Ripe-Phase — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$107

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,048

lifetime

Volume

$45.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-12 13:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

47% 18% $-107

Politics

35% — —

Tech

9% 0% —

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	57	$3.9K	3,565	3,565	+0	open	—	06-14 01:45
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	77	$2.7K	1,392	2,039	-647	open	—	03-01 18:58
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	51	$1.4K	2,852	2,852	+0	open	—	03-03 18:19
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	3	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	06-12 12:50
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	23	$977	535	589	-53	open	—	02-09 19:40
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	3	$930	600	600	+0	open	—	06-12 14:21
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	3	$897	500	500	+0	open	—	06-12 09:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	11	$795	1,147	1,147	+0	open	—	07-22 14:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	31	$742	1,011	1,211	-200	open	—	05-23 23:47
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?	8	$710	365	365	+0	open	—	02-08 12:25
Fed rate hike in 2026?	12	$640	807	807	+0	open	—	07-27 04:13
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	22	$619	387	515	-128	open	—	02-07 16:43
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	13	$614	618	618	+0	open	—	07-28 10:47
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	18	$603	380	511	-131	open	—	02-14 09:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	6	$584	421	621	-200	open	—	06-17 01:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	7	$568	600	400	+200	open	—	06-19 01:06
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	14	$527	818	618	+200	open	—	06-20 18:57
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the golden state warriors	14	$498	264	370	-107	open	—	01-31 05:19
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	15	$494	581	581	+0	open	—	07-27 16:57
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	16	$491	1,458	1,373	+85	open	—	06-19 02:03
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	7	$473	905	605	+300	open	—	06-11 19:07
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?	13	$471	249	249	+0	open	—	02-09 21:18
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	14	$459	413	413	+0	open	—	05-15 18:42
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	8	$456	800	800	+0	open	—	03-03 17:42
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	8	$450	239	239	+0	open	—	02-14 21:08
will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of february 339 735 643 246 799 559 292 611 315 385	11	$430	241	241	+0	open	—	02-02 17:45
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	24	$398	450	450	+0	open	—	06-13 07:52
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	5	$390	378	378	-0	open	—	06-21 10:58
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	4	$384	400	400	+0	open	—	07-02 12:44
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	4	$366	575	220	+355	open	—	08-04 02:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 13:46:39	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x540bdf…
08-12 13:04:39	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x70542e…
08-12 11:19:36	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0xfe5958…
08-12 11:14:31	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0xce16c7…
08-12 07:42:46	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xf4c7da…
08-10 14:38:36	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0x03ba50…
08-10 12:02:54	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x6ef9cd…
08-10 09:32:48	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	SELL	40	70¢	$28	0xce6a73…
08-09 20:15:37	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x04180c…
08-09 04:25:18	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	153	13¢	$20	0x3442a5…
08-08 19:31:34	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	153	10¢	$15	0xd87f59…
08-08 13:14:18	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xd27cfe…
08-08 02:35:51	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0xdb8925…
08-08 02:33:01	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x4c6a4d…
08-07 23:19:43	Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x40df3f…
08-07 22:29:37	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	63	72¢	$46	0x718a01…
08-07 15:27:13	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x0b77a9…
08-07 11:31:43	Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x38a4d9…
08-07 01:18:39	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x21fdd0…
08-06 19:40:57	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0xc2c08e…
08-06 19:40:30	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0x878c13…
08-06 11:53:32	Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x3462c9…
08-06 11:48:50	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x5a037e…
08-06 11:32:54	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xf4976b…
08-05 23:33:56	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xc05c54…
08-05 21:44:03	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x8507dd…
08-05 21:42:57	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x7de6a3…
08-05 20:53:42	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xec94b6…
08-04 16:38:15	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	49	11¢	$6	0x903961…
08-04 15:01:00	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	51	11¢	$6	0xd77b79…
08-04 05:08:11	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x97fbaa…
08-04 05:07:53	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x548cad…
08-04 02:49:12	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xfbc17a…
08-04 00:24:41	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xd28c66…
08-03 10:03:48	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x308171…
08-03 08:05:59	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	375	32¢	$120	0xdabe4e…
08-03 06:50:48	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x1dfde4…
08-03 06:50:47	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?	No	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x9c7b77…
08-03 06:50:47	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x2ccc2e…
08-03 06:50:45	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	11¢	$7	0xe8a714…
08-03 06:50:36	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	6¢	$30	0xea4d6b…
08-03 06:50:36	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	98	33¢	$33	0xa9eef0…
08-02 00:14:57	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x090255…
08-01 22:11:23	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x136ca8…
08-01 20:34:27	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xc5bf8d…
08-01 08:20:21	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x492596…
08-01 03:59:44	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	69	63¢	$44	0x5e85d8…
08-01 03:59:42	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xdf8573…
08-01 03:59:42	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x887780…
08-01 00:11:53	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x2e595c…
07-31 20:44:33	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xabc165…
07-31 16:01:23	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$12	0x1b01b8…
07-29 22:12:54	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xf6d8d9…
07-29 15:19:21	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0xb7af65…
07-29 15:07:51	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	9	74¢	$6	0xc79673…
07-28 15:07:01	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0x10a83f…
07-28 12:44:50	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe83877…
07-28 10:48:22	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0xe0c970…
07-28 10:47:31	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x1a48d3…
07-28 09:38:22	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	37¢	$11	0xba331a…
07-28 09:35:53	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x5b76d1…
07-28 09:32:26	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	37¢	$28	0x759c5b…
07-28 09:32:17	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	37¢	$26	0x620f00…
07-27 23:05:52	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x92f626…
07-27 16:57:42	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	37¢	$22	0x46df4f…
07-27 11:23:30	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0xea43fe…
07-27 09:07:46	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x7c4a46…
07-27 07:07:22	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xc66a21…
07-27 04:13:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	168	33¢	$55	0x308c84…
07-27 02:03:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	168	32¢	$54	0x62da26…
07-27 01:03:33	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	75	59¢	$44	0xff2d0e…
07-26 22:10:24	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	343	34¢	$117	0x4350d9…
07-26 22:10:04	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	343	35¢	$120	0xbeedf6…
07-26 20:22:42	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x06d949…
07-26 05:09:58	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xf2e60f…
07-25 12:54:07	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	12¢	$17	0x059878…
07-25 09:52:09	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	30	78¢	$23	0x469d62…
07-25 09:46:46	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	75	56¢	$42	0x0956a9…
07-25 09:18:39	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x6363c1…
07-25 08:53:28	Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xe89573…
07-25 08:53:06	Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x0552f7…
07-25 08:39:19	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	30	75¢	$23	0x9955a5…
07-25 08:01:21	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x6164e2…
07-25 07:38:07	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x5732c8…
07-25 06:56:10	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0xe65fb8…
07-25 02:26:48	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xda52c6…
07-25 01:45:57	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x3133d4…
07-24 18:47:12	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x2e98e5…
07-24 14:09:22	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	13¢	$3	0x74e70f…
07-24 12:00:46	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x02c45d…
07-23 17:13:37	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	13¢	$3	0x215801…
07-23 16:33:54	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0x06570f…
07-23 15:48:43	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0xecbea4…
07-23 15:47:01	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	112	57¢	$64	0x87185f…
07-23 15:46:57	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	29	57¢	$17	0x7d5a45…
07-23 15:46:57	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0x0a3e3e…
07-23 15:46:55	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	37	57¢	$21	0xceeb0c…
07-23 15:46:31	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	208	57¢	$118	0xb0e2f4…
07-23 15:41:01	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x580860…
07-23 15:38:31	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xd604db…