Intentional-Monster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.59K

Unrealized P&L

-$213

Hit rate

81.7%

Resolved

3,125

Trades

33,226

lifetime

Volume

$868.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$304

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-30 10:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 227 days

Categories

Other

100% 92% -$4,537

Crypto

0% 20% -$53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 415 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	-300	-$35	70¢	$-210	-$175	10-30 11:41
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	-293	-$31	27¢	$-80	-$49	10-30 10:47
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	-450	-$9	2¢	$-9	+$0	10-30 09:51
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	-1,500	-$4	0¢	$-2	+$2	10-29 22:15
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	-450	-$7	0¢	$-1	+$6	10-29 06:08
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	-450	-$4	0¢	$-1	+$4	10-30 05:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	280	$21.2K	20,468	16,844	+3,624	Yes	+$888	06-05 14:07
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	290	$11.6K	21,825	18,320	+3,505	No	-$1,853	06-05 14:01
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	348	$10.1K	16,786	6,527	+10,260	Yes	+$6,575	05-28 06:43
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	443	$7.7K	22,157	11,519	+10,638	No	-$2,302	05-28 06:36
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	34	$5.4K	6,575	0	+6,575	No	+$19	06-06 02:38
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	19	$5.0K	5,060	0	+5,060	No	+$23	06-02 08:21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	224	$4.6K	13,940	9,594	+4,346	No	-$1,655	05-28 07:55
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	83	$4.4K	3,538	3,532	+6	Yes	-$346	06-26 08:35
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	11	$4.3K	4,291	1,309	+2,982	No	+$39	06-03 07:25
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	2	$4.1K	4,200	0	+4,200	No	+$94	07-27 10:04
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	63	$3.4K	8,032	4,370	+3,662	No	-$66	06-06 09:05
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	172	$3.2K	6,332	8,859	-2,527	No	+$232	06-04 07:37
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	51	$2.9K	4,602	265	+4,337	No	-$1,301	07-07 15:52
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	27	$2.8K	3,389	3,380	+9	No	+$143	06-06 06:20
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	36	$2.7K	5,843	4,077	+1,765	No	-$66	08-21 13:12
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	81	$2.6K	2,107	1,697	+411	No	-$361	10-21 15:16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 5?	72	$2.3K	1,472	1,471	+1	No	-$572	05-05 19:22
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	19	$2.2K	2,163	3,949	-1,786	No	+$50	06-06 06:13
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	3	$2.1K	2,100	3,522	-1,422	No	+$12	07-16 13:25
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	82	$2.1K	2,723	1,610	+1,113	Yes	-$201	08-04 14:04
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	67	$2.0K	1,518	1,027	+492	Yes	+$8	10-28 12:33
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	2	$2.0K	2,100	40	+2,060	No	+$99	07-31 17:23
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$2	06-17 16:50
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$2	06-12 15:42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 30?	35	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$7	04-30 18:49
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 1?	8	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$11	05-01 06:01
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	74	$2.0K	7,120	5,986	+1,134	No	-$282	07-13 11:46
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	97	$2.0K	7,601	7,808	-206	No	-$246	08-21 15:30
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	5	$2.0K	1,966	0	+1,966	No	+$8	06-09 16:05
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	28	$1.9K	2,597	69	+2,527	Yes	-$318	08-25 14:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:41:22	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x9eb8aa…
10-30 11:32:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xf3c7e7…
10-30 11:31:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0xc39903…
10-30 11:05:09	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0x2e9dfb…
10-30 10:56:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$11	0x91ca16…
10-30 10:53:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0xab4b99…
10-30 10:49:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x005f51…
10-30 10:48:58	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x0225bd…
10-30 10:48:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	16¢	$6	0x3e2690…
10-30 10:47:03	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x8e47b8…
10-30 10:44:22	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x930d54…
10-30 10:43:13	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0x6c97a0…
10-30 10:43:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xaac040…
10-30 10:43:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x735cf5…
10-30 10:39:46	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xcd3051…
10-30 10:39:43	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x4296ba…
10-30 10:39:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	7¢	$2	0xb5b214…
10-30 10:38:28	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xdb540b…
10-30 10:38:28	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$4	0x23dad7…
10-30 10:37:45	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xbaee77…
10-30 10:37:45	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x8c6d8c…
10-30 10:37:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0x94fcb1…
10-30 10:31:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc1492a…
10-30 10:29:01	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0x670430…
10-30 10:24:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x68dcf4…
10-30 10:24:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x35d958…
10-30 10:24:25	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x0e1e7c…
10-30 10:23:46	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	22¢	$5	0xaad33b…
10-30 10:20:46	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xc6d359…
10-30 10:08:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	7¢	$2	0xb24122…
10-30 10:05:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	385	0¢	$1	0xed8b70…
10-30 10:02:13	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xe98d1c…
10-30 10:01:58	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	0¢	$1	0xfe4ddf…
10-30 10:01:40	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0x46acf8…
10-30 09:53:51	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xce2241…
10-30 09:51:04	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	157	2¢	$4	0xdcfe15…
10-30 09:47:16	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	16¢	$3	0x84ca0c…
10-30 09:46:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x006be6…
10-30 09:43:46	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xbe006c…
10-30 09:36:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0x1ff4c2…
10-30 09:26:51	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xe59e9e…
10-30 09:09:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	196	52¢	$102	0x1fb3e2…
10-30 09:09:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	7¢	$2	0x2bb384…
10-30 08:57:37	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xb851d4…
10-30 08:56:22	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xe319aa…
10-30 08:55:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	7¢	$2	0xfe2163…
10-30 08:53:51	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x2d2337…
10-30 08:46:31	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x5d7cfe…
10-30 08:45:16	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xb23760…
10-30 08:45:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	17¢	$21	0x91d6cb…
10-30 08:44:57	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x77dcf2…
10-30 08:44:51	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xa6f20a…
10-30 08:39:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0xa80525…
10-30 08:27:43	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$5	0xdd4706…
10-30 08:26:12	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xec89cd…
10-30 08:18:37	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xfa7574…
10-30 08:18:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	7¢	$7	0x4881fe…
10-30 08:13:52	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x3eebce…
10-30 08:03:12	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xd0ad7b…
10-30 07:41:22	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	23¢	$9	0x34f06e…
10-30 07:37:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	8¢	$4	0xb7105b…
10-30 07:35:31	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	30¢	$6	0xac53fa…
10-30 07:31:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$5	0xc87051…
10-30 07:28:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xebaa93…
10-30 07:27:04	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0xf56e59…
10-30 07:27:04	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8d601a…
10-30 07:27:04	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6775eb…
10-30 07:27:04	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x095935…
10-30 07:26:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	15¢	$12	0x610dbe…
10-30 07:23:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	16¢	$18	0xd05307…
10-30 07:21:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	178	49¢	$87	0x8a7aae…
10-30 07:19:46	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$0	0x88f6fe…
10-30 07:19:43	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	67¢	$19	0x9d7287…
10-30 07:19:31	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	3¢	$5	0x8de789…
10-30 07:17:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xc73627…
10-30 07:13:52	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0xdacb3d…
10-30 06:53:48	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xeba153…
10-30 06:52:27	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	1¢	$1	0xaae795…
10-30 06:44:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x28651c…
10-30 06:39:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	28¢	$10	0xd95a44…
10-30 06:38:24	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x23aaef…
10-30 06:37:13	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	63¢	$16	0xa4dff4…
10-30 06:37:10	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	62¢	$15	0x623245…
10-30 06:35:34	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0x9da512…
10-30 06:35:30	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x672f6c…
10-30 06:25:25	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0x3c45d4…
10-30 06:10:28	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	40¢	$17	0xf8ff0e…
10-30 06:08:55	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xd20ed5…
10-30 06:08:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	44¢	$14	0x17d094…
10-30 06:08:03	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	39¢	$9	0x8c24ba…
10-30 06:08:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xf36854…
10-30 06:07:58	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x1b4682…
10-30 06:07:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	20¢	$4	0xc545fc…
10-30 06:06:43	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	116	2¢	$2	0x4a7a3c…
10-30 06:00:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	43¢	$15	0x861770…
10-30 06:00:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	1¢	$0	0x6923fe…
10-30 05:59:43	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	27¢	$4	0x35fac1…
10-30 05:59:25	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x4516c4…
10-30 05:59:18	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xccd36b…
10-30 05:58:54	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x96ba86…