Shrill-Analogue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$215

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.5%

Resolved

797

Trades

2,502

lifetime

Volume

$9.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-27 23:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 184 days

Categories

Other

92% 41% -$216

Politics

8% 43% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	3	$256	144	144	+0	No	-$3	03-05 09:08
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-03?	2	$108	91	91	+0	Yes	+$48	05-03 16:49
Will CA Grau win on 2026-05-29?	2	$106	95	95	+0	Yes	+$45	05-29 21:49
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	8	$105	100	68	+32	Yes	+$25	03-03 21:53
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$101	107	0	+107	No	+$6	01-13 00:37
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	1	$100	110	0	+110	Yes	+$10	03-03 22:27
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	2	$100	51	51	+0	Yes	$0	03-09 00:24
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-05-17?	2	$95	75	75	+0	Yes	+$35	05-17 14:07
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 115 139	5	$93	102	102	+0	Yes	-$8	03-11 07:25
Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-05-03?	5	$91	75	75	+0	Yes	+$31	05-03 15:41
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	5	$84	165	165	+0	No	-$15	03-03 19:00
ere nac fey 2026 03 08 draw	2	$83	75	75	+0	Yes	+$24	03-08 17:37
bun lei aug 2026 03 07 draw	5	$80	100	99	+1	No	+$20	03-07 16:10
us x venezuela military engagement by january 31 2026 977	1	$70	0	70	-70	Yes	$0	01-03 09:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$69	40	40	+0	No	+$5	01-23 21:00
us x venezuela military engagement by march 31 2026 264 352 211 137 861 788 622 336 869 453	1	$66	0	66	-66	Yes	$0	01-03 09:11
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	7	$62	80	10	+70	No	+$18	05-28 07:26
es2 rso cas 2026 03 07 draw	2	$53	100	100	+0	No	-$3	03-07 17:01
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	3	$52	60	0	+60	No	+$8	05-12 06:47
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	5	$52	100	100	+0	Yes	+$34	08-31 15:59
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	2	$47	102	0	+102	No	+$4	03-11 07:02
Will NEC vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?	3	$45	90	90	+0	Yes	-$15	05-02 21:12
Will Millonarios FC vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?	3	$44	90	90	+0	No	-$15	05-26 23:55
elc swa pne 2026 02 24 draw	4	$43	35	35	+0	Yes	+$23	02-24 21:38
fl1 tou pfc 2026 02 21 draw	2	$43	40	40	+0	Yes	+$20	02-21 19:50
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	7	$43	40	40	+0	Yes	+$3	08-08 09:11
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	8	$42	50	50	+0	No	+$34	10-06 22:53
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	19	$41	120	115	+5	Yes	-$13	08-28 07:05
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	8	$41	76	20	+56	No	-$18	05-12 07:10
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	11	$40	135	100	+35	No	+$8	08-18 13:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:31:53	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x721a67…
10-27 23:28:24	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x3622f3…
10-27 23:16:59	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0xcdc839…
10-27 23:16:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0xe4b1dc…
10-27 18:59:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x15338f…
10-27 08:44:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x8a5b9d…
10-27 04:24:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x8963aa…
10-27 04:24:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0x8f7de3…
10-26 23:16:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x1c415d…
10-26 17:14:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x6ce2ae…
10-26 12:19:56	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0x854f75…
10-26 07:42:29	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x5e71e4…
10-26 00:56:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xee1718…
10-26 00:22:06	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x930fb8…
10-26 00:03:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xed3af7…
10-25 23:56:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x63c594…
10-25 23:53:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xaedec3…
10-25 23:51:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xe145bb…
10-25 23:39:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xffeccd…
10-25 23:21:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xbf5cc4…
10-25 17:29:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x298166…
10-25 13:36:48	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x536751…
10-25 11:32:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xbde95f…
10-25 11:27:05	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x8e3d53…
10-25 10:36:33	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xc6f44d…
10-25 06:52:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x9c3a3c…
10-25 06:24:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0xdbca99…
10-25 06:23:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xe77121…
10-25 01:01:20	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xd81fc2…
10-25 01:00:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0x386caf…
10-25 00:49:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0xb70bf1…
10-25 00:48:45	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0xf84bea…
10-24 18:46:47	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x2ee682…
10-24 14:40:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x8dd915…
10-24 00:56:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xe6b309…
10-23 23:37:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf0eb3b…
10-23 23:29:38	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x43fc4a…
10-23 23:26:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x3496f6…
10-23 23:26:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	74¢	$14	0xf98d9b…
10-23 23:22:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xb6b9aa…
10-23 19:46:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x687a78…
10-23 19:14:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x19a9cf…
10-23 14:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x68e76f…
10-23 12:57:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	14¢	$3	0x8b8614…
10-23 08:33:17	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0xd14574…
10-23 05:52:47	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x9da742…
10-22 23:03:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3ad82e…
10-22 22:52:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0xdce98e…
10-22 22:45:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xc46642…
10-22 22:44:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x6c8063…
10-22 14:17:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x87378a…
10-22 01:57:17	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x2ca5ac…
10-22 00:51:05	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xcf49a3…
10-22 00:49:23	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xffa590…
10-22 00:49:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0xea9ad6…
10-22 00:49:20	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x8e0b2e…
10-22 00:49:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x8d5f5f…
10-22 00:48:59	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x637222…
10-22 00:48:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xf773e2…
10-22 00:48:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x5fb9e5…
10-22 00:48:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x5970eb…
10-22 00:48:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x585fa4…
10-22 00:48:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x321cb1…
10-22 00:48:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x2a8968…
10-22 00:48:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x22d389…
10-22 00:48:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x1ff849…
10-22 00:48:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x1d5a6d…
10-22 00:48:50	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$1	0x25c553…
10-22 00:47:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0xd009fb…
10-21 23:16:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x67a5c8…
10-21 22:29:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x37e1ad…
10-21 22:28:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x0653da…
10-21 15:57:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa68f0c…
10-21 15:57:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x811c82…
10-21 15:57:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x1587d2…
10-19 23:30:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x7bb68e…
10-19 23:06:05	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x35e4f2…
10-19 23:02:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xbb7366…
10-19 22:55:36	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xb52d1f…
10-19 22:46:15	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	17¢	$3	0xbc33d0…
10-19 22:42:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	10¢	$3	0x77ff4d…
10-19 22:41:38	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x6bcbd0…
10-19 22:40:36	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xdc1617…
10-19 22:39:03	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x1ed84f…
10-19 22:28:35	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xec6bbd…
10-19 22:28:02	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x1aa9f8…
10-19 22:27:33	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x7a5f9d…
10-19 22:26:59	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0xb21424…
10-19 22:26:00	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0x33f36e…
10-19 22:25:54	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xae35dc…
10-19 20:49:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xfb2ab3…
10-19 20:49:21	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xdd7b8d…
10-19 20:49:21	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xd74a9f…
10-19 20:49:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xb3f91c…
10-19 19:24:17	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x181cdd…
10-19 12:05:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xba043f…
10-19 08:41:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0xff5c0e…
10-19 08:41:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xad0dc3…
10-18 23:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0xc4e583…
10-18 23:47:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xd5b1b9…