Realized P&L
+$22.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$360
Hit rate
82.3%
Resolved
3,534
Trades
150,972
lifetime
Volume
$3.62M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$36.2K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 01:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 302 days
Categories
Other
97% 86% +$23,267
Politics
2% 99% -$471
Tech
0% 67% -$99
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1338 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +4,400 $3,987 99¢ $4.4K +$369 11-03 00:43
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +4,185 $3,752 96¢ $4.0K +$268 11-02 21:57
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +3,694 $3,476 100¢ $3.7K +$214 11-03 02:32
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +5,459 $4,788 62¢ $3.4K -$1,430 11-03 02:07
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +3,700 $3,149 86¢ $3.2K +$27 11-03 03:01
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +2,900 $2,768 100¢ $2.9K +$127 11-03 00:43
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +2,700 $2,478 100¢ $2.7K +$215 11-02 20:14
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +2,600 $2,529 100¢ $2.6K +$68 11-02 21:51
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +2,300 $2,268 100¢ $2.3K +$29 11-02 18:45
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +3,776 $3,084 55¢ $2.1K -$1,005 11-02 22:13
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +2,000 $1,974 100¢ $2.0K +$24 11-02 21:04
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +1,600 $1,586 100¢ $1.6K +$11 11-01 23:22
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes +2,500 -$188 38¢ $963 +$1,150 11-03 03:02
Natural Disaster in 2026? No +100 $90 98¢ $98 +$8 10-23 20:35
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No -100 -$84 96¢ $-96 -$12 07-28 07:38
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $93 76¢ $76 -$17 08-27 02:20
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $81 70¢ $70 -$10 08-27 12:36
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes +785 $80 4¢ $31 -$49 11-03 03:03
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes -200 -$306 14¢ $-28 +$278 11-03 01:23
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes +1,700 $80 1¢ $17 -$63 11-03 03:06
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes +8,271 $731 0¢ $8 -$723 11-03 02:41
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +500 $2 1¢ $5 +$2 08-26 21:45
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes +1,500 -$96 0¢ $4 +$100 11-03 00:47
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes -2,300 $16 0¢ $-2 -$18 11-03 00:15
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes +1,100 -$33 0¢ $2 +$35 11-03 02:50
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes +1,000 -$33 0¢ $1 +$34 11-03 02:21
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes +500 -$27 0¢ $1 +$28 11-02 18:45
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes -200 -$8 0¢ $-0 +$8 11-02 12:25
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? Yes +0 -$692 45¢ $0 +$692 11-02 20:16