Verifiable-Macaw 0x1e1aed…9d7690 Create alert
whale 30W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$601
Unrealized P&L
-$1.81K
Hit rate
94.8%
Resolved (7d)
133
Trades (7d)
4,307
125,620 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$147.1K
$4.77M lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$20.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 21:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 297 days
Categories
Other
100% 95% +$61,396
Politics
0% 85% -$104
Crypto
0% 100% +$6
Tech
0% 89% +$5
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 935 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +6,086 $5,452 68¢ $4.1K -$1,344 11-04 19:30
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +4,699 $3,980 74¢ $3.5K -$479 11-04 08:39
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +2,936 $2,908 100¢ $2.9K +$24 11-04 20:43
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +3,289 $3,058 85¢ $2.8K -$277 11-04 20:42
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +2,627 $2,536 96¢ $2.5K -$17 11-04 20:43
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +2,353 $2,027 86¢ $2.0K +$8 11-04 06:13
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes +1,211 $41 32¢ $394 +$353 11-03 23:41
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes -2,499 -$350 14¢ $-337 +$12 11-04 21:52
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +300 $287 98¢ $294 +$8 08-23 01:03
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes -1,484 -$95 15¢ $-229 -$134 11-04 20:51
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +146 $145 100¢ $146 +$1 10-10 10:15
Trump out as President before 2027? No +140 $135 96¢ $134 $0 11-01 11:13
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +120 $115 98¢ $117 +$2 10-31 23:20
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +110 $102 96¢ $106 +$4 11-04 17:03
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +100 $96 99¢ $99 +$4 10-16 20:59
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +100 $92 98¢ $98 +$7 10-06 01:02
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $99 90¢ $90 -$8 10-05 20:59
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes -2,168 -$99 4¢ $-89 +$10 11-04 14:39
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +80 $77 97¢ $77 +$1 11-04 11:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +75 $72 98¢ $73 +$1 10-31 23:23
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +70 $68 100¢ $70 +$2 11-03 20:52
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +70 $69 99¢ $69 +$1 10-11 10:51
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +70 $65 96¢ $68 +$2 10-31 23:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +67 $63 98¢ $65 +$2 10-31 23:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +67 $62 98¢ $65 +$4 10-31 23:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +60 $59 99¢ $60 +$0 10-31 23:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +60 $59 98¢ $59 +$0 10-24 10:44
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +60 $59 98¢ $59 $0 10-31 23:44
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +60 $58 98¢ $59 +$0 10-31 23:18
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +60 $58 98¢ $59 +$0 10-31 23:19