Verifiable-Macaw 0x1e1aed…9d7690
whale hot 30W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$63.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.06K
Hit rate
94.2%
Resolved
2,866
Trades
120,418
lifetime
Volume
$4.60M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$7.91K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 10:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 289 days
Categories
Other
100% 95% +$63,370
Politics
0% 81% -$98
Crypto
0% 100% +$6
Tech
0% 88% +$5
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 935 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? Yes -4,292 -$814 63¢ $-2704 -$1,890 10-26 11:02
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? Yes -3,993 -$481 36¢ $-1417 -$937 10-26 07:40
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +800 $750 64¢ $516 -$234 10-27 11:11
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +429 $411 100¢ $428 +$17 10-21 16:21
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +367 $345 99¢ $362 +$17 10-20 22:08
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +300 $287 96¢ $288 +$2 08-23 01:03
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +215 $210 100¢ $215 +$5 10-20 16:36
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +501 $468 37¢ $186 -$282 10-21 15:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +150 $146 99¢ $149 +$3 10-20 21:51
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +146 $145 100¢ $146 +$1 10-10 10:15
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +150 $128 88¢ $131 +$3 10-14 20:18
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $99 98¢ $98 -$1 10-05 20:59
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +100 $96 97¢ $97 +$1 10-16 20:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +100 $89 96¢ $96 +$7 10-11 14:03
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +100 $96 96¢ $96 +$0 10-10 10:15
Trump out as President before 2027? No +100 $96 96¢ $96 $0 10-13 09:58
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +100 $92 95¢ $95 +$4 10-06 01:02
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +100 $96 88¢ $88 -$8 10-10 10:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +100 $78 84¢ $84 +$6 09-19 02:53
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +70 $68 99¢ $69 +$1 09-28 20:21
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +70 $69 98¢ $69 +$0 10-11 10:51
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? Yes -4,428 -$280 1¢ $-62 +$218 10-26 07:46
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +70 $59 84¢ $59 +$1 10-12 12:02
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +60 $59 98¢ $59 +$0 10-24 10:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +58 $50 94¢ $54 +$4 10-17 14:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +60 $55 86¢ $52 -$3 10-13 09:59
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +50 $49 100¢ $50 +$0 10-05 20:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +50 $49 100¢ $50 +$0 10-05 20:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $49 100¢ $50 +$1 07-02 19:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $48 99¢ $50 +$2 07-02 19:58