Curvy-Rush — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.15K

Unrealized P&L

+$690

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

414

Trades

19,839

lifetime

Volume

$1.20M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

$16.9K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-03 22:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Other

52% 61% -$1,898

Politics

39% 67% +$6,278

Sports

8% 64% +$1,656

Pop-Culture

1% 71% +$96

Crypto

0% 100% +$3

Tech

0% 100% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+10,000	$7,600	80¢	$8.0K	+$350	11-03 21:46
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+10,000	$7,600	78¢	$7.8K	+$250	11-03 22:07
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	+1,500	$1,035	75¢	$1.1K	+$90	05-27 01:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	29	$201.6K	83,741	118,702	-34,962	Yes	+$564	02-28 08:20
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	354	$41.8K	22,786	22,786	+0	No	+$297	05-04 06:13
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	625	$34.5K	22,050	28,940	-6,890	No	-$1,855	03-16 02:20
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	423	$34.1K	19,434	19,434	+0	Yes	-$100	05-04 04:37
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	297	$24.7K	13,757	23,386	-9,629	No	-$2,037	03-09 11:34
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	299	$23.4K	17,689	17,689	+0	No	+$228	05-04 10:24
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	391	$16.4K	12,340	19,329	-6,989	Yes	+$3,887	01-13 16:59
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	203	$15.5K	5,431	12,170	-6,739	No	-$789	01-18 23:18
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	518	$14.5K	14,106	23,381	-9,275	Yes	+$4,019	03-16 02:20
will andr ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	169	$14.5K	6,425	10,800	-4,375	No	-$703	01-18 23:05
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	273	$14.0K	6,343	11,592	-5,249	No	-$1,025	01-19 14:58
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	304	$13.4K	9,510	15,887	-6,377	No	-$3,254	01-09 16:50
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	288	$13.2K	8,330	8,580	-250	No	+$391	03-13 12:57
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	253	$12.7K	7,553	12,628	-5,075	No	-$1,865	03-13 14:16
will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	227	$12.6K	5,736	7,636	-1,900	No	-$38	03-16 02:20
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	262	$12.5K	8,161	10,790	-2,628	No	-$878	01-13 16:33
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	226	$11.8K	4,697	7,747	-3,050	No	-$116	03-16 02:20
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	89	$11.3K	7,116	11,316	-4,200	No	-$1,598	02-08 15:46
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 560 579	304	$10.9K	8,691	14,191	-5,500	Yes	+$2,666	01-09 16:45
will nuevayol be played first at the super bowl halftime show	254	$10.9K	5,193	6,823	-1,630	No	+$25	02-09 01:20
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours 578 355	169	$10.7K	5,275	8,158	-2,883	No	-$208	01-25 02:41
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	251	$10.6K	7,505	11,288	-3,783	No	-$1,451	01-13 17:00
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	177	$10.4K	11,705	11,705	+0	Yes	-$45	05-04 04:19
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	226	$10.4K	8,624	12,424	-3,800	Yes	+$2,476	03-09 01:24
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	170	$10.3K	10,252	10,252	+0	No	+$237	05-04 11:06
will baile inolvidable be played first at the super bowl halftime show	267	$10.1K	4,025	6,925	-2,900	No	+$196	02-09 01:20
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	239	$9.5K	7,122	11,013	-3,891	Yes	+$2,501	02-24 16:40
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	200	$9.4K	6,356	9,606	-3,250	No	-$1,340	01-30 15:52
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	106	$9.3K	5,814	12,714	-6,900	Yes	+$4,479	02-08 12:46
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	165	$9.1K	4,798	6,848	-2,050	No	-$372	01-19 06:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 22:07:18	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,850	76¢	$1,406	0x60df2f…
11-03 22:06:30	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,197	76¢	$3,950	0x69aa50…
11-03 22:05:48	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	76¢	$79	0xc75b9a…
11-03 22:03:21	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	76¢	$16	0x73accf…
11-03 21:56:13	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x9936c7…
11-03 21:55:48	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,461	76¢	$1,870	0xcc968c…
11-03 21:54:18	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4e96c0…
11-03 21:47:40	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x6e2e7f…
11-03 21:46:01	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	76¢	$7,600	0x48d5e6…
11-03 21:45:10	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	76¢	$122	0x3a7d63…
07-30 11:24:24	Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x19233d…
07-30 11:07:29	Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x110c20…
07-13 14:32:35	Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x27e58f…
07-13 10:42:50	Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	No	BUY	53	67¢	$35	0x801731…
07-05 17:31:40	Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	No	BUY	43	67¢	$29	0x6779e8…
05-27 01:53:02	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	500	68¢	$340	0x991da0…
05-27 01:52:32	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	27	69¢	$19	0x99716b…
05-27 01:51:33	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xa5fdaf…
05-27 01:51:31	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	500	70¢	$350	0x0e2ca3…
05-20 13:44:54	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on May 31?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3d85e4…
05-15 07:27:53	Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb34475…
05-13 15:32:56	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $690b on May 31?	No	BUY	400	42¢	$168	0x927b0e…
05-11 18:26:07	Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$19	0x578ad6…
05-09 12:15:21	Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	No	BUY	75	90¢	$68	0x13850b…
05-08 14:03:25	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $690b on May 31?	No	BUY	150	75¢	$112	0xa9f7a2…
05-08 09:55:54	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x01d6e9…
05-08 09:52:57	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0xcd7454…
05-08 09:52:38	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0xd54bcf…
05-08 09:51:43	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0x0a2120…
05-08 08:04:30	Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	400	13¢	$52	0x6489fa…
05-08 01:14:04	Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xd4b2e7…
05-07 21:09:39	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x04726c…
05-07 11:33:32	Will the Conservative Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	158	73¢	$115	0x9fa2f4…
05-07 06:33:52	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	161	70¢	$113	0x56fea3…
05-07 05:12:52	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	167	70¢	$117	0xeae717…
05-07 02:45:00	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	65	70¢	$46	0xe84154…
05-07 00:59:20	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?	No	BUY	70	97¢	$67	0x3ffa23…
05-07 00:42:39	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xecd3ae…
05-06 23:43:35	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x1ba8b6…
05-06 23:01:09	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$7	0xe8792a…
05-06 21:59:26	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x8d167d…
05-06 17:37:15	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 50% and 60%?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x0e90e5…
05-06 15:33:47	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xe6faa5…
05-06 15:04:41	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	SELL	75	10¢	$7	0x5e2ee0…
05-06 14:22:53	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	350	96¢	$336	0x8fad3d…
05-06 14:01:12	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x892071…
05-06 12:56:26	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$189	0x305e05…
05-06 12:42:24	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	SELL	75	14¢	$11	0x6e7bb9…
05-06 12:08:04	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	BUY	150	12¢	$18	0x1aa645…
05-06 12:00:18	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 40% and 50%?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xa0847e…
05-06 12:00:14	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 40% and 50%?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0xaa98f4…
05-06 11:59:02	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 40% and 50%?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x2f869e…
05-06 11:50:42	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	15	63¢	$10	0xa10b7b…
05-06 11:18:30	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x130d36…
05-06 11:12:54	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	19	64¢	$12	0x6975a8…
05-06 11:09:54	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	164	61¢	$100	0xd1c711…
05-06 10:39:26	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xb26376…
05-06 04:56:52	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	126	27¢	$34	0x313f26…
05-06 04:48:30	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xa9adac…
05-06 04:47:16	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	60	28¢	$17	0xf4f9e8…
05-06 04:38:44	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xd46ce9…
05-06 04:19:12	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0xb222b9…
05-06 04:19:12	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0x82226e…
05-06 04:19:12	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	51	34¢	$17	0x22d3a6…
05-06 04:16:46	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	109	33¢	$36	0xc7e987…
05-06 04:15:20	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	80	34¢	$27	0xc1cba8…
05-06 04:15:08	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	57	34¢	$19	0x8f7fb9…
05-06 04:15:06	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x578bda…
05-06 04:15:06	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	95	34¢	$32	0x4fc074…
05-06 04:12:46	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	68	35¢	$24	0xd5ac4a…
05-06 04:10:56	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x78d857…
05-06 04:10:42	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	400	35¢	$140	0x511b8d…
05-06 01:51:28	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6359b4…
05-06 01:51:24	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x85f582…
05-06 00:48:24	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?	No	SELL	78	72¢	$56	0x9ec025…
05-06 00:43:40	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?	No	SELL	220	73¢	$161	0x36e153…
05-06 00:42:44	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x50abd7…
05-06 00:41:48	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?	No	SELL	185	75¢	$139	0xc9b956…
05-06 00:40:04	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xd3594a…
05-06 00:28:14	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x59df81…
05-06 00:27:38	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?	No	BUY	500	81¢	$405	0xaac6d6…
05-05 15:47:28	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	22	33¢	$7	0x8fe289…
05-05 15:27:42	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	153	34¢	$52	0xbd819d…
05-05 15:27:42	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	25	34¢	$9	0x312aef…
05-05 15:19:18	Will Nationalist Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	No	SELL	154	81¢	$124	0x1e46cd…
05-05 15:17:56	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa67f3f…
05-05 15:16:42	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0x781192…
05-05 15:15:50	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	174	34¢	$59	0xaccdac…
05-05 15:06:20	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	49	37¢	$18	0x5df818…
05-05 15:00:54	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	49	34¢	$17	0x34165a…
05-05 14:43:38	Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	49	14¢	$7	0xecddb0…
05-05 14:24:12	Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xf670b0…
05-05 14:15:18	Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x96bb4c…
05-05 14:11:10	Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	23	30¢	$7	0xc3a692…
05-05 14:11:10	Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x0d1b6a…
05-05 14:11:08	Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0xba31a4…
05-05 14:11:08	Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	133	30¢	$40	0x9bcfb8…
05-05 14:11:08	Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x755dfa…
05-05 14:11:00	Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xd38a8b…
05-05 14:10:58	Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0x377ed9…