Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.92K

Unrealized P&L

-$70

Hit rate

88.8%

Resolved

103

Trades

217

lifetime

Volume

$63.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$290

Open exposure

$1.74K

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 11-09 11:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

91% 94% -$242

Sports

7% 67% +$2,161

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No		-1,530	-$1,426	98¢	$-1496	-$70	06-28 19:15
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No		+250	$249	100¢	$249	$0	11-08 14:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.7K	2,120	2,120	+0	No	-$131	07-13 07:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?	3	$2.0K	1,027	1,027	+0	No	-$6	08-11 07:04
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	7	$1.4K	0	1,530	-1,530	open	—	06-28 19:15
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	3	$1.4K	868	868	+0	No	-$362	10-31 02:59
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,088	0	+1,088	No	+$1	10-26 06:45
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,087	0	+1,087	No	+$1	10-22 09:05
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,085	0	+1,085	No	+$1	10-20 06:10
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,085	0	+1,085	No	+$2	10-16 06:27
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 15?	9	$1.1K	1,083	0	+1,083	Yes	+$2	10-15 09:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14?	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	No	+$1	10-14 05:35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18?	1	$1.0K	1,048	0	+1,048	Yes	+$1	09-19 07:43
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 28?	2	$1.0K	1,046	0	+1,046	Yes	+$1	08-28 10:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 21?	1	$1.0K	1,039	0	+1,039	No	+$1	08-21 04:03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 17?	2	$1.0K	1,036	0	+1,036	No	+$10	08-16 14:28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 10?	1	$1.0K	1,026	0	+1,026	No	+$1	08-10 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 8?	2	$1.0K	1,025	0	+1,025	No	+$2	08-08 06:33
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 7?	4	$1.0K	1,022	0	+1,022	No	+$2	08-07 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6?	2	$1.0K	1,021	0	+1,021	Yes	+$2	08-06 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?	2	$1.0K	1,019	0	+1,019	Yes	+$1	07-30 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 29?	2	$1.0K	1,018	0	+1,018	No	+$2	07-29 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 25?	4	$1.0K	1,014	0	+1,014	No	+$4	07-24 16:00
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	8	$1.0K	509	509	+0	No	+$1	11-03 17:16
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 21?	1	$1.0K	1,008	0	+1,008	No	+$1	07-20 23:55
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	2	$1.0K	505	505	+0	No	+$3	11-01 15:22
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	4	$1.0K	504	504	+0	open	—	11-09 11:53
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 13?	1	$997	998	0	+998	No	+$1	10-13 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 15?	2	$989	990	0	+990	Yes	+$1	09-15 10:03
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	1	$975	1,429	0	+1,429	Yes	+$454	02-07 11:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 28?	5	$936	938	0	+938	No	+$2	07-28 09:49
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 16?	1	$910	911	0	+911	Yes	+$1	09-16 10:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 11:53:42	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	504	100¢	$504	0x61de67…
11-08 14:32:48	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xc106fa…
11-08 14:32:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x7e0943…
11-08 14:32:01	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	361	100¢	$360	0x83de03…
11-08 14:16:30	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x52f38d…
11-08 07:01:42	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0xebdeef…
11-08 06:29:33	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x520473…
11-08 05:57:24	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x0271b4…
11-08 05:25:13	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xda3463…
11-07 06:48:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	443	100¢	$443	0x45411a…
11-07 06:44:39	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	268	100¢	$267	0x23da9b…
11-07 06:44:34	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xceea8e…
11-06 06:40:25	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	750	99¢	$745	0xb0ac94…
11-04 09:43:49	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	745	99¢	$738	0x931f41…
11-04 09:43:22	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	248	100¢	$247	0x5d25b9…
11-03 17:16:54	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	69	99¢	$69	0x38852a…
11-03 17:15:49	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xe88512…
11-03 17:11:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xbe2818…
11-03 17:06:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	265	99¢	$263	0xc109a9…
11-03 17:03:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x48977a…
11-03 09:40:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3a142b…
11-03 08:10:27	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$205	0x3bd8b1…
11-03 08:09:43	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	174	100¢	$174	0x88946c…
11-03 04:47:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x78c240…
11-03 04:21:43	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$41	0x32138d…
11-03 04:21:22	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x2ca044…
11-03 04:21:16	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xfc4f69…
11-02 18:46:07	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	232	100¢	$232	0xc25234…
11-02 07:04:10	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	192	99¢	$190	0x370429…
11-02 07:03:43	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x226724…
11-02 07:03:39	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x699936…
11-01 23:12:07	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0x37e428…
11-01 15:26:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	509	99¢	$505	0xb5b69f…
11-01 15:22:30	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	505	100¢	$504	0x8f32cb…
10-31 12:34:00	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x98b8b0…
10-31 12:33:39	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x294396…
10-31 07:50:37	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	151	99¢	$150	0x444777…
10-31 07:47:31	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x0b5cd0…
10-31 07:47:24	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xa578d0…
10-31 07:37:36	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xe1ae62…
10-31 03:04:31	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	505	99¢	$501	0x1a8d5b…
10-31 02:59:58	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	868	58¢	$501	0xd26d4a…
10-30 08:47:15	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	231	99¢	$230	0x48aad2…
10-29 08:26:23	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	858	100¢	$854	0xc10128…
10-29 08:25:56	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa91a2f…
10-28 09:28:31	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	230	99¢	$227	0x92e414…
10-28 09:26:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa4c685…
10-28 09:26:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0x06e889…
10-28 09:26:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x078008…
10-28 09:26:20	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	445	100¢	$444	0xab7040…
10-28 09:26:08	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x087952…
10-28 09:26:02	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9f3d3c…
10-26 06:45:15	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1,088	100¢	$1,087	0x620578…
10-22 09:05:48	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1,087	100¢	$1,086	0x39cb9d…
10-20 06:10:32	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	1,085	100¢	$1,084	0x15ee1d…
10-16 06:27:09	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1,085	100¢	$1,083	0xd34d13…
10-15 09:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	507	100¢	$506	0x48affd…
10-15 09:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3b1aff…
10-15 09:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	197	100¢	$196	0x4edcc3…
10-15 09:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0x0bc5a0…
10-15 09:27:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xebb92d…
10-15 09:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x40ff88…
10-15 09:27:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0790b4…
10-15 09:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd835f4…
10-14 05:35:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14?	No	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,079	0x478224…
10-13 03:35:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 13?	No	BUY	998	100¢	$997	0xd9b5e7…
10-10 10:02:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x920c9e…
10-10 09:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x48c749…
10-10 09:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x178e0f…
10-10 09:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on October 11?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xe4e2f1…
10-10 09:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 11?	No	BUY	522	100¢	$522	0x5f4628…
10-10 09:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 11?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xbaf90b…
09-22 05:45:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	836	100¢	$835	0x19c8d6…
09-22 05:44:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 23?	No	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0x1f07e4…
09-21 05:49:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	77	97¢	$75	0x0318af…
09-21 05:47:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	648	100¢	$647	0x45b9e8…
09-21 05:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0cf9c6…
09-21 05:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 21?	No	BUY	347	100¢	$347	0xc394c0…
09-19 07:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	1,048	100¢	$1,047	0xf519c7…
09-19 07:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on September 18?	Yes	BUY	1,049	0¢	$1	0xc89996…
09-18 17:04:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 19?	No	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0x7c0abc…
09-18 14:48:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 19?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6672f2…
09-18 14:48:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 19?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x47ce8f…
09-18 14:48:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 19?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x07e6da…
09-18 14:48:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 19?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x515aa7…
09-18 08:19:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18?	Yes	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x8c32e6…
09-18 06:01:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 19?	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0x4fc7ba…
09-18 06:00:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0x603283…
09-18 06:00:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x4e2ad7…
09-18 05:59:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xfc90c7…
09-18 05:58:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe5758d…
09-18 05:56:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 19?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x34a66f…
09-18 05:56:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 19?	No	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x27d2ba…
09-17 10:50:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x65b005…
09-17 10:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 18?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0x270455…
09-17 10:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	353	100¢	$352	0x2dd006…
09-17 10:45:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on September 18?	No	BUY	366	100¢	$365	0x505e67…
09-16 10:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on September 17?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x294244…
09-16 10:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	911	100¢	$910	0xdb0f05…
09-15 10:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	910	100¢	$909	0xe93ae5…