Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,503
$512 in 24h
Trades
77
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$7,002
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-11-20
First seen
2026-11-10
last 11-11 18:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.0¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $428
vs crowd: 1% YES on $1.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $3 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $0 | $134 | $134 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | — | $66 | $66 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 12 | $10 | $418 | $408 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $10 | $20 | $10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $65 | $65 |
| Median | 1 | — | $100 | $100 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $40 | $40 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $819 | $819 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rich-Game 0xdd93…a22b | Yes | +1,043 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-10 14:15 |
| Well-Worn-Foundation-Thread 0x9d80…fcaf | No | +827 | $819 | $819 | 1 | 11-10 14:15 |
| Mortified-Samurai 0x7db5…cf18 | Yes | +652 | $3 | $3 | 6 | 11-11 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | +576 | $4 | $4 | 19 | 11-11 09:43 |
| Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | No | +200 | $199 | $199 | 2 | 11-10 12:59 |
| Verifiable-Macaw 0x1e1a…7690 | No | +180 | $179 | $179 | 3 | 11-11 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x2533…f80b | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 11-11 16:34 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +84 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 11-10 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c9f…e142 | No | +52 | $51 | $51 | 7 | 11-10 08:08 |
| Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | +42 | $2 | $4 | 11 | 11-10 16:44 |
| Best-Radish 0x2924…dcde | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 11-11 07:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xcfa9…a5d3 | Yes | +35 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-10 06:19 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 11-10 12:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x94d9…bc47 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 11-10 08:18 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-10 12:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1d5…7d73 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 11-10 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xadc2…2bea | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 11-10 07:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xd513…c81e | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-10 12:25 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-10 05:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-11 18:03:42 | Mortified-Samurai 0x7db5…cf18 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1550c9… |
| 11-11 18:03:42 | Verifiable-Macaw 0x1e1a…7690 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x1550c9… |
| 11-11 16:34:30 | (anonymous) 0x2533…f80b | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xea90e6… |
| 11-11 16:34:30 | Mortified-Samurai 0x7db5…cf18 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xea90e6… |
| 11-11 13:05:13 | (anonymous) 0xf322…ebf9 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d5f29… |
| 11-11 13:05:13 | Mortified-Samurai 0x7db5…cf18 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d5f29… |
| 11-11 09:43:15 | Verifiable-Macaw 0x1e1a…7690 | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x975a7e… |
| 11-11 09:43:15 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x975a7e… |
| 11-11 07:00:37 | Best-Radish 0x2924…dcde | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x6bae27… |
| 11-11 07:00:37 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6bae27… |
| 11-11 00:46:31 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2ef482… |
| 11-11 00:46:31 | Verifiable-Macaw 0x1e1a…7690 | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x2ef482… |
| 11-10 21:07:45 | Mortified-Samurai 0x7db5…cf18 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x232657… |
| 11-10 21:07:45 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 63 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x232657… |
| 11-10 21:07:45 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x898a64… |
| 11-10 21:07:45 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x84be29… |
| 11-10 21:07:45 | Mortified-Samurai 0x7db5…cf18 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x898a64… |
| 11-10 21:07:45 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x84be29… |
| 11-10 16:44:24 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x3b3ec7… |
| 11-10 16:44:24 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | SELL | 233 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3b3ec7… |
| 11-10 14:35:34 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd57c22… |
| 11-10 14:35:34 | (anonymous) 0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd57c22… |
| 11-10 14:20:54 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 63 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x931c10… |
| 11-10 14:20:54 | (anonymous) 0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | SELL | 63 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x931c10… |
| 11-10 14:20:42 | Mortified-Samurai 0x7db5…cf18 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x1a3e9e… |
| 11-10 14:20:42 | (anonymous) 0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | SELL | 300 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x1a3e9e… |
| 11-10 14:20:40 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 137 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb771f3… |
| 11-10 14:20:40 | (anonymous) 0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | SELL | 137 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb771f3… |
| 11-10 14:15:34 | (anonymous) 0xf322…ebf9 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1b3297… |
| 11-10 14:15:34 | Rich-Game 0xdd93…a22b | Yes | BUY | 1,043 | 1¢ | $10 | 0x1b3297… |
| 11-10 14:15:34 | Well-Worn-Foundation-Thread 0x9d80…fcaf | No | BUY | 827 | 99¢ | $819 | 0x1b3297… |
| 11-10 14:15:34 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 188 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x1b3297… |
| 11-10 12:59:28 | Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xf39935… |
| 11-10 12:59:28 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 28 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf39935… |
| 11-10 12:59:28 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf39935… |
| 11-10 12:25:49 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xad0a5f… |
| 11-10 12:25:49 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xef4dfd… |
| 11-10 12:25:49 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xef4dfd… |
| 11-10 12:25:49 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xad0a5f… |
| 11-10 12:25:49 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0xad0a5f… |
| 11-10 12:25:49 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbe4bfa… |
| 11-10 12:25:49 | (anonymous) 0xd513…c81e | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xbe4bfa… |
| 11-10 10:10:28 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa20c65… |
| 11-10 10:10:28 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa20c65… |
| 11-10 10:10:28 | Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xa20c65… |
| 11-10 08:18:25 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x72efd4… |
| 11-10 08:18:25 | (anonymous) 0x94d9…bc47 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x72efd4… |
| 11-10 08:08:28 | (anonymous) 0x94d9…bc47 | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0xc830e9… |
| 11-10 08:08:28 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc830e9… |
| 11-10 08:08:15 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9a9c1c… |
| 11-10 08:08:15 | (anonymous) 0x9c9f…e142 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x9a9c1c… |
| 11-10 08:07:45 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7ca108… |
| 11-10 08:07:45 | (anonymous) 0x9c9f…e142 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x7ca108… |
| 11-10 08:07:13 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4ad0ed… |
| 11-10 08:07:13 | (anonymous) 0x9c9f…e142 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x4ad0ed… |
| 11-10 08:06:49 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x30394a… |
| 11-10 08:06:49 | (anonymous) 0x9c9f…e142 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x30394a… |
| 11-10 08:05:25 | (anonymous) 0x9c9f…e142 | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0xca29a8… |
| 11-10 08:05:25 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xca29a8… |
| 11-10 08:05:24 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xff138f… |
| 11-10 08:05:24 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xff138f… |
| 11-10 08:05:24 | (anonymous) 0x9c9f…e142 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xff138f… |
| 11-10 08:05:01 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x784024… |
| 11-10 08:05:01 | (anonymous) 0x9c9f…e142 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x784024… |
| 11-10 07:59:36 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xd42c2b… |
| 11-10 07:59:36 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x067258… |
| 11-10 07:59:36 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd42c2b… |
| 11-10 07:59:36 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd42c2b… |
| 11-10 07:59:36 | (anonymous) 0xadc2…2bea | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x067258… |
| 11-10 07:51:51 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x953550… |
| 11-10 07:51:51 | (anonymous) 0xf1d5…7d73 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x953550… |
| 11-10 07:50:22 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf83ee8… |
| 11-10 07:50:22 | (anonymous) 0xf1d5…7d73 | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0xf83ee8… |
| 11-10 06:19:55 | Striking-Concentrate 0xbc13…5578 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x12ad2f… |
| 11-10 06:19:55 | (anonymous) 0xcfa9…a5d3 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x12ad2f… |
| 11-10 05:36:19 | Striking-Concentrate 0xbc13…5578 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdbfd19… |
| 11-10 05:36:19 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdbfd19… |