Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,433
Trades
247
Unique wallets
72
Liquidity
$10,334
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
85¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-09 01:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+5.2¢
(top1%: 27% YES on $23
vs crowd: 22% YES on $2.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $252 | $116 | +$137 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 23 | $136 | $1.0K | $881 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $10 | $294 | $284 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $37 | $145 | $108 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $6 | $17 | $11 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $24 | $688 | $664 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| Median | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 16 | $41 | $175 | $134 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $34 | $21 | +$13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $39 | $105 | $66 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 10 | $218 | $95 | +$123 |
| unranked | 24 | $56 | $469 | $413 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unsteady-Enjoyment 0x4b2d…f0d4 | No | +844 | $666 | $666 | 1 | 06-02 12:20 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +529 | $113 | $147 | 4 | 07-04 06:43 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +178 | $27 | $27 | 19 | 06-24 00:19 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +126 | $108 | $108 | 9 | 07-09 01:25 |
| Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | +100 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-02 12:20 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +85 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 05-28 07:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xb92f…c915 | Yes | +83 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-03 22:51 |
| Focused-Rostrum 0x7383…bd0b | Yes | +54 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 06-30 12:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | +35 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 07-09 01:26 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +34 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-04 06:43 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-21 23:06 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +30 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-27 20:07 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +25 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-27 20:44 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-21 23:06 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | +18 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-11 12:11 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | +18 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-11 12:11 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +18 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 07-09 01:26 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +17 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-02 12:20 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-29 18:51 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-31 20:20 |
| Natural-Perch 0x985a…9d00 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-02 13:12 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +3 | $-0 | $23 | 6 | 07-04 06:43 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +2 | $2 | $76 | 5 | 07-04 06:43 |
| Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 22:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xccc4…4193 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 22:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 01:26:29 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xde5010… |
| 07-09 01:26:29 | (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xde5010… |
| 07-09 01:26:29 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 18 | 85¢ | $16 | 0xde5010… |
| 07-09 01:26:28 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 53 | 85¢ | $45 | 0x95c8b5… |
| 07-09 01:26:28 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x95c8b5… |
| 07-09 01:26:28 | (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | BUY | 33 | 85¢ | $28 | 0x95c8b5… |
| 07-09 01:25:47 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 53 | 85¢ | $45 | 0xd9f86e… |
| 07-09 01:25:47 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | SELL | 80 | 85¢ | $68 | 0xd9f86e… |
| 07-09 01:25:47 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xd9f86e… |
| 07-09 01:25:47 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xd9f86e… |
| 07-04 06:43:10 | (anonymous) 0x7881…0cea | Yes | SELL | 26 | 17¢ | $4 | 0xc4bcf1… |
| 07-04 06:43:10 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xc4bcf1… |
| 07-04 06:43:10 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xc4bcf1… |
| 07-04 06:43:10 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 45 | 87¢ | $39 | 0xc4bcf1… |
| 07-04 06:43:10 | (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xc4bcf1… |
| 07-04 06:43:10 | (anonymous) 0x6b49…2e46 | No | SELL | 289 | 85¢ | $247 | 0xc4bcf1… |
| 07-04 06:43:10 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xc4bcf1… |
| 07-04 06:43:10 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 34 | 88¢ | $30 | 0xc4bcf1… |
| 07-04 06:43:10 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 60 | 18¢ | $11 | 0xc4bcf1… |
| 07-03 22:51:55 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x5875b4… |
| 07-03 22:51:55 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x5875b4… |
| 07-03 22:51:47 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xd28520… |
| 07-03 22:51:47 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xd28520… |
| 07-03 22:51:47 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xd28520… |
| 07-03 22:51:47 | (anonymous) 0xb92f…c915 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 12¢ | $10 | 0xd28520… |
| 07-03 22:51:47 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 18 | 88¢ | $16 | 0xd28520… |
| 07-03 18:42:32 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $2 | 0xfc9527… |
| 07-03 18:42:32 | (anonymous) 0xc911…a7ff | No | SELL | 4 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xfc9527… |
| 07-03 18:42:32 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0xfc9527… |
| 07-03 18:42:31 | (anonymous) 0x98e3…9208 | No | SELL | 23 | 88¢ | $20 | 0x4820a0… |
| 07-03 18:42:31 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 17 | 88¢ | $15 | 0x4820a0… |
| 07-03 18:42:31 | Rare-Netball 0x03e1…e180 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x4820a0… |
| 07-03 18:42:29 | Rare-Netball 0x03e1…e180 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x8728ed… |
| 07-03 18:42:29 | (anonymous) 0x1f18…dc6d | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x8728ed… |
| 07-03 18:42:28 | Rare-Netball 0x03e1…e180 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x74cec9… |
| 07-03 18:42:28 | (anonymous) 0x3991…3d0f | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x74cec9… |
| 07-03 18:42:26 | Rare-Netball 0x03e1…e180 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x58d52a… |
| 07-03 18:42:26 | (anonymous) 0x07bb…fcca | No | SELL | 26 | 88¢ | $23 | 0x58d52a… |
| 06-30 12:07:19 | Utter-Rider 0x39c9…3b87 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x27749a… |
| 06-30 12:07:19 | Focused-Rostrum 0x7383…bd0b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x27749a… |
| 06-29 11:42:31 | (anonymous) 0x702e…ff44 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x7c5422… |
| 06-29 11:42:31 | Focused-Rostrum 0x7383…bd0b | Yes | BUY | 24 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x7c5422… |
| 06-25 14:53:11 | Focused-Rostrum 0x7383…bd0b | Yes | BUY | 17 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x9adce0… |
| 06-25 14:53:11 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x9adce0… |
| 06-24 00:19:14 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xaa5cc6… |
| 06-24 00:19:14 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 39 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xaa5cc6… |
| 06-24 00:19:14 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xaa5cc6… |
| 06-24 00:19:14 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | BUY | 79 | 13¢ | $10 | 0xaa5cc6… |
| 06-24 00:19:10 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x8e06bf… |
| 06-24 00:19:10 | Focused-Rostrum 0x7383…bd0b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x8e06bf… |
| 06-24 00:19:10 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x8e06bf… |
| 06-23 23:24:56 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x32a505… |
| 06-23 23:24:56 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x32a505… |
| 06-23 23:19:31 | Rare-Netball 0x03e1…e180 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x5f3ac8… |
| 06-23 23:19:31 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 13 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x5f3ac8… |
| 06-23 23:19:31 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x5f3ac8… |
| 06-23 23:19:22 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x5ab2ab… |
| 06-23 23:19:22 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x5ab2ab… |
| 06-23 23:19:22 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | BUY | 12 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x5ab2ab… |
| 06-23 23:19:20 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xc1f5f8… |
| 06-23 23:19:20 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x9301d1… |
| 06-23 23:19:20 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xdd99b5… |
| 06-23 23:19:20 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x9301d1… |
| 06-23 23:19:20 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | SELL | 26 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x9301d1… |
| 06-23 23:19:20 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 12 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xdd99b5… |
| 06-23 23:19:20 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xc1f5f8… |
| 06-23 23:19:13 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x0cbaa9… |
| 06-23 23:19:13 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x0cbaa9… |
| 06-23 23:19:13 | Rare-Netball 0x03e1…e180 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x0cbaa9… |
| 06-23 23:19:13 | (anonymous) 0xf42b…68c2 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x0cbaa9… |
| 06-23 22:07:59 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xf9fff8… |
| 06-23 22:07:59 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xf9fff8… |
| 06-23 22:07:58 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x2e59b8… |
| 06-23 22:07:58 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x2e59b8… |
| 06-23 22:06:01 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x5c7f29… |
| 06-23 22:06:01 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | BUY | 26 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x5c7f29… |
| 06-23 22:06:01 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 13¢ | $9 | 0x5c7f29… |
| 06-23 22:06:01 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 24 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x5c7f29… |
| 06-23 22:06:01 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x5c7f29… |
| 06-23 22:06:01 | (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x5c7f29… |
| 06-23 22:06:01 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 21 | 86¢ | $18 | 0x5c7f29… |
| 06-23 22:06:01 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | BUY | 26 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x5c7f29… |
| 06-23 22:06:01 | (anonymous) 0x6b49…2e46 | No | BUY | 289 | 87¢ | $250 | 0x5c7f29… |
| 06-23 22:06:01 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x5c7f29… |
| 06-23 22:06:01 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 16 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x5c7f29… |
| 06-23 08:36:46 | Brilliant-Debate 0x5175…02ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x5c9cbe… |
| 06-23 08:36:46 | (anonymous) 0x702e…ff44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x5c9cbe… |
| 06-23 08:36:46 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x5c9cbe… |
| 06-22 16:48:17 | (anonymous) 0x702e…ff44 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xef1d0e… |
| 06-22 16:48:17 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xef1d0e… |
| 06-22 16:48:16 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x4c3b5b… |
| 06-22 16:48:16 | (anonymous) 0x98e3…9208 | No | BUY | 23 | 85¢ | $19 | 0x4c3b5b… |
| 06-22 16:48:16 | (anonymous) 0x702e…ff44 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x4c3b5b… |
| 06-22 05:53:29 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xefc4ec… |
| 06-22 05:53:29 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xefc4ec… |
| 06-22 05:53:25 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x8dc69f… |
| 06-22 05:53:25 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x8dc69f… |
| 06-21 23:07:01 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x408fdd… |
| 06-21 23:07:01 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | Yes | SELL | 16 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x408fdd… |
| 06-21 23:06:56 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | Yes | BUY | 16 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x55f168… |