Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$625

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

382

Trades

656

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 17:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 37% -$933

Other

37% 21% +$308

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	—	+90	$10	6¢	$6	-$4	11-01 12:18
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes		+1,184	$11	0¢	$2	-$9	11-01 12:22
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes		+1,092	$10	0¢	$2	-$8	11-01 12:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	3	$697	9,000	6,797	+2,203	No	+$679	07-05 05:07
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	3	$242	1,667	1,667	+0	No	+$222	06-23 17:55
bitcoin up or down january 1 10am et	2	$233	136	136	+0	Up	+$36	01-01 15:57
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 520 539	2	$205	278	278	+0	Yes	+$100	01-06 16:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:25 UTC	5	$181	248	119	+130	Up	+$35	07-09 09:27
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	2	$156	1,232	1,232	+0	No	+$136	07-03 22:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 20:15 UTC	3	$156	167	91	+77	Up	-$16	02-06 20:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:00 UTC	2	$153	133	133	+0	Down	+$113	07-09 09:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 01:25 UTC	2	$141	92	90	+1	Down	+$38	03-28 01:30
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	2	$131	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$121	07-07 06:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 08:50 UTC	5	$129	563	70	+493	Down	+$7	07-09 08:53
bitcoin up or down january 27 8am et	5	$128	91	91	+0	Down	+$23	01-27 14:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 08:25 UTC	3	$121	85	85	+0	Up	+$41	07-09 08:29
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	2	$119	196	196	+0	No	-$77	07-09 09:42
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	2	$116	80	80	+0	Yes	+$36	03-27 14:39
bitcoin up or down january 1 1pm et	2	$112	89	89	+0	Down	+$16	01-01 18:13
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	1	$100	272	0	+272	No	-$100	07-09 05:35
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	4	$97	84	82	+2	Yes	+$15	04-07 04:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 16:15 UTC	4	$92	217	183	+34	Down	+$11	02-01 16:26
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	2	$86	416	416	+0	Yes	+$66	06-23 17:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 17:00 UTC	3	$84	56	56	+0	Up	+$24	01-01 17:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 18:15 UTC	5	$84	282	143	+139	Up	+$22	03-27 18:29
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 480 499	2	$80	75	75	-0	No	+$0	01-02 11:53
bitcoin up or down january 1 11am et	2	$78	54	54	+0	Down	+$10	01-01 16:19
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	3	$71	1,852	627	+1,224	No	+$31	07-09 05:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 17:00 UTC	2	$70	70	70	+0	Up	+$42	02-06 17:09
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 540 559	2	$69	581	581	+0	No	-$31	01-01 19:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 12:25 UTC	2	$68	114	0	+114	Up	-$68	03-23 12:26
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 520 539	2	$68	458	458	-0	No	-$32	01-01 22:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 17:30 UTC	2	$67	49	48	+1	Up	+$28	02-06 17:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 17:14:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x5edde6…
11-01 17:14:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x61bcbb…
11-01 17:14:25	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xfeee24…
11-01 16:31:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x2671db…
11-01 12:22:15	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	761	1¢	$5	0x09d833…
11-01 12:19:24	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,092	1¢	$10	0x04d03b…
11-01 12:19:07	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	257	4¢	$10	0x1823c7…
11-01 12:18:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0x5d1be3…
11-01 12:17:54	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	2¢	$5	0x572fae…
10-30 15:24:12	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	177	2¢	$3	0x2dc677…
10-30 15:23:54	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$2	0xe33fc0…
10-30 14:51:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	275	0¢	$0	0xbbb70e…
10-30 14:50:10	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	246	1¢	$3	0xfd06a7…
10-29 17:28:31	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	10¢	$3	0xd5b5fe…
10-29 14:05:01	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x27e2c9…
10-29 14:04:02	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	1¢	$5	0x52da06…
10-29 14:03:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	358	1¢	$5	0x42e8a9…
10-29 14:03:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	39¢	$19	0x4e8b36…
10-29 14:00:22	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0xed4eb4…
10-29 13:59:59	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x1a964d…
10-29 13:58:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0x318ac6…
10-29 13:58:01	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	275	2¢	$5	0x5cb3e4…
10-29 13:57:55	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x9696ec…
10-29 13:56:52	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x9ff58e…
10-29 13:56:28	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xeffbd6…
10-27 17:53:05	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x7d2159…
10-27 17:52:45	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x64478e…
10-27 17:52:38	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x42635a…
10-27 17:52:33	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5cd19f…
10-27 17:52:26	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfb0ea8…
10-27 17:52:18	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb5cb99…
10-27 17:52:12	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x7d8074…
10-27 17:52:06	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xdfeb2d…
10-27 17:51:59	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x2d597c…
10-27 17:51:50	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x9eff75…
10-27 17:29:17	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	282	0¢	$1	0x86bf20…
10-27 17:29:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	282	1¢	$4	0xac3809…
10-27 17:29:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	8¢	$7	0xbc58b0…
10-27 15:38:26	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	27¢	$14	0x886886…
10-27 13:25:29	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x2b88db…
10-27 13:24:47	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	282	2¢	$5	0x206696…
10-27 13:24:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	282	4¢	$10	0xb07557…
10-27 06:36:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	65¢	$25	0xc259e3…
10-26 22:47:03	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xc0d74a…
10-26 22:42:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x4d50a7…
10-26 22:41:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xdd645f…
10-26 22:41:29	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x79688a…
10-26 22:41:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x731a66…
10-17 18:00:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xbb920e…
10-17 17:55:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x47493e…
10-17 17:55:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x2b189b…
10-17 17:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xd082b0…
10-17 17:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x993fb6…
10-17 12:36:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x918c14…
10-17 12:36:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xced4a7…
10-17 08:41:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x23d2f3…
10-17 08:00:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0xab4c8b…
10-17 07:05:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x90e513…
07-15 15:55:10	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x8896b5…
07-15 15:54:44	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0xd4baa3…
07-15 15:53:40	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xd2b271…
07-15 15:48:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	31	28¢	$9	0x6e3743…
07-15 15:47:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x4d8a97…
07-15 15:47:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xd81220…
07-14 11:50:07	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,316	1¢	$16	0x1e1951…
07-14 11:15:47	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	690	1¢	$4	0x318b24…
07-14 09:43:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6829d3…
07-13 15:08:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x112919…
07-13 15:05:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xdce48d…
07-13 10:57:29	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,012	1¢	$8	0x7dd546…
07-10 07:49:13	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xd28db4…
07-09 16:29:32	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x9551a1…
07-09 16:28:25	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,314	1¢	$30	0xde50ea…
07-09 16:28:13	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,826	2¢	$30	0x13d3d2…
07-09 16:27:58	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	980	3¢	$30	0x684fa8…
07-09 09:44:11	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	264	3¢	$9	0x7b6f0a…
07-09 09:43:38	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	895	1¢	$10	0xb0591c…
07-09 09:42:56	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	196	11¢	$21	0x361fb8…
07-09 09:41:28	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,359	0¢	$9	0x83cee7…
07-09 09:35:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x6818a1…
07-09 09:35:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x18cb78…
07-09 09:35:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x04a86c…
07-09 09:33:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x275fa2…
07-09 09:30:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x7b8968…
07-09 09:27:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	130	10¢	$13	0x311a4d…
07-09 09:27:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:25 UTC	Up	SELL	119	91¢	$108	0x9a4b56…
07-09 09:26:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xb27a5d…
07-09 09:25:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x5be58f…
07-09 09:25:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xa5c51a…
07-09 09:20:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xfa384e…
07-09 09:20:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x5834d6…
07-09 09:15:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x06a849…
07-09 09:10:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x50fcab…
07-09 09:06:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8e1286…
07-09 09:05:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x256428…
07-09 09:03:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x5a3d54…
07-09 08:55:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xaa8a28…
07-09 08:55:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x18875e…
07-09 08:55:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x5247df…
07-09 08:53:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	393	4¢	$16	0x8b4ef2…