Realized P&L
-$107
Unrealized P&L
-$56
Hit rate
39.2%
Resolved
12
Trades
1,696
lifetime
Volume
$40.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$472
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 07-01 23:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
45% 18% $-107
Politics
36%
Tech
10% 0%
Crypto
6%
Sports
3%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +200 $120 70¢ $141 +$21 06-19 01:06
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -136 $-106 84¢ $-114 $-7 06-13 17:17
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +200 $56 24¢ $49 $-7 06-23 11:40
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +50 $38 80¢ $40 +$2 06-16 21:31
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? No -50 $-38 78¢ $-39 $-1 06-24 12:41
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +26 $21 61¢ $16 $-5 06-15 21:36
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +30 $21 50¢ $15 $-6 06-18 12:36
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20 $12 46¢ $9 $-3 06-09 08:06
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +30 $10 25¢ $8 $-3 06-30 03:18
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $8 24¢ $7 $-0 06-30 11:32
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +20 $10 32¢ $6 $-3 06-07 20:24
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes -30 $-4 20¢ $-6 $-2 06-29 05:52
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes -40 $-5 12¢ $-5 +$0 07-01 21:07
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +125 $15 $4 $-11 07-01 14:32
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +20 $4 18¢ $4 $-1 07-01 15:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -4 $-0 82¢ $-3 $-3 06-11 20:44
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +16 $3 17¢ $3 $-0 06-25 19:19
Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +125 $15 $2 $-13 07-01 14:32
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +125 $12 $2 $-11 07-01 14:28
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? No -2 $-1 37¢ $-1 +$0 06-02 06:31
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +2 $1 27¢ $1 $-0 06-30 20:04
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +0 $6 60¢ $0 $-6 06-13 07:52
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -0 $-1 62¢ $-0 +$1 06-21 10:58