(anonymous) 0xf92162…d22b48 Create alert
13W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$490
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
96.8%
Resolved
70
Trades
504
lifetime
Volume
$11.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$4.29K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-11 22:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
44% 95% +$75
Other
34% 93% +$394
Sports
21% 100% +$22
Tech
1% 0% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +439 $429 98¢ $430 +$2 11-09 16:17
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +346 $337 97¢ $337 $0 11-08 03:36
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +296 $286 96¢ $285 $0 11-11 09:26
Will Teddy Riner win the 2027 French presidential election? No +260 $244 98¢ $256 +$12 11-09 16:18
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +254 $253 100¢ $253 +$0 11-10 20:33
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +256 $236 92¢ $237 +$1 11-09 16:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +200 $199 100¢ $199 +$0 11-06 13:30
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? No +197 $197 100¢ $197 $0 11-09 15:43
Will 100 Thieves Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? No +188 $188 100¢ $188 +$0 11-07 04:56
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +187 $187 100¢ $187 $0 11-10 17:01
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +198 $173 85¢ $168 -$5 11-09 16:19
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +165 $161 99¢ $164 +$3 11-08 16:33
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +139 $136 98¢ $136 $0 11-11 17:23
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +136 $133 98¢ $133 $0 11-09 15:43
Will Houston Dynamo FC be runner-up in the 2026 MLS? No +121 $115 94¢ $114 -$1 11-09 00:07
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +102 $102 99¢ $101 -$1 11-10 15:59
Will Supergirl be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? No +90 $90 100¢ $90 $0 11-09 04:50
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +90 $88 97¢ $88 $0 11-03 09:14
Will Nebraska win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +84 $83 99¢ $83 +$0 11-10 20:09
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +90 $78 86¢ $78 $0 11-09 16:21
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in November 2026? No +74 $74 100¢ $74 $0 11-05 11:09
Will Chicago Fire FC be runner-up in the 2026 MLS? No +66 $62 94¢ $61 $0 11-09 00:10
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? No +63 $59 94¢ $59 $0 11-09 18:13
Will Texas A&M win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +57 $57 99¢ $57 $0 11-11 00:34
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +56 $54 100¢ $56 +$2 11-07 20:31
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +59 $58 93¢ $55 -$3 11-08 17:07
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in November 2026? No +55 $55 100¢ $55 $0 11-05 16:40
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026? No +52 $52 100¢ $52 $0 11-10 08:08
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +53 $51 95¢ $50 $0 11-03 08:26
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? No +46 $46 100¢ $46 +$0 11-11 04:33