Serious-Specification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.42K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

56.6%

Resolved

1,381

Trades

4,813

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$26

11 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 11-09 17:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 241 days

Categories

Other

100% 7% +$1,456

Politics

0% 67% -$20

Sports

0% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+20	$1	33¢	$7	+$5	11-06 01:06
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+46	$3	10¢	$5	+$2	11-09 16:08
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+150	$2	2¢	$3	+$2	11-09 15:43
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	+400	$2	1¢	$3	+$1	11-09 16:42
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+300	$3	1¢	$3	+$0	11-09 15:48
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+500	$3	0¢	$2	-$2	11-09 17:02
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+20	$1	6¢	$1	+$0	11-05 22:09
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	+400	$1	0¢	$1	+$0	11-09 09:34
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+500	$3	0¢	$1	-$2	11-09 14:25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+450	$4	0¢	$1	-$4	11-09 15:37
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+400	$2	0¢	$0	-$1	11-07 08:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 90 114	4	$952	560	560	+0	Yes	+$112	02-18 15:29
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 90 114	4	$436	320	170	+150	No	+$10	02-25 15:24
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 40 64	17	$279	169	150	+19	Yes	+$5	03-02 16:26
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	5	$274	340	340	+0	No	+$4	03-17 08:47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	5	$229	500	0	+500	Yes	-$229	05-01 15:40
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	11	$225	220	200	+20	No	+$47	03-06 14:20
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	7	$200	140	120	+20	Yes	+$28	04-25 15:04
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	9	$199	500	0	+500	No	+$1	04-22 15:14
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	5	$184	280	80	+200	Yes	+$27	03-03 15:04
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	2	$183	300	0	+300	No	-$183	02-24 16:17
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 340 359	4	$180	200	0	+200	No	+$20	02-20 13:47
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	5	$161	280	280	+0	No	+$34	05-26 15:59
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	9	$146	651	301	+350	No	+$24	05-01 03:01
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	9	$131	300	300	+0	Yes	+$119	03-20 15:16
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	12	$111	230	230	+0	No	+$79	03-17 15:07
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 360 379	4	$109	300	200	+100	No	+$25	03-20 13:37
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 320 339	5	$104	200	70	+130	No	-$1	03-10 13:08
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	10	$99	261	261	+0	No	-$12	03-13 15:56
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	8	$97	250	150	+100	Yes	+$91	03-10 15:58
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	8	$95	100	100	+0	Yes	+$14	03-06 16:00
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 65 89	1	$95	100	0	+100	No	+$5	03-21 09:01
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	10	$91	400	0	+400	No	+$9	11-03 10:05
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	8	$88	350	50	+300	No	+$4	10-16 15:42
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 400 419	3	$88	200	100	+100	No	+$13	03-13 15:11
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	9	$80	400	400	+0	No	+$49	03-20 16:00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	10	$78	303	0	+303	No	-$78	07-14 15:43
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	13	$77	550	450	+100	No	+$56	04-21 09:56
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	7	$76	300	275	+25	No	+$67	08-18 10:30
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	7	$72	70	70	+0	Yes	+$19	03-04 16:55
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	22	$68	613	613	+0	No	+$52	06-02 15:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 17:02:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x253c2a…
11-09 16:42:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x6ec6b6…
11-09 16:17:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	0¢	$1	0x5d6a1d…
11-09 16:08:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0x0931ee…
11-09 16:02:27	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xfda901…
11-09 15:48:36	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x77f424…
11-09 15:43:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x099dcd…
11-09 15:43:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xe0a8ee…
11-09 15:38:01	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x6547ce…
11-09 15:37:58	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x2e1abb…
11-09 15:35:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x42f5dd…
11-09 15:25:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	1¢	$1	0xea4cb6…
11-09 15:25:13	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xfbfa52…
11-09 15:25:13	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xdb39b5…
11-09 15:25:13	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	1¢	$1	0x5bfa31…
11-09 15:25:03	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x49bdc0…
11-09 14:25:37	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x76d713…
11-09 14:23:22	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x8576fe…
11-09 14:22:15	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x7422ef…
11-09 14:20:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x005263…
11-09 10:23:34	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x1f93b2…
11-09 10:16:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x377abd…
11-09 10:12:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x54daaf…
11-09 09:34:58	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0xff6760…
11-09 07:09:46	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa6aa91…
11-09 06:05:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	1¢	$0	0x7570d3…
11-09 02:28:57	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0xd33720…
11-09 02:26:25	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x998aa9…
11-08 18:40:09	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	1¢	$1	0xc2d483…
11-08 17:37:13	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x1fea60…
11-08 13:45:06	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0xbf9b4c…
11-08 13:19:54	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x458dad…
11-08 13:01:43	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0xc70e3b…
11-08 13:01:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x11fd67…
11-07 19:01:46	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x986d9f…
11-07 19:01:24	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x07e21e…
11-07 18:32:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x6846bd…
11-07 17:16:27	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xe84b18…
11-07 08:41:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x5a30bc…
11-07 08:40:25	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x866a64…
11-07 08:39:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x7f872f…
11-07 08:35:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x0a31b4…
11-07 08:20:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x7bc747…
11-07 08:19:54	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	260	0¢	$1	0x3ffd0f…
11-07 07:05:49	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	1¢	$0	0xf0fa74…
11-07 07:05:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xbd4226…
11-07 07:03:27	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4ec1ad…
11-07 07:01:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xebc9a5…
11-07 01:43:16	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	1¢	$0	0xd2e233…
11-07 01:41:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	1¢	$0	0x2b6fca…
11-07 01:28:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x5fccb2…
11-07 01:20:55	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x5b8e29…
11-07 01:08:30	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x6b2d36…
11-07 01:00:46	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x83229b…
11-06 19:28:40	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	255	0¢	$1	0x2b8bfe…
11-06 16:46:25	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xd8a20f…
11-06 16:45:22	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xcb3017…
11-06 16:19:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	38¢	$15	0xc30270…
11-06 16:16:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x23c9f7…
11-06 15:47:22	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0x98c894…
11-06 15:20:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x7fff43…
11-06 09:15:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xf3405b…
11-06 09:06:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	0¢	$0	0xf33794…
11-06 09:00:25	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x7d09bf…
11-06 08:59:27	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf59ba3…
11-06 06:50:34	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0cfb1a…
11-06 06:20:09	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x373212…
11-06 06:20:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$1	0x396a8e…
11-06 06:15:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xffe088…
11-06 05:49:54	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x35ae51…
11-06 05:49:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xb79ea0…
11-06 05:48:54	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x752239…
11-06 05:48:39	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x788c0e…
11-06 05:48:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x10434b…
11-06 05:31:40	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x9d3687…
11-06 05:31:30	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0xfceef6…
11-06 01:36:51	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x7a1687…
11-06 01:34:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x234c03…
11-06 01:31:48	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x21ac63…
11-06 01:06:30	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xef169c…
11-05 23:38:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x0f4b00…
11-05 22:30:27	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa5d35a…
11-05 22:09:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb4d24a…
11-05 20:17:45	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x5c60bd…
11-05 19:56:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x59070f…
11-05 19:40:38	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xec36a6…
11-05 19:15:33	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x7c5fd5…
11-05 19:13:16	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x265536…
11-05 19:09:46	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6aac8c…
11-05 19:09:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa152aa…
11-05 19:07:51	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6eab43…
11-05 19:05:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x120db2…
11-05 19:03:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb9c3a0…
11-05 19:00:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3c0068…
11-05 18:59:10	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0x8544a5…
11-04 14:21:21	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$0	0x96a457…
11-04 12:53:57	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	1¢	$1	0x06dce2…
11-04 12:29:49	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	193	1¢	$2	0x094662…
11-03 17:21:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x1150df…
11-03 16:50:12	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x3efa96…