Legal-Grassland — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.66K

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

44.1%

Resolved

824

Trades

3,027

lifetime

Volume

$103.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-02

last 10-29 15:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 196 days

Categories

Politics

61% 29% +$1,321

Other

39% 28% +$379

Crypto

0% 41% -$37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes		+100	$9	3¢	$3	-$6	10-29 15:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	56	$10.4K	31,882	31,382	+500	Yes	+$2,382	03-02 05:34
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	33	$9.8K	7,997	7,997	+0	Yes	-$279	03-03 18:46
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	21	$8.1K	6,089	6,089	+0	Yes	-$574	03-04 09:48
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	16	$7.5K	4,048	4,048	+0	No	+$228	03-02 20:37
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$5.0K	2,859	2,859	+0	Yes	-$280	03-03 09:19
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	16	$4.7K	5,047	3,742	+1,305	No	-$369	03-06 00:14
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	23	$4.1K	4,366	3,766	+600	No	-$890	03-06 08:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	16	$3.3K	5,132	4,477	+654	Yes	+$1,701	02-28 13:45
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$1.3K	3,200	2,700	+500	No	-$1	04-01 10:05
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	29	$1.3K	1,305	1,305	+0	Yes	-$437	05-26 15:55
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	15	$1.2K	1,250	1,249	+1	No	+$19	04-10 13:41
will iran strike israel on march 10	29	$1.1K	678	678	+0	Yes	-$3	03-10 20:40
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	18	$968	600	600	+0	Yes	+$64	04-10 14:53
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	29	$840	3,300	2,300	+1,000	No	-$8	04-07 05:53
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 90 114	16	$815	800	800	+0	Yes	+$31	04-01 15:15
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	9	$770	746	199	+547	Yes	-$417	04-25 06:30
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$740	2,291	2,291	+0	No	-$11	03-03 10:38
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$732	495	495	+0	Yes	-$41	02-19 02:49
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	2	$712	400	400	+0	No	+$80	04-21 14:26
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	41	$703	3,580	2,850	+730	No	-$222	05-13 22:37
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	34	$664	770	770	+0	Yes	+$204	03-20 15:32
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	10	$635	600	590	+10	No	+$81	04-21 14:32
us forces enter iran by march 7	5	$612	1,870	1,410	+460	No	-$16	03-06 08:58
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	7	$600	1,085	1,085	+0	No	-$76	03-04 09:48
will scream 7 second weekend box office be between 19m and 22m	3	$594	300	300	+0	No	+$6	03-09 10:47
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 8	3	$588	300	300	+0	No	+$11	03-09 10:47
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 40 64	11	$585	300	300	+0	No	+$15	04-06 09:15
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 300 319	3	$583	300	300	+0	No	+$14	03-20 10:40
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	10	$571	2,021	2,137	-115	No	-$97	03-01 17:40
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	4	$552	300	300	+0	No	+$0	03-10 09:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:22:16	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x546643…
10-28 16:20:44	Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x02ff7e…
10-28 15:00:43	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x88f5cd…
10-28 15:00:19	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	3¢	$1	0x831e3f…
10-28 15:00:17	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0x7b2ce9…
10-28 15:00:13	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0xf64d2a…
10-27 18:33:24	Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0x2337af…
10-27 17:00:17	Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x2db69c…
10-27 16:59:27	Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x2c4082…
10-26 15:31:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xae891f…
10-25 02:47:29	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xd138c9…
10-23 15:49:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xf192a9…
10-23 15:43:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xeb65ca…
10-23 15:34:59	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x9bb60f…
10-22 18:07:26	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0xf25671…
10-22 18:07:26	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0x116a52…
10-22 13:45:14	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xece984…
10-22 10:11:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xad68b4…
10-21 17:36:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xe571c5…
10-21 11:49:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	38¢	$22	0x3488e5…
10-21 10:50:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xb9ce99…
10-21 10:35:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x154bcd…
10-21 10:13:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	28¢	$16	0xd2476f…
10-21 07:17:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x7263cb…
10-21 06:17:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xcb7b04…
10-18 09:03:41	Almaty Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Ilia Simakin	Ilia Simakin	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2eaee2…
10-18 08:46:45	Almaty Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Ilia Simakin	Ilia Simakin	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x40da03…
10-14 06:24:56	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	8¢	$8	0x0331c2…
10-14 06:21:29	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x54e8a4…
10-13 05:02:39	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xb79762…
10-13 02:25:20	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x200b33…
10-13 02:25:15	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xdf6f71…
10-13 02:24:45	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x7897ea…
10-13 02:24:17	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xe5a6a8…
10-11 05:04:21	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x101904…
10-10 15:22:52	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x38dfbd…
10-10 15:22:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	8¢	$3	0x2efde1…
10-10 15:22:37	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0xd66c90…
10-09 07:06:46	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu	Yibing Wu	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xbfc394…
10-08 21:29:09	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xe93d99…
10-08 21:24:38	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	24¢	$22	0x50b3bd…
10-08 20:59:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0xb1dc39…
10-08 20:57:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	29¢	$27	0x39633d…
10-08 20:48:18	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x134d6e…
10-08 20:09:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x57e173…
10-08 18:56:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x169a18…
10-08 18:36:59	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x6107e8…
10-08 18:15:59	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xdb0b12…
10-08 18:03:53	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$7	0x16648b…
10-08 16:48:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x4acd71…
10-08 13:49:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x45e87b…
10-08 13:44:33	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xd24a0e…
10-08 13:42:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$9	0x334448…
10-08 13:31:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xdcff71…
10-08 13:29:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0xefd5ee…
10-08 13:28:27	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0x00b90a…
10-08 05:37:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	17¢	$4	0x5806f9…
10-08 05:36:55	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	17¢	$4	0x24e058…
10-08 05:21:43	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x0cb930…
10-08 04:53:16	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	15¢	$6	0xcc1c9f…
10-08 04:53:14	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x5e292f…
10-07 18:32:58	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x999e5a…
10-07 18:21:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0xf9a19f…
10-07 18:07:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x5549d4…
10-07 17:52:37	Braga: Florian Broska vs Lukas Neumayer	Florian Broska	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x45f9ae…
10-07 17:45:49	Braga: Florian Broska vs Lukas Neumayer	Florian Broska	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x8034a8…
10-07 16:30:05	Braga: Sumit Nagal vs Luka Mikrut	Sumit Nagal	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x712f20…
10-07 12:25:01	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5498ba…
10-07 06:41:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xfec56b…
10-07 05:14:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xf1c39b…
10-06 10:33:33	Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x95e88e…
10-05 09:06:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x5ead71…
10-02 09:31:26	China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Maddison Inglis	Maddison Inglis	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xe59882…
10-02 09:21:48	China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Maddison Inglis	Maddison Inglis	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x8af98e…
10-02 08:27:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xb67f40…
10-02 08:26:26	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x63915a…
10-02 08:26:26	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x4d3a7d…
10-02 08:26:24	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x7b7abe…
10-02 08:21:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	56¢	$10	0xc1c862…
10-02 05:46:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa7eb29…
10-01 04:35:29	atp walton bellucc 2026 09 30	Adam Walton	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xe39cf1…
09-30 04:57:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5b0aa5…
09-30 04:20:27	wta ruse tagger 2026 09 29	Lilli Tagger	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xb28058…
09-29 14:08:44	atp alves zarate 2026 09 28	Carlos Maria Zarate	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3f7ff5…
09-29 14:08:41	atp alves zarate 2026 09 28	Carlos Maria Zarate	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x58a596…
09-29 14:07:20	atp silv dellie 2026 09 28	Murkel Dellien	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xdbc0ee…
09-29 12:21:33	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	John Sperle	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x7f9a88…
09-29 12:12:57	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	John Sperle	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xb714a3…
09-29 10:40:05	atp tomic su 2026 09 28	Fajing Sun	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x4760f7…
09-29 10:40:02	atp tomic su 2026 09 28	Fajing Sun	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf2a8a4…
09-29 05:05:05	Jingshan: Alexandra Shubladze vs Rina Saigo	Rina Saigo	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x75bab9…
09-29 04:20:15	Jingshan: Alexandra Shubladze vs Rina Saigo	Rina Saigo	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x5dc1fe…
09-29 04:06:45	atp machac gea 2026 09 28	Tomas Machac	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xfb6301…
09-29 03:46:06	atp walton binda 2026 09 28	Alexandr Binda	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x4e6d28…
09-29 03:46:02	atp walton binda 2026 09 28	Alexandr Binda	BUY	68	2¢	$1	0x1c7e36…
09-29 03:45:44	atp walton binda 2026 09 28	Alexandr Binda	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0xa19360…
09-29 03:04:17	atp tsitsip hijikat 2026 09 28	Rinky Hijikata	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xbb69c9…
09-29 03:03:17	atp tsitsip hijikat 2026 09 28	Rinky Hijikata	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb5b331…
09-29 03:02:18	atp tsitsip hijikat 2026 09 28	Rinky Hijikata	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x937e9a…
09-28 12:01:32	wta kulikov friedsa 2026 09 28	Anastasia Kulikova	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0xcde220…