Verifiable-Macaw 0x1e1aed…9d7690 Create alert
whale 30W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$569
Unrealized P&L
-$1.27K
Hit rate
94.6%
Resolved (7d)
130
Trades (7d)
4,280
125,506 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$144.7K
$4.77M lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$20.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 17:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 297 days
Categories
Other
100% 95% +$61,364
Politics
0% 85% -$104
Crypto
0% 100% +$6
Tech
0% 89% +$5
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 935 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +6,236 $5,559 76¢ $4.7K -$850 11-04 18:33
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +3,653 $3,624 100¢ $3.6K +$24 11-04 18:17
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +4,699 $3,980 70¢ $3.3K -$667 11-04 08:39
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +3,609 $3,343 91¢ $3.3K -$58 11-04 18:33
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +2,850 $2,753 98¢ $2.8K +$31 11-04 18:17
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes +1,211 $41 24¢ $297 +$256 11-03 23:41
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +300 $287 98¢ $294 +$8 08-23 01:03
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +146 $145 100¢ $146 +$1 10-10 10:15
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes -1,534 -$101 9¢ $-138 -$37 11-04 14:18
Trump out as President before 2027? No +140 $135 96¢ $135 +$0 11-01 11:13
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +120 $115 98¢ $117 +$2 10-31 23:20
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +110 $102 96¢ $106 +$4 11-04 17:03
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +100 $96 99¢ $99 +$4 10-16 20:59
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +100 $92 99¢ $99 +$7 10-06 01:02
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $99 89¢ $89 -$9 10-05 20:59
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +80 $77 97¢ $78 +$1 11-04 11:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +75 $72 98¢ $73 +$1 10-31 23:23
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No — +70 $68 100¢ $70 +$2 11-03 20:52
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +70 $69 99¢ $69 +$0 10-11 10:51
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +70 $65 96¢ $68 +$2 10-31 23:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +67 $63 98¢ $65 +$2 10-31 23:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +67 $62 98¢ $65 +$4 10-31 23:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +60 $59 99¢ $60 +$0 10-31 23:44
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +60 $59 98¢ $59 $0 10-31 23:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +60 $59 98¢ $59 +$0 10-24 10:44
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +60 $58 98¢ $59 +$0 10-31 23:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +60 $58 98¢ $59 +$1 10-31 23:16
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +60 $58 98¢ $58 +$0 10-31 23:19
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +60 $58 96¢ $58 +$0 11-01 11:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +60 $58 96¢ $58 +$0 11-04 11:24