes | SELL | 19 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x93c302… |
| 06-05 13:15:10 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 19 | 86¢ | $16 | 0x93c302… |
| 06-02 13:12:08 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x66c528… |
| 06-02 13:12:08 | Natural-Perch 0x985a…9d00 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x66c528… |
| 06-02 12:22:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 22 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x466a3a… |
| 06-02 12:22:49 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x466a3a… |
| 06-02 12:22:49 | Inconsequential-Cockroach-Pulley 0x096e…e5ec | Yes | SELL | 40 | 18¢ | $7 | 0x466a3a… |
| 06-02 12:22:49 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x466a3a… |
| 06-02 12:20:06 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xaf8829… |
| 06-02 12:20:06 | Inconsequential-Cockroach-Pulley 0x096e…e5ec | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xaf8829… |
| 06-02 12:20:06 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 619 | 21¢ | $130 | 0xaf8829… |
| 06-02 12:20:06 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | SELL | 24 | 78¢ | $19 | 0xaf8829… |
| 06-02 12:20:06 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xaf8829… |
| 06-02 12:20:06 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 24 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xaf8829… |
| 06-02 12:20:06 | Unsteady-Enjoyment 0x4b2d…f0d4 | No | BUY | 844 | 79¢ | $666 | 0xaf8829… |
| 06-02 12:20:06 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 21¢ | $21 | 0xaf8829… |
| 06-02 12:20:04 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | BUY | 17 | 79¢ | $13 | 0xa591d6… |
| 06-02 12:20:04 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xa591d6… |
| 06-01 06:07:06 | Inconsequential-Cockroach-Pulley 0x096e…e5ec | No | SELL | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xa0ef22… |
| 06-01 06:07:06 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xa0ef22… |
| 06-01 04:04:59 | Inconsequential-Cockroach-Pulley 0x096e…e5ec | No | SELL | 30 | 77¢ | $23 | 0xaa120d… |
| 06-01 04:04:59 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0xaa120d… |
| 06-01 03:58:15 | Inconsequential-Cockroach-Pulley 0x096e…e5ec | No | BUY | 15 | 77¢ | $12 | 0x37c389… |
| 06-01 03:58:15 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 15 | 77¢ | $12 | 0x37c389… |
| 06-01 03:58:11 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 113 | 78¢ | $88 | 0x241c34… |
| 06-01 03:58:11 | Delayed-Appetiser 0x270a…7b78 | Yes | SELL | 58 | 22¢ | $13 | 0xcaea2f… |
| 06-01 03:58:11 | Delayed-Appetiser 0x270a…7b78 | Yes | SELL | 93 | 22¢ | $20 | 0x241c34… |
| 06-01 03:58:11 | Inconsequential-Cockroach-Pulley 0x096e…e5ec | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x241c34… |
| 06-01 03:58:11 | Blank-Civilization 0x1719…5cea | No | SELL | 58 | 78¢ | $45 | 0xcaea2f… |
| 05-31 22:03:21 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x4f0eb6… |
| 05-31 22:03:21 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x4f0eb6… |
| 05-31 20:20:27 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xce2d69… |
| 05-31 20:20:27 | Rotating-Softening 0x6ae9…14fe | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xce2d69… |
| 05-30 23:56:05 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 4 | 78¢ | $3 | 0x0545a8… |
| 05-30 23:56:05 | Inconsequential-Cockroach-Pulley 0x096e…e5ec | Yes | SELL | 4 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x0545a8… |
| 05-30 23:41:02 | (anonymous) 0x35df…cf97 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xbe7842… |
| 05-30 23:41:02 | Inconsequential-Cockroach-Pulley 0x096e…e5ec | Yes | BUY | 4 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xbe7842… |
| 05-29 18:51:13 | (anonymous) 0x35df…cf97 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 22¢ | $3 | 0xe43156… |
| 05-29 18:51:13 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | BUY | 15 | 22¢ | $3 | 0xe43156… |
| 05-28 07:24:13 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x19c0e4… |
| 05-28 07:24:13 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 0 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x19c0e4… |
| 05-28 07:23:53 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0xe89e5f… |
| 05-28 07:23:53 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | SELL | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0xe89e5f… |
| 05-28 05:00:16 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x038e48… |
| 05-28 05:00:16 | (anonymous) 0x35df…cf97 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x038e48… |
| 05-28 04:40:44 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | SELL | 55 | 21¢ | $11 | 0xffad53… |