Realized P&L
-$471
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
81.0%
Resolved
2,384
Trades
58,389
lifetime
Volume
$4.29M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$20.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 08:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 286 days
Categories
Other
95% 85% -$27
Crypto
3% 71% +$8
Politics
1% 62% -$22
Tech
0% 82% -$44
Sports
0% 50% -$386
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 575 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,000 $1,998 100¢ $2.0K +$0 10-24 04:29
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +2,015 $1,906 91¢ $1.8K -$63 10-10 14:17
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? Yes -2,432 -$1,561 74¢ $-1812 -$251 10-27 09:20
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +1,494 $1,470 99¢ $1.5K +$2 10-27 07:37
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +1,271 $1,253 99¢ $1.3K +$8 10-25 17:04
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win Worlds 2026? No +1,000 $999 100¢ $998 $0 10-18 14:24
Will LOS win Worlds 2026? No +1,000 $999 100¢ $998 $0 10-18 14:24
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,000 $920 92¢ $915 -$5 10-22 03:06
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,000 $920 92¢ $915 -$5 10-24 03:56
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +856 $823 99¢ $847 +$24 10-21 01:35
Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026? No +700 $694 99¢ $695 +$1 10-27 07:51
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? No +700 $674 99¢ $695 +$21 10-20 15:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +716 $663 92¢ $662 -$1 10-25 02:37
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +595 $588 100¢ $594 +$6 09-26 03:51
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? Yes -2,457 -$748 23¢ $-575 +$173 10-27 09:24
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +460 $419 94¢ $430 +$11 10-18 14:36
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -390 -$377 86¢ $-335 +$41 10-26 23:17
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? No +324 $319 98¢ $317 -$2 10-26 01:35
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +317 $316 100¢ $317 +$0 10-26 19:18
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +300 $300 100¢ $300 $0 07-17 16:39
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +341 $280 82¢ $281 +$2 10-03 19:15
will openais valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 937 533 No +298 $255 93¢ $278 +$23 10-05 17:18
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +410 $276 64¢ $264 -$12 10-12 12:09
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +242 $225 96¢ $232 +$7 10-26 15:33
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +405 $194 57¢ $230 +$37 10-14 05:02
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +200 $182 96¢ $193 +$11 09-17 01:49
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +150 $135 95¢ $142 +$7 09-09 08:45
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes -780 -$119 18¢ $-136 -$18 10-21 13:11
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +139 $97 82¢ $114 +$17 09-18 08:55
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +405 $124 28¢ $111 -$13 10-14 21:30