Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$170

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

1,355

Trades

5,105

lifetime

Volume

$54.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-27 10:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 170 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 42% -$944

Other

12% 20% +$1,114

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+200	-$5	2¢	$3	+$8	10-27 07:30
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+600	$4	0¢	$1	-$4	10-26 14:53
elon musk of tweets october 20 october 27 2026 380 399	Yes	+600	$6	0¢	$1	-$5	10-27 07:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 13:45 UTC	17	$358	200	199	+1	Down	+$7	01-14 13:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 13:30 UTC	8	$347	200	199	+1	Down	+$8	01-14 13:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 12:45 UTC	14	$341	500	494	+6	Up	-$9	01-30 12:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 03:00 UTC	18	$323	400	397	+3	Up	-$39	01-30 03:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 09:00 UTC	8	$319	400	395	+5	Down	+$15	01-30 09:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 09:00 UTC	10	$305	298	295	+3	Down	+$88	02-13 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 14:00 UTC	5	$295	300	197	+103	Down	+$60	01-29 14:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 10:00 UTC	5	$293	200	199	+1	Up	+$102	02-03 10:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 10:00 UTC	3	$286	200	197	+3	Down	+$83	01-31 10:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 08:00 UTC	4	$283	200	198	+2	Up	-$13	01-30 08:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 07:30 UTC	6	$276	300	198	+102	Down	+$38	01-30 07:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 09:45 UTC	13	$273	400	296	+104	Up	-$5	02-12 09:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 08:45 UTC	6	$268	300	294	+6	Up	-$54	01-30 08:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 10:00 UTC	20	$262	200	200	+0	Down	+$24	02-13 10:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 13:00 UTC	24	$252	200	197	+3	Up	+$58	02-25 13:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 13:45 UTC	10	$250	290	187	+103	Up	+$59	02-03 13:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 14:30 UTC	5	$245	300	197	+103	Down	+$52	01-29 14:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 14:00 UTC	6	$243	200	199	+1	Down	+$152	01-31 14:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 13:00 UTC	9	$242	300	296	+4	Down	+$29	01-30 13:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 08:15 UTC	4	$238	120	120	+0	Down	+$0	01-07 08:28
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	7	$233	300	300	+0	Yes	+$185	07-10 07:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 14:15 UTC	17	$227	200	199	+1	Up	+$36	02-03 14:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 08:05 UTC	2	$226	124	123	+0	Down	+$4	03-25 08:08
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	12	$223	400	400	+0	No	-$28	09-28 08:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 02:30 UTC	12	$220	300	197	+103	Up	+$16	02-13 02:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 07:15 UTC	13	$220	300	197	+103	Up	-$27	01-28 07:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 13:45 UTC	5	$219	300	197	+103	Up	-$55	01-31 13:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 02:15 UTC	4	$217	200	197	+3	Down	+$75	02-04 02:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 09:45 UTC	5	$215	300	197	+103	Up	-$44	02-11 09:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 12:30 UTC	5	$213	300	198	+102	Up	+$88	01-28 12:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:19:05	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xf1adfb…
10-27 11:10:47	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x2a093b…
10-27 10:14:51	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x49a929…
10-27 10:12:17	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xda7312…
10-27 09:25:51	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	23¢	$47	0x7cd80f…
10-27 07:38:05	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x412dab…
10-27 07:30:59	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x15d077…
10-27 07:30:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$59	0x0d87f1…
10-27 07:28:32	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x1ba2ae…
10-27 07:10:18	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x722c01…
10-27 03:28:45	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	0¢	$0	0xecc03e…
10-27 02:12:38	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa8a6f5…
10-27 02:12:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x369a2c…
10-26 19:13:08	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x98551f…
10-26 16:24:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0xa27adf…
10-26 16:22:53	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x16cfd4…
10-26 16:11:23	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0xb354a1…
10-26 15:33:14	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xb510b6…
10-26 15:33:14	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x4f3a59…
10-26 15:33:14	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x1a072f…
10-26 15:33:05	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x4dff31…
10-26 15:32:06	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xdfb0db…
10-26 15:32:06	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x1fc9df…
10-26 15:27:27	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0x7e782a…
10-26 15:27:27	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x76716e…
10-26 14:57:21	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x6bbc4a…
10-26 14:53:09	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x3b09c4…
10-26 14:29:50	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x640914…
10-26 14:28:03	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xdcb8a3…
10-26 14:16:02	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	0¢	$0	0x26072d…
10-26 14:16:00	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x084cad…
10-26 14:15:03	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x4d50fb…
10-26 14:15:03	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x0c6b89…
10-26 14:14:09	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x127876…
10-26 14:14:08	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x28cc00…
10-26 14:06:33	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x3dfdeb…
10-26 13:14:03	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$9	0xc1d129…
10-26 12:42:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x4d6895…
10-26 12:41:45	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x1817ba…
10-26 12:41:35	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$13	0x7b0b3f…
10-26 02:37:23	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	216	2¢	$4	0xf8f41e…
10-26 02:37:14	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x752850…
10-26 02:06:50	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xef1096…
10-26 01:27:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	4¢	$3	0x1f58a1…
10-25 19:35:26	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	0¢	$0	0x076e2c…
10-25 15:01:38	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0x101b10…
10-25 12:38:05	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0xc9e39d…
10-25 07:32:38	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x140ba7…
10-24 23:38:56	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0x9c0bfd…
10-24 22:13:18	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xdaf8fd…
10-24 22:13:18	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0xd0d6f6…
10-24 22:13:18	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x4aebe1…
10-24 22:06:15	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x349e87…
10-24 21:23:14	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0x7b27db…
10-24 21:23:12	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xddc79a…
10-24 21:23:12	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x03c83c…
10-24 21:22:54	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	0¢	$0	0x1ab854…
10-24 21:22:39	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x42de81…
10-24 08:35:41	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x96cf51…
10-24 08:27:20	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$11	0x127a4f…
10-24 08:27:08	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x493a2c…
10-24 08:11:29	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x049558…
10-24 08:11:23	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$3	0x9280fa…
10-24 08:09:57	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd5ccf8…
10-24 08:09:48	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xda5fc3…
10-24 08:09:41	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x7c6547…
10-24 08:09:26	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x841ccf…
10-23 16:44:06	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa41bd8…
10-23 16:10:53	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x040ed2…
10-23 15:59:26	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xe7d615…
10-23 15:53:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x2b77d9…
10-23 13:45:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xd48897…
10-23 12:07:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x4fed7f…
10-23 08:46:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	2¢	$3	0xed814e…
10-23 08:46:03	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xebc66f…
10-23 08:11:26	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x0c28a5…
10-23 02:07:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x083e3b…
10-23 02:07:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0x21254f…
10-22 23:53:20	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x220bea…
10-22 23:53:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x137d1b…
10-22 23:52:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x90e4a7…
10-22 23:52:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xf026fe…
10-22 23:51:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x316f84…
10-22 23:51:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x610490…
10-22 23:50:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xd06146…
10-22 23:50:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x8deb1c…
10-22 23:49:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xaa7718…
10-22 23:49:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x2574eb…
10-22 23:48:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x8e67ec…
10-22 23:48:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x595969…
10-22 23:47:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x7b5747…
10-22 23:47:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x06804f…
10-22 23:46:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x0b2f78…
10-22 23:46:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x073715…
10-22 23:45:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x989700…
10-22 23:45:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xad6f6d…
10-22 23:17:51	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0x46e521…
10-22 15:23:32	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x738f7d…
10-22 15:23:27	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$2	0x6b9b95…
10-22 13:21:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0xb36e5c…