Weird-Nylon 0x686420…3f294b
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$23.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$221
Hit rate
82.4%
Resolved
3,521
Trades
149,037
lifetime
Volume
$3.58M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$14.6K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 18:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 301 days
Categories
Other
97% 86% +$23,919
Politics
2% 99% -$471
Tech
0% 67% -$99
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1338 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +2,900 $2,638 93¢ $2.7K +$65 11-01 18:26
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +2,100 $2,037 97¢ $2.0K -$9 11-01 04:10
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +2,400 $2,124 81¢ $2.0K -$171 11-01 17:50
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +2,300 $2,056 85¢ $1.9K -$108 11-01 17:46
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +1,560 $1,387 100¢ $1.6K +$171 11-01 18:03
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +1,424 $1,284 99¢ $1.4K +$124 11-01 14:02
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +1,300 $1,133 100¢ $1.3K +$165 10-30 21:41
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes +5,601 $757 15¢ $857 +$100 11-01 18:22
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes +4,600 $361 7¢ $313 -$48 11-01 18:26
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes +600 -$2 19¢ $112 +$114 11-01 18:51
Natural Disaster in 2026? No +100 $90 97¢ $97 +$7 10-23 20:35
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No -100 -$84 96¢ $-96 -$12 07-28 07:38
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $93 82¢ $82 -$11 08-27 02:20
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $81 70¢ $70 -$11 08-27 12:36
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes +5,800 $378 1¢ $64 -$314 11-01 18:32
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes -500 -$19 3¢ $-17 +$2 11-01 16:57
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes +4,218 $86 0¢ $6 -$79 11-01 17:10
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +500 $2 1¢ $6 +$3 08-26 21:45
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes +3,444 $203 0¢ $5 -$198 11-01 19:04
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? Yes — +100 $10 0¢ $0 -$10 11-01 19:13