Realized P&L
-$107
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
39.2%
Resolved
12
Trades
1,885
lifetime
Volume
$42.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$488
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 07-22 04:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
46% 18% $-107
Politics
36%
Tech
9% 0%
Crypto
5%
Sports
3%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +200 $120 78¢ $157 +$37 06-19 01:06
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -136 $-106 88¢ $-119 $-13 06-13 17:17
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? No -50 $-38 88¢ $-44 $-6 06-24 12:41
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? No -100 $-36 42¢ $-42 $-6 07-05 10:19
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes -200 $-25 16¢ $-32 $-7 07-12 02:45
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +26 $21 70¢ $18 $-3 06-15 21:36
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -30 $-11 52¢ $-16 $-5 07-14 14:47
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? No -60 $-5 12¢ $-8 $-2 07-19 04:22
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -59 $-8 10¢ $-6 +$1 07-20 19:50
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No -30 $-6 17¢ $-5 +$0 07-15 06:16
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes -40 $-5 12¢ $-5 $-0 07-04 02:17
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -39 $-6 12¢ $-5 +$1 07-18 12:09
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes -30 $-4 16¢ $-5 $-1 06-29 05:52
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes -20 $-2 20¢ $-4 $-2 07-04 08:28
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -30 $-4 12¢ $-4 +$0 07-16 19:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -4 $-0 86¢ $-3 $-3 06-11 20:44
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -50 $-1 $-3 $-2 07-22 11:00
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? Yes -30 $-1 $-2 $-1 07-22 11:00
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes -50 $-10 $-2 +$8 07-09 01:21
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -20 $1 10¢ $-2 $-3 07-22 11:00
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? Yes -20 $0 10¢ $-2 $-2 07-22 11:00
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -30 $-1 $-2 $-1 07-22 11:00
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -30 $0 $-2 $-2 07-22 11:00
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? No -2 $-1 20¢ $-0 +$1 06-02 06:31
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +0 $6 70¢ $0 $-6 06-13 07:52
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -0 $-1 66¢ $-0 +$1 06-21 10:58