Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$6,151
Trades
371
Unique wallets
97
Liquidity
$10,334
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-02 05:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+7.9¢
(top1%: 27% YES on $23
vs crowd: 19% YES on $3.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 15 | $352 | $619 | $267 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $168 | $1.6K | $1.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 21 | $80 | $328 | $248 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 35 | $47 | $199 | $151 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $6 | $17 | $11 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $75 | $688 | $612 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $19 | $74 | $55 |
| Median | 4 | — | $65 | $65 |
| Below median | 23 | $69 | $779 | $710 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $46 | $35 | +$11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 13 | $72 | $132 | $60 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $262 | $484 | $222 |
| unranked | 32 | $99 | $490 | $391 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +525 | $113 | $147 | 5 | 08-01 12:21 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | +434 | $12 | $73 | 12 | 07-23 23:30 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +331 | $309 | $321 | 5 | 08-01 12:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | +331 | $315 | $866 | 6 | 08-02 05:14 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | +207 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-28 18:44 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +178 | $27 | $27 | 19 | 06-24 00:19 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +126 | $108 | $108 | 9 | 07-09 01:25 |
| Unsteady-Enjoyment 0x4b2d…f0d4 | No | +100 | $-33 | $1,365 | 2 | 08-01 12:20 |
| Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | +100 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-02 12:20 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +98 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 07-22 20:03 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +96 | $92 | $245 | 9 | 08-01 12:21 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +85 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 05-28 07:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xb92f…c915 | Yes | +83 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-03 22:51 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +83 | $10 | $34 | 9 | 07-20 16:02 |
| Focused-Rostrum 0x7383…bd0b | Yes | +79 | $9 | $9 | 6 | 07-20 16:19 |
| Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | +50 | $4 | $22 | 8 | 08-01 12:21 |
| Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | +44 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-23 23:13 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +40 | $37 | $111 | 9 | 07-23 23:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | +35 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 07-09 01:26 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +34 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-04 06:43 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-02 05:14 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-21 23:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x0523…d4ad | No | +30 | $28 | $66 | 3 | 07-24 09:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 08-01 12:21 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +30 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-27 20:07 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +25 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-27 20:44 |
| Impolite-Thunderstorm 0xc534…b734 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $6 | 4 | 07-22 20:03 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | +18 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-11 12:11 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | +18 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-11 12:11 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +17 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-02 12:20 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-29 18:51 |
| Jumbo-Providence 0x9592…a8fd | Yes | +10 | $2 | $7 | 4 | 07-23 12:52 |
| mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-22 20:03 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-31 20:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-21 05:19 |
| Natural-Perch 0x985a…9d00 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-02 13:12 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-23 12:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xccc4…4193 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 22:03 |
| Shrill-Maelstrom 0xea40…86b9 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-30 16:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 05:14:02 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x6140db… |
| 08-02 05:14:02 | Queasy-Bondsman 0xfdc6…b20d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6140db… |
| 08-02 05:14:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xc8fabc… |
| 08-02 05:14:00 | Queasy-Bondsman 0xfdc6…b20d | Yes | SELL | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xc8fabc… |
| 08-01 12:21:44 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x3bd2fa… |
| 08-01 12:21:44 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 4 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x3bd2fa… |
| 08-01 12:21:20 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0xa54535… |
| 08-01 12:21:20 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 36 | 90¢ | $32 | 0xa54535… |
| 08-01 12:21:20 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa54535… |
| 08-01 12:21:05 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 8¢ | $6 | 0xfa2b36… |
| 08-01 12:21:05 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 70 | 92¢ | $64 | 0xfa2b36… |
| 08-01 12:21:02 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 159 | 93¢ | $148 | 0x962c27… |
| 08-01 12:21:02 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | BUY | 40 | 93¢ | $37 | 0x962c27… |
| 08-01 12:21:02 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 119 | 93¢ | $111 | 0x962c27… |
| 08-01 12:20:47 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x2bd5df… |
| 08-01 12:20:47 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x2bd5df… |
| 08-01 12:20:45 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 580 | 94¢ | $545 | 0x1361b7… |
| 08-01 12:20:45 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x1361b7… |
| 08-01 12:20:45 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 124 | 94¢ | $117 | 0x1361b7… |
| 08-01 12:20:45 | Unsteady-Enjoyment 0x4b2d…f0d4 | No | SELL | 743 | 94¢ | $699 | 0x1361b7… |
| 08-01 12:20:45 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x1361b7… |
| 07-30 16:10:02 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x596fdb… |
| 07-30 16:10:02 | Shrill-Maelstrom 0xea40…86b9 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x596fdb… |
| 07-28 18:44:41 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | BUY | 207 | 6¢ | $12 | 0x5031da… |
| 07-28 18:44:41 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 42 | 94¢ | $40 | 0x5031da… |
| 07-28 18:44:41 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 165 | 6¢ | $10 | 0x5031da… |
| 07-25 01:23:48 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xea2363… |
| 07-25 01:23:48 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xea2363… |
| 07-24 09:21:21 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x724a1b… |
| 07-24 09:21:21 | (anonymous) 0x0523…d4ad | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x724a1b… |
| 07-23 23:30:22 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | BUY | 200 | 6¢ | $12 | 0x230f8e… |
| 07-23 23:30:22 | (anonymous) 0x0523…d4ad | No | BUY | 48 | 94¢ | $45 | 0x230f8e… |
| 07-23 23:30:22 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 152 | 94¢ | $143 | 0x230f8e… |
| 07-23 23:30:21 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | BUY | 70 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x7b0301… |
| 07-23 23:30:21 | (anonymous) 0x0523…d4ad | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x7b0301… |
| 07-23 23:30:21 | (anonymous) 0x0523…d4ad | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x7b0301… |
| 07-23 23:30:21 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xf8d3f7… |
| 07-23 23:30:21 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 48 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x7b0301… |
| 07-23 23:30:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0xf8d3f7… |
| 07-23 23:13:30 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 44 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x4f0f05… |
| 07-23 23:13:30 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x4f0f05… |
| 07-23 20:32:37 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xde3559… |
| 07-23 20:32:37 | Virtual-Persimmon-Tights 0xa2db…a60d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xde3559… |
| 07-23 20:32:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xde3559… |
| 07-23 15:00:39 | Ripe-Phase 0xb042…14f3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x883b3d… |
| 07-23 15:00:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x883b3d… |
| 07-23 14:18:10 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xa309a2… |
| 07-23 14:18:10 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xa309a2… |
| 07-23 12:57:54 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xafa286… |
| 07-23 12:57:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xafa286… |
| 07-23 12:57:54 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xafa286… |
| 07-23 12:52:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xcd1b9c… |
| 07-23 12:52:04 | Jumbo-Providence 0x9592…a8fd | Yes | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xcd1b9c… |
| 07-23 12:51:55 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xf0c4ab… |
| 07-23 12:51:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xf0c4ab… |
| 07-22 20:03:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x7a4f1f… |
| 07-22 20:03:30 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x7a4f1f… |
| 07-22 20:03:28 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x4e4db3… |
| 07-22 20:03:28 | Impolite-Thunderstorm 0xc534…b734 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x4e4db3… |
| 07-22 20:03:28 | Ripe-Phase 0xb042…14f3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x4e4db3… |
| 07-22 20:03:28 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x4e4db3… |
| 07-22 20:03:25 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x492602… |
| 07-22 20:03:25 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 111 | 9¢ | $10 | 0x492602… |
| 07-22 20:03:25 | Impolite-Thunderstorm 0xc534…b734 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x492602… |
| 07-22 20:03:25 | Round-Volatility 0xfd7c…46d9 | Yes | SELL | 191 | 9¢ | $17 | 0x492602… |
| 07-22 20:03:25 | Jumbo-Providence 0x9592…a8fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x492602… |
| 07-22 11:01:07 | Jumbo-Providence 0x9592…a8fd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x8ece70… |
| 07-22 11:01:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x8ece70… |
| 07-22 11:01:07 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x8ece70… |
| 07-22 11:00:51 | Ripe-Phase 0xb042…14f3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x021862… |
| 07-22 11:00:51 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x021862… |
| 07-22 10:45:01 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x9efa92… |
| 07-22 10:45:01 | Impolite-Thunderstorm 0xc534…b734 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x9efa92… |
| 07-22 00:24:04 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x81639f… |
| 07-22 00:24:04 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x81639f… |
| 07-22 00:24:03 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x1f6173… |
| 07-22 00:24:03 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 48 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x1f6173… |
| 07-22 00:24:03 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x1f6173… |
| 07-21 05:19:10 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x74f84e… |
| 07-21 05:19:10 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 45 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x74f84e… |
| 07-21 05:19:10 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x74f84e… |
| 07-20 19:58:55 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x5d809e… |
| 07-20 19:58:55 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x5d809e… |
| 07-20 18:03:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 46 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x31a238… |
| 07-20 18:03:34 | (anonymous) 0x2aba…e2c6 | No | SELL | 37 | 90¢ | $33 | 0x31a238… |
| 07-20 18:03:34 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 83 | 10¢ | $8 | 0x31a238… |
| 07-20 16:19:22 | Focused-Rostrum 0x7383…bd0b | Yes | BUY | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x014b3f… |
| 07-20 16:19:22 | (anonymous) 0x2aba…e2c6 | No | SELL | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x014b3f… |
| 07-20 16:19:22 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x014b3f… |
| 07-20 16:07:31 | Focused-Rostrum 0x7383…bd0b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xfba60d… |
| 07-20 16:07:31 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xfba60d… |
| 07-20 16:02:52 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x8d3b98… |
| 07-20 16:02:52 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x8d3b98… |
| 07-20 16:02:52 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | Yes | SELL | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x8d3b98… |
| 07-20 16:02:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 25 | 88¢ | $22 | 0x8d3b98… |
| 07-20 16:02:49 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 13¢ | $11 | 0x83b4d7… |
| 07-20 16:02:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x83b4d7… |
| 07-20 16:02:49 | Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | Yes | SELL | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0x83b4d7… |
| 07-20 16:02:45 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x236c31… |
| 07-20 16:02:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x236c31… |