Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.74K

Unrealized P&L

+$125

Hit rate

87.9%

Resolved

127

Trades

404

lifetime

Volume

$84.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$208

Open exposure

$1.29K

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 10-29 07:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

85% 92% -$1,690

Politics

6% 0% -$334

Sports

5% 33% +$206

Crypto

5% 100% +$74

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No		-2,162	-$1,325	60¢	$-1294	+$31	04-29 03:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No		+0	-$94	94¢	$0	+$94	06-02 01:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	87	$3.0K	1,540	1,540	+0	No	+$54	04-01 06:26
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2.8K	2,435	1,460	+975	No	-$224	07-15 16:35
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	3	$2.8K	1,396	1,396	-0	No	+$6	02-26 23:27
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	2	$2.7K	1,374	1,374	+0	No	+$3	10-27 07:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$1.8K	3,897	3,897	+0	No	-$740	05-11 06:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 29?	4	$1.5K	1,505	0	+1,505	No	+$4	07-29 06:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 28?	2	$1.5K	1,502	0	+1,502	No	+$2	07-28 07:36
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	1	$1.4K	1,380	0	+1,380	open	—	10-29 07:16
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	1	$1.4K	1,375	0	+1,375	No	+$3	10-27 07:13
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	2	$1.4K	1,370	0	+1,370	No	+$2	10-22 08:48
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	1	$1.4K	1,370	0	+1,370	No	+$3	10-28 07:46
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$1.4K	1,367	0	+1,367	No	+$7	10-20 08:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 19?	1	$1.4K	1,360	0	+1,360	No	+$1	10-19 08:55
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$1.4K	1,360	0	+1,360	No	+$3	10-16 06:25
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	4	$1.4K	1,357	0	+1,357	No	+$6	10-15 07:16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	2	$1.3K	1,351	0	+1,351	No	+$1	10-14 09:09
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$1.3K	1,350	0	+1,350	No	+$3	10-09 11:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 14?	2	$1.3K	1,341	0	+1,341	No	+$1	09-14 07:57
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$1.3K	0	2,162	-2,162	open	—	04-29 03:15
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 10?	8	$1.3K	1,315	0	+1,315	No	+$6	07-10 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 6?	1	$1.3K	1,307	0	+1,307	No	+$1	07-06 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 16?	2	$1.3K	1,278	0	+1,278	No	+$1	08-16 07:51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 13?	1	$1.3K	1,276	0	+1,276	No	+$1	09-13 07:27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?	3	$1.3K	1,273	0	+1,273	Yes	+$2	07-30 08:27
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C or higher on August 6?	1	$1.2K	1,234	0	+1,234	No	+$1	08-06 03:51
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 21?	4	$1.2K	615	615	+0	No	+$11	08-21 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 12?	4	$1.2K	1,198	0	+1,198	Yes	+$2	08-12 09:23
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	24	$1.2K	705	705	+0	open	—	06-09 11:25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 28?	1	$1.1K	1,127	0	+1,127	Yes	+$1	08-28 09:48
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$1.1K	768	768	+0	No	-$3	05-28 16:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 07:16:01	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1,380	100¢	$1,377	0xc1d156…
10-28 07:46:01	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,370	100¢	$1,367	0x449ca6…
10-27 07:13:44	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1,375	100¢	$1,372	0x4a5987…
10-27 07:12:45	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	1,374	100¢	$1,373	0xf66267…
10-26 06:14:05	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1,374	100¢	$1,370	0x1bb56f…
10-22 08:48:17	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	645	100¢	$644	0x7653a4…
10-22 08:46:18	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	725	100¢	$723	0x1b34e7…
10-20 08:46:01	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	1,367	100¢	$1,360	0x35b2ca…
10-19 08:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 19?	No	BUY	1,360	100¢	$1,359	0x493cda…
10-16 06:25:16	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1,360	100¢	$1,357	0xe82970…
10-15 07:16:16	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1,115	100¢	$1,111	0x1c6735…
10-15 07:15:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xaaa6cc…
10-15 07:15:38	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$107	0x83e454…
10-15 07:15:32	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$114	0x3e7b4a…
10-14 09:09:28	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1,344	100¢	$1,343	0x771337…
10-14 09:09:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0c776f…
10-09 11:30:52	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1,350	100¢	$1,347	0xf0640c…
09-23 05:45:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x156a68…
09-23 05:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 23?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x8b6bbe…
09-23 05:42:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 23?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$134	0x87d731…
09-23 04:55:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x52e082…
09-23 04:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on September 24?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x7d4607…
09-23 04:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xdb68b5…
09-23 04:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	564	100¢	$563	0xbfca3a…
09-21 07:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	328	100¢	$328	0x2959d2…
09-21 07:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	1,018	100¢	$1,017	0xea4c0b…
09-17 09:24:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0xfeac47…
09-17 09:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on September 18?	No	BUY	284	100¢	$284	0x2e8d5e…
09-17 09:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x0da42c…
09-17 09:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 17?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x4aedda…
09-15 09:34:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on September 16?	No	BUY	602	100¢	$601	0x23d2bf…
09-15 09:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on September 16?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0x8c305a…
09-15 09:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on September 16?	No	BUY	320	100¢	$319	0xba28fd…
09-15 09:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on September 16?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdbed57…
09-15 09:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 15?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x2e4011…
09-15 09:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 15?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6b9db2…
09-15 09:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 15?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$37	0x1e1a42…
09-14 07:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 14?	No	BUY	1,326	100¢	$1,325	0x7cec04…
09-14 07:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa4a473…
09-13 07:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	1,276	100¢	$1,275	0x7bddce…
09-10 08:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	405	100¢	$405	0x526d48…
09-10 07:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 10?	No	SELL	246	98¢	$241	0xdbd3bd…
09-09 11:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on September 10?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$251	0x1172d7…
09-09 11:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 10?	No	BUY	205	100¢	$205	0xacbbb5…
09-09 11:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8a8e8f…
09-09 11:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 10?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb25e5a…
09-09 11:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or higher on September 9?	No	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0x5b8280…
09-09 11:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or higher on September 9?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0xbfebc3…
09-09 11:32:36	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 10?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0x8eb08f…
09-09 11:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 10?	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0xd1aa0a…
09-09 11:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 10?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x2a0b5b…
09-09 11:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 10?	No	BUY	246	99¢	$244	0x85ffca…
09-07 10:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C or higher on September 8?	No	BUY	419	100¢	$419	0x73238b…
09-07 10:26:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	324	100¢	$323	0x4fcdf0…
09-07 10:26:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd922b5…
09-07 10:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x8d213f…
09-07 10:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on September 7?	No	BUY	415	100¢	$414	0x32d4a7…
09-06 04:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xe08050…
09-06 04:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x5f6e38…
09-06 04:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on September 6?	No	SELL	113	72¢	$81	0x6799ce…
09-06 04:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on September 6?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xe045b1…
09-06 04:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on September 6?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x7468d4…
09-06 04:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd80a16…
09-06 04:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0xbacc68…
09-06 02:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on September 6?	No	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0xcde6e0…
09-06 02:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on September 6?	No	SELL	13	88¢	$12	0xb7168a…
09-05 17:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on September 6?	No	BUY	257	100¢	$256	0x11ca70…
09-05 17:14:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 6?	No	SELL	276	97¢	$268	0xe6d49a…
09-05 15:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x67981e…
09-05 15:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 6?	No	BUY	276	99¢	$273	0xb155b4…
09-05 15:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 5?	No	BUY	256	100¢	$255	0xbf69bc…
09-03 09:37:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	709	100¢	$708	0x26acc9…
09-03 09:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on September 4?	No	BUY	326	100¢	$326	0xefaa41…
09-03 09:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on September 4?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xcb95c5…
09-03 09:32:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on September 4?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x1963d9…
09-01 03:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 2?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x96b43e…
09-01 03:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on September 2?	No	BUY	774	100¢	$773	0xb5928a…
09-01 03:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 1?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4e53db…
09-01 03:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 1?	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0x4c1410…
09-01 03:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x137105…
09-01 03:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 1?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xab028e…
09-01 03:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 1?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x8aacdf…
08-28 09:48:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	1,127	100¢	$1,126	0x596e1c…
08-28 09:45:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 28?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x43f439…
08-28 09:43:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 28?	No	BUY	95	95¢	$90	0x976134…
08-28 09:43:34	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x84220a…
08-26 14:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	219	99¢	$217	0xc46825…
08-26 14:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x851ce9…
08-26 12:07:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 26?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xc96b89…
08-26 12:03:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	73	96¢	$70	0x626654…
08-26 12:02:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x1f04dd…
08-26 11:59:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x7da147…
08-26 11:48:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 26?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$59	0xd44e2e…
08-26 02:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 26?	No	BUY	621	100¢	$620	0xd89616…
08-26 02:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 26?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xfc68c9…
08-26 02:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 26?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa51dfa…
08-26 02:48:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 26?	No	BUY	176	98¢	$172	0xe4a2b1…
08-26 02:48:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0x8d7d8e…
08-26 02:47:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	38	86¢	$33	0x096103…
08-26 02:46:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xe0343e…