Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
open
Total volume
$265
$2,513 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$16,218
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-05-22
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 12:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-35.2¢
(top1%: 35% YES on $38
vs crowd: 70% YES on $246)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $42 | $42 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $166 | $32 | +$134 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $13 | $25 | $11 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $71 | $42 | +$29 |
| Median | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Below median | 3 | $44 | $5 | +$39 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $43 | — | +$43 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Private-Eviction 0x07cf…a9fa | Yes | +546 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 05-14 12:19 |
| Valuable-Laryngitis 0x20a6…e06a | Yes | +470 | $60 | $60 | 4 | 05-13 01:02 |
| Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57 | Yes | +270 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 05-14 11:49 |
| Legal-Grassland 0xe43d…3978 | Yes | +100 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-12 16:16 |
| Narrow-Product 0x8f4e…a12f | Yes | +91 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 17:36 |
| Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | +72 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 05-13 04:41 |
| Standard-Verification 0x689a…779e | Yes | +58 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 12:40 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +47 | $42 | $42 | 3 | 05-13 00:48 |
| Verifiable-Macaw 0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | +35 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 12:05 |
| Ondra 0x849c…4009 | No | +28 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 05-14 08:19 |
| Damaged-Mailbox 0x1142…22f1 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 12:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xf240…1ac1 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 12:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 12:40:31 | Standard-Verification 0x689a…779e | Yes | BUY | 58 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x95fa35… |
| 05-14 12:19:27 | Private-Eviction 0x07cf…a9fa | Yes | BUY | 546 | 8¢ | $44 | 0x7367ef… |
| 05-14 12:19:27 | (anonymous) 0xf240…1ac1 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xb7b7b6… |
| 05-14 12:14:09 | Damaged-Mailbox 0x1142…22f1 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x5cd243… |
| 05-14 12:05:10 | Verifiable-Macaw 0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x1fb529… |
| 05-14 11:49:56 | Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57 | Yes | BUY | 135 | 13¢ | $17 | 0x1249c6… |
| 05-14 11:44:03 | Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57 | Yes | BUY | 135 | 12¢ | $16 | 0x0a72d6… |
| 05-14 08:19:19 | (anonymous) 0xf240…1ac1 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x349c3f… |
| 05-14 08:19:19 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x47e82c… |
| 05-14 06:15:03 | Legal-Yard 0xcdcd…6bad | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x228e74… |
| 05-13 04:41:15 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x97ae43… |
| 05-13 01:32:59 | Original-Broker 0x36d5…d075 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x2935cb… |
| 05-13 01:02:48 | Valuable-Laryngitis 0x20a6…e06a | Yes | BUY | 250 | 13¢ | $32 | 0xca2e49… |
| 05-13 00:52:23 | Valuable-Laryngitis 0x20a6…e06a | Yes | BUY | 82 | 13¢ | $11 | 0x9f6fbc… |
| 05-13 00:48:39 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 14 | 88¢ | $12 | 0x0851b7… |
| 05-13 00:48:29 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 16 | 88¢ | $14 | 0x5df536… |
| 05-13 00:48:01 | Valuable-Laryngitis 0x20a6…e06a | Yes | BUY | 38 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x311cd7… |
| 05-13 00:26:08 | Orange-Nightmare-Dugout 0x8783…8584 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x0d4157… |
| 05-13 00:00:58 | Valuable-Laryngitis 0x20a6…e06a | Yes | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0xbf555c… |
| 05-12 23:48:20 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xa3109f… |
| 05-12 20:41:19 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xe3c340… |
| 05-12 17:36:43 | Narrow-Product 0x8f4e…a12f | Yes | BUY | 91 | 11¢ | $10 | 0x86ddcb… |
| 05-12 16:16:26 | Legal-Grassland 0xe43d…3978 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0xc00b2f… |
| 05-12 16:01:19 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 17 | 89¢ | $15 | 0x310f61… |
| 05-12 15:18:09 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x5d14e2… |
| 05-12 09:27:32 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xd9c7f8… |
| 05-12 09:27:31 | Honorable-Beach 0x8ba4…351a | Yes | SELL | 60 | 10¢ | $6 | 0xcd2aec… |
| 05-12 08:22:32 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x2016ed… |
| 05-12 07:26:09 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | No | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x4ee748… |