Ondra 0x849ccb…da4009
whale bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$32.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$93
Hit rate
57.5%
Resolved
2,512
Trades
314,749
lifetime
Volume
$4.69M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$5.92K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 19:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 263 days
Categories
Other
100% 51% +$32,931
Politics
0% 50% -$12
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% 0% -$24
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 671 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +7,860 $844 10¢ $747 -$98 10-28 05:31
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +9,913 $700 6¢ $545 -$155 10-18 12:34
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No +36,832 $442 1¢ $534 +$92 10-28 20:55
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes +5,333 $500 8¢ $453 -$47 10-28 09:46
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +1,186 $270 30¢ $362 +$92 09-30 19:36
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +8,965 $267 4¢ $359 +$91 10-28 21:06
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +3,177 $681 10¢ $334 -$348 10-25 04:44
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +1,500 $295 18¢ $278 -$18 10-25 21:07
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +1,000 $270 26¢ $265 -$5 10-25 21:07
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes +3,162 $253 8¢ $253 $0 10-02 04:43
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +14,583 $308 2¢ $241 -$67 10-28 21:09
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +3,678 $294 6¢ $239 -$55 10-28 04:58
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +4,170 $260 6¢ $234 -$27 10-28 19:04
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,346 $93 17¢ $223 +$129 09-30 19:26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +9,605 $338 2¢ $197 -$141 10-28 14:09
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,500 $180 12¢ $172 -$8 10-25 21:07
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,563 $52 7¢ $113 +$61 09-30 19:26
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +997 -$147 10¢ $97 +$244 10-28 20:33
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,372 $47 4¢ $54 +$7 09-30 19:39
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,671 $43 3¢ $49 +$6 10-25 15:35
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +1,036 $40 4¢ $38 -$2 10-26 19:24
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +710 -$25 4¢ $29 +$54 10-28 20:05
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +696 -$54 4¢ $25 +$79 10-26 23:13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,011 $0 2¢ $20 +$19 10-27 13:18
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,166 $55 2¢ $19 -$36 07-22 10:48
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes +56 -$35 29¢ $16 +$52 10-23 08:16
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +184 $10 8¢ $14 +$5 10-28 14:26
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes -251 $36 3¢ $-7 -$43 09-02 14:16
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -304 -$34 2¢ $-6 +$28 10-27 21:23
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +1 $6 23¢ $0 -$6 10-25 04:31