Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$269

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved

122

Trades

1,936

lifetime

Volume

$8.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$79

3 positions

First seen

2026-08-18

last 10-27 01:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

93% 43% -$268

Politics

7% — —

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+200	$68	34¢	$67	-$1	10-23 19:49
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	+1,300	$11	1¢	$11	+$0	10-24 02:23
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+10	$6	8¢	$1	-$5	10-16 15:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	88	$641	17,641	4,555	+13,085	No	+$52	08-30 04:30
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	51	$497	6,204	4,708	+1,496	No	+$130	09-01 12:58
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	39	$388	7,411	3,822	+3,589	No	+$13	09-14 01:41
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	7	$332	1,338	500	+838	No	-$2	09-21 03:25
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	15	$298	1,795	367	+1,428	No	+$68	09-14 00:58
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	129	$255	48,023	34,951	+13,072	No	+$1	08-28 15:30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	41	$225	3,311	3,147	+164	No	+$45	10-20 21:14
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	106	$222	12,121	11,683	+438	No	+$91	09-11 20:25
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	3	$214	125	125	+0	open	—	10-04 09:37
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$213	150	150	+0	open	—	09-26 10:56
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	56	$211	9,683	3,140	+6,543	No	-$43	09-14 12:29
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	25	$211	2,285	500	+1,785	No	-$91	09-22 01:16
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	42	$186	6,155	5,782	+373	No	+$94	10-07 01:24
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	30	$169	4,718	2,826	+1,892	No	+$15	09-20 11:34
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	61	$161	10,776	6,929	+3,848	No	-$38	09-07 23:50
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	44	$153	12,474	2,419	+10,054	No	+$20	08-23 20:01
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	7	$152	950	800	+150	No	+$15	09-26 01:20
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	3	$140	896	0	+896	No	-$140	09-03 12:04
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	17	$135	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$47	09-24 07:05
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	22	$132	1,090	674	+416	No	+$29	09-01 10:18
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	27	$124	3,838	3,838	+0	No	+$52	09-24 21:08
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	4	$114	2,710	885	+1,825	No	-$44	09-02 20:52
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	59	$112	5,361	3,904	+1,457	No	+$42	10-08 04:30
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	37	$105	5,644	3,953	+1,691	No	+$3	09-12 14:29
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	23	$102	1,888	504	+1,383	No	-$40	10-15 21:05
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	13	$100	1,004	450	+554	No	+$2	09-18 01:34
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	45	$91	15,441	771	+14,670	No	-$82	09-29 19:05
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	2	$84	100	100	+0	Yes	+$48	09-06 21:22
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	14	$81	6,986	1,617	+5,369	No	-$3	09-10 03:06
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	12	$80	2,081	31	+2,050	No	-$78	08-30 14:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 02:36:59	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x724bfe…
10-27 02:34:51	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe63259…
10-27 02:34:03	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xb7520d…
10-27 02:33:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xccda30…
10-27 02:32:59	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xd8e1cb…
10-27 02:32:33	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xda579f…
10-27 02:32:33	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x0551fb…
10-27 01:58:05	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xf58a61…
10-27 01:58:05	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x12211a…
10-27 01:58:02	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd25d89…
10-27 00:41:38	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0xfe3e86…
10-27 00:41:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xb38904…
10-27 00:41:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0xc0d514…
10-27 00:41:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x15d23a…
10-27 00:39:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x86f004…
10-27 00:39:05	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x7ab47d…
10-27 00:38:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	399	0¢	$1	0x81dcbd…
10-26 14:22:20	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xd3b94a…
10-26 13:38:57	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	184	3¢	$6	0xf54e55…
10-26 13:38:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x286d4d…
10-26 01:11:11	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	297	2¢	$5	0xddd4d2…
10-25 23:02:18	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	631	1¢	$6	0x0f105a…
10-25 22:01:14	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	181	2¢	$3	0x2d422c…
10-25 18:00:45	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x48ca9a…
10-25 14:49:02	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xf215fa…
10-25 14:42:21	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x66f882…
10-25 14:39:41	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x656cfa…
10-25 14:37:05	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x504b46…
10-25 14:32:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x4ba99d…
10-25 14:27:27	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x6a1d86…
10-25 14:15:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x4ae7b1…
10-25 14:13:56	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x05a660…
10-25 14:13:47	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x39fce5…
10-25 14:13:32	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x014f8b…
10-25 14:13:08	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0xa2647c…
10-25 14:13:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x473221…
10-25 14:12:59	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	1¢	$2	0x8b3c29…
10-25 14:12:50	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	1¢	$1	0x6c981f…
10-25 14:12:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	1¢	$0	0x3f6227…
10-25 12:36:02	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	269	0¢	$1	0x8b8055…
10-25 10:42:06	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x241e0d…
10-25 09:12:33	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	181	1¢	$1	0x6056c0…
10-25 09:12:09	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	362	0¢	$1	0x2f7820…
10-25 02:37:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	321	1¢	$4	0xcc42f4…
10-25 02:33:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	531	2¢	$10	0x7e5725…
10-25 02:32:59	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	1¢	$4	0xc7cafe…
10-24 12:34:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	184	0¢	$1	0xe1b4dc…
10-24 12:34:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x0eb46f…
10-24 12:34:26	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	694	0¢	$3	0x0bffbd…
10-24 12:32:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	3¢	$2	0x3f1cf3…
10-24 12:32:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	3¢	$4	0xa32046…
10-24 12:32:29	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	418	1¢	$5	0xd2ced9…
10-24 12:32:11	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	343	1¢	$4	0xe94dd7…
10-24 12:31:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0xff93a2…
10-24 12:31:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	3¢	$6	0x86fe28…
10-24 12:31:29	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	374	1¢	$4	0x04bf2e…
10-24 02:23:33	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0xd897e0…
10-23 19:49:33	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x5728ed…
10-23 15:52:06	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x221f01…
10-23 15:30:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	368	1¢	$3	0x43eaa8…
10-23 14:54:08	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc40794…
10-23 14:51:50	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	0¢	$0	0x123c6a…
10-23 14:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	0¢	$0	0xde220a…
10-23 14:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0xb8c424…
10-23 14:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x9c6895…
10-23 14:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	0¢	$0	0x964f55…
10-23 14:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x80e717…
10-23 14:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x736ab1…
10-23 14:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x4394b3…
10-23 14:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x3759fc…
10-23 14:51:47	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x22dc84…
10-23 14:01:18	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0x2d2397…
10-23 13:58:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	268	1¢	$2	0xe51b63…
10-23 04:57:33	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x401300…
10-23 04:52:02	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x42de28…
10-23 00:40:02	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	186	3¢	$6	0x2bd3d6…
10-22 23:26:12	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xb31f23…
10-22 23:26:03	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x969868…
10-22 23:25:02	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x33e04f…
10-22 21:36:36	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xf7fd88…
10-22 21:35:00	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x0773cc…
10-22 21:34:50	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x6e0451…
10-22 14:33:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	236	1¢	$2	0xef3913…
10-22 14:33:32	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	1¢	$1	0x98288a…
10-22 14:33:29	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x636e4f…
10-22 14:33:02	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0x5c8189…
10-22 14:32:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	1¢	$1	0x7e6a40…
10-22 14:32:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	1¢	$1	0x571610…
10-22 14:32:51	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x189053…
10-22 14:32:50	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x3765ee…
10-22 14:32:47	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x7b68b8…
10-22 14:32:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x920079…
10-22 09:46:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	186	3¢	$6	0xf4420b…
10-22 03:41:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	549	2¢	$8	0xab52dc…
10-22 03:40:56	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc83d6b…
10-22 03:40:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x164594…
10-22 03:39:56	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x7ee54b…
10-22 03:39:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x11580f…
10-22 03:37:29	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xfa2691…
10-22 03:37:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x796b45…