Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,180
$4,486 in 24h
Trades
91
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$7,925
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-11-20
First seen
2026-11-10
last 11-11 22:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.5¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $961
vs crowd: 2% YES on $3.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $13 | $937 | $924 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $16 | $2.2K | $2.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $20 | $23 | $4 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $2 | $68 | $66 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 11 | $29 | $932 | $903 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $11 | $15 | $4 |
| Below median | 3 | $1 | $68 | $67 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | $2.2K | $2.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recent-Thousand 0x94c6…7a14 | No | +2,177 | $2,158 | $2,158 | 8 | 11-11 15:59 |
| Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | +1,119 | $7 | $7 | 12 | 11-11 15:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xf939…43e1 | Yes | +1,000 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-11 21:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | +849 | $6 | $6 | 6 | 11-11 19:00 |
| Caring-Accelerator 0xddd8…e6f7 | No | +600 | $594 | $594 | 6 | 11-11 22:52 |
| Numb-Eligibility 0x29e7…fbbf | Yes | +538 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 11-11 17:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xe739…eeb5 | Yes | +322 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-11 22:52 |
| Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | No | +300 | $297 | $297 | 5 | 11-11 15:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x544e…86dc | Yes | +279 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 11-10 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xa775…334e | Yes | +108 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-11 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1d5…7d73 | No | +58 | $58 | $58 | 8 | 11-10 12:25 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 11-10 12:25 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-10 12:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xf921…2b48 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 11-10 07:51 |
| Regular-Avalanche 0xb19e…b8d5 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-10 10:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xb410…502f | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 11-10 07:59 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-10 05:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-10 15:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-11 22:52:16 | Caring-Accelerator 0xddd8…e6f7 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x22ce7b… |
| 11-11 22:52:16 | (anonymous) 0xe739…eeb5 | Yes | BUY | 322 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x22ce7b… |
| 11-11 22:52:16 | Pertinent-Bronco 0x6be9…3493 | Yes | SELL | 222 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x22ce7b… |
| 11-11 21:10:45 | Pertinent-Bronco 0x6be9…3493 | Yes | SELL | 108 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xcaa5b9… |
| 11-11 21:10:45 | (anonymous) 0xa775…334e | Yes | BUY | 108 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xcaa5b9… |
| 11-11 21:06:34 | Pertinent-Bronco 0x6be9…3493 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 1¢ | $10 | 0x81f93d… |
| 11-11 21:06:34 | (anonymous) 0xf939…43e1 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 1¢ | $10 | 0x81f93d… |
| 11-11 19:00:12 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | BUY | 270 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xf3020f… |
| 11-11 19:00:12 | Pertinent-Bronco 0x6be9…3493 | Yes | SELL | 270 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xf3020f… |
| 11-11 17:14:15 | Numb-Eligibility 0x29e7…fbbf | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x75c02c… |
| 11-11 17:14:15 | Caring-Accelerator 0xddd8…e6f7 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x75c02c… |
| 11-11 17:05:18 | Caring-Accelerator 0xddd8…e6f7 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x01ab6f… |
| 11-11 17:05:18 | Numb-Eligibility 0x29e7…fbbf | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x01ab6f… |
| 11-11 16:23:40 | Caring-Accelerator 0xddd8…e6f7 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x72d2c0… |
| 11-11 16:23:40 | Numb-Eligibility 0x29e7…fbbf | Yes | BUY | 138 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x72d2c0… |
| 11-11 16:23:40 | (anonymous) 0xf322…ebf9 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x72d2c0… |
| 11-11 16:19:28 | (anonymous) 0xc308…a5f2 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0a6918… |
| 11-11 16:19:28 | Numb-Eligibility 0x29e7…fbbf | Yes | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x0a6918… |
| 11-11 16:19:28 | Caring-Accelerator 0xddd8…e6f7 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x0a6918… |
| 11-11 15:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xf322…ebf9 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1df85f… |
| 11-11 15:59:03 | Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x1df85f… |
| 11-11 15:59:03 | Caring-Accelerator 0xddd8…e6f7 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x1df85f… |
| 11-11 15:59:03 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 243 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x1df85f… |
| 11-11 15:59:03 | Recent-Thousand 0x94c6…7a14 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x1df85f… |
| 11-11 13:06:46 | Recent-Thousand 0x94c6…7a14 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xd57ed1… |
| 11-11 13:06:46 | (anonymous) 0xc308…a5f2 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd57ed1… |
| 11-11 06:25:22 | Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | No | BUY | 68 | 99¢ | $67 | 0x76e91c… |
| 11-11 06:25:22 | Recent-Thousand 0x94c6…7a14 | No | BUY | 1,393 | 99¢ | $1,379 | 0x76e91c… |
| 11-11 06:25:22 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x76e91c… |
| 11-11 06:25:22 | Pertinent-Bronco 0x6be9…3493 | Yes | BUY | 1,600 | 1¢ | $16 | 0x76e91c… |
| 11-11 06:25:22 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | SELL | 131 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x76e91c… |
| 11-11 00:58:28 | Recent-Thousand 0x94c6…7a14 | No | BUY | 171 | 99¢ | $170 | 0x70d311… |
| 11-11 00:58:28 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 171 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x70d311… |
| 11-11 00:58:21 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x707ec7… |
| 11-11 00:58:21 | Recent-Thousand 0x94c6…7a14 | No | BUY | 78 | 99¢ | $77 | 0x707ec7… |
| 11-10 23:55:07 | Recent-Thousand 0x94c6…7a14 | No | BUY | 186 | 99¢ | $185 | 0x91adfa… |
| 11-10 23:55:07 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | BUY | 186 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x91adfa… |
| 11-10 23:54:58 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | BUY | 192 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc5c5fa… |
| 11-10 23:54:58 | Recent-Thousand 0x94c6…7a14 | No | BUY | 192 | 99¢ | $191 | 0xc5c5fa… |
| 11-10 22:44:12 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 157 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0df199… |
| 11-10 22:44:12 | Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | No | BUY | 32 | 99¢ | $32 | 0x0df199… |
| 11-10 22:44:12 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0df199… |
| 11-10 22:44:12 | (anonymous) 0xf322…ebf9 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0df199… |
| 11-10 21:07:45 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d53b2… |
| 11-10 21:07:45 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d53b2… |
| 11-10 21:07:45 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d53b2… |
| 11-10 21:07:43 | (anonymous) 0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | BUY | 103 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x7f7eab… |
| 11-10 21:07:43 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 103 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x7f7eab… |
| 11-10 15:05:00 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 241 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x31dfde… |
| 11-10 15:05:00 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x31dfde… |
| 11-10 15:05:00 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 188 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x31dfde… |
| 11-10 15:05:00 | (anonymous) 0xf322…ebf9 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x31dfde… |
| 11-10 15:05:00 | Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x31dfde… |
| 11-10 14:34:24 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x64c37c… |
| 11-10 14:34:24 | Recent-Thousand 0x94c6…7a14 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x64c37c… |
| 11-10 12:25:49 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x30fae0… |
| 11-10 12:25:49 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf17314… |
| 11-10 12:25:49 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x314270… |
| 11-10 12:25:49 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xf17314… |
| 11-10 12:25:49 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x30fae0… |
| 11-10 12:25:49 | (anonymous) 0xf1d5…7d73 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x314270… |
| 11-10 10:40:25 | Regular-Avalanche 0xb19e…b8d5 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9bba58… |
| 11-10 10:40:25 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9bba58… |
| 11-10 08:08:15 | (anonymous) 0xf1d5…7d73 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xd97619… |
| 11-10 08:08:15 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd97619… |
| 11-10 08:07:45 | (anonymous) 0xf1d5…7d73 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x879e09… |
| 11-10 08:07:45 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x879e09… |
| 11-10 08:07:13 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x56e415… |
| 11-10 08:07:13 | (anonymous) 0xf1d5…7d73 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x56e415… |
| 11-10 08:06:51 | (anonymous) 0xf1d5…7d73 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x8372fe… |
| 11-10 08:06:51 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8372fe… |
| 11-10 08:05:25 | (anonymous) 0xf1d5…7d73 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x96c9b4… |
| 11-10 08:05:25 | (anonymous) 0xf1d5…7d73 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xfa15f3… |
| 11-10 08:05:25 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfa15f3… |
| 11-10 08:05:25 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x96c9b4… |
| 11-10 08:05:01 | (anonymous) 0xf1d5…7d73 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xea16d5… |
| 11-10 08:05:01 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xea16d5… |
| 11-10 07:59:36 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xc2355a… |
| 11-10 07:59:36 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c0eb7… |
| 11-10 07:59:36 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc2355a… |
| 11-10 07:59:36 | (anonymous) 0xb410…502f | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x4c0eb7… |
| 11-10 07:51:51 | (anonymous) 0xf921…2b48 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xf8219c… |
| 11-10 07:51:51 | (anonymous) 0x544e…86dc | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf8219c… |
| 11-10 07:50:22 | (anonymous) 0xf921…2b48 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xf29413… |
| 11-10 07:50:22 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf29413… |
| 11-10 07:48:07 | (anonymous) 0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | SELL | 273 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb26fe4… |
| 11-10 07:48:07 | (anonymous) 0x544e…86dc | Yes | BUY | 273 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb26fe4… |
| 11-10 07:47:25 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | BUY | 222 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7c671a… |
| 11-10 07:47:25 | (anonymous) 0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | SELL | 222 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7c671a… |
| 11-10 05:50:12 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7bfcd7… |
| 11-10 05:50:12 | (anonymous) 0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7bfcd7… |