Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$945

Unrealized P&L

+$99

Hit rate

92.9%

Resolved

Trades

289

lifetime

Volume

$66.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$229

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-14

last 11-03 03:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

75% 99% +$158

Politics

13% 67% +$912

Crypto

8% 100% +$74

Tech

3% 0% -$793

Sports

1% 100% +$594

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+0	-$99	8¢	$0	+$99	05-27 15:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	+$15	03-24 16:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$2.2K	2,936	2,936	+0	open	—	07-14 06:59
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,019	1,019	+0	No	+$1	10-31 17:52
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$1.9K	2,418	2,418	+0	No	-$222	05-14 03:24
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	23	$1.8K	2,030	2,030	+0	open	—	05-27 15:12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	27	$1.8K	922	922	+0	No	+$4	10-30 04:33
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?	21	$1.7K	1,981	1,981	+0	No	-$793	06-19 03:20
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	4	$1.5K	744	744	+0	No	+$1	11-02 06:20
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$1.4K	730	730	+0	No	+$19	03-25 08:02
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	3	$1.3K	759	759	+0	Yes	+$38	06-09 06:17
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	2	$1.2K	1,246	0	+1,246	No	+$3	10-26 06:34
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,243	0	+1,243	No	+$1	10-22 08:09
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,241	0	+1,241	No	+$1	10-19 10:15
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,240	0	+1,240	No	+$1	10-16 05:35
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	4	$1.2K	1,239	0	+1,239	No	+$11	10-15 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14?	4	$1.2K	1,229	0	+1,229	Yes	+$2	10-14 08:14
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,227	0	+1,227	No	+$1	10-12 11:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 11?	1	$1.2K	1,216	0	+1,216	No	+$1	10-11 06:05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 15?	6	$1.2K	1,204	0	+1,204	Yes	+$2	09-15 09:47
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 27?	1	$1.2K	1,173	0	+1,173	Yes	+$1	08-27 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12?	3	$1.2K	1,160	0	+1,160	No	+$1	08-12 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 11?	1	$1.2K	1,158	0	+1,158	No	+$1	08-11 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 6?	1	$1.2K	1,154	0	+1,154	No	+$1	08-06 08:52
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$1.1K	1,153	0	+1,153	Yes	+$39	07-22 07:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$1.1K	0	1,798	-1,798	Yes	+$1,097	05-06 06:36
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 16?	9	$1.1K	1,113	0	+1,113	No	+$45	07-16 03:29
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 15?	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	No	+$1	07-15 04:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 10?	1	$1.0K	1,012	0	+1,012	No	+$1	08-10 03:03
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 19?	1	$998	999	0	+999	No	+$1	08-19 08:37
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$962	1,549	0	+1,549	Yes	+$587	06-09 11:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 03:51:51	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	748	100¢	$747	0xda6c33…
11-02 06:21:52	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	748	99¢	$744	0x7defd5…
11-02 06:20:42	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	744	100¢	$743	0xbd360c…
11-01 14:48:28	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0xf5d725…
11-01 14:47:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x4ed7bc…
11-01 14:47:19	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x1fabc6…
11-01 14:43:10	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0x0c7da8…
11-01 14:34:09	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	247	99¢	$246	0xa62e7e…
11-01 14:33:03	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xc9542b…
11-01 14:32:58	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x69ace6…
11-01 14:29:36	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x134451…
11-01 14:27:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	239	100¢	$239	0x9d4004…
10-31 17:52:31	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	1,019	100¢	$1,018	0x3e434b…
10-30 07:33:24	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1,019	100¢	$1,017	0x05bc99…
10-30 07:32:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0xc2b0db…
10-30 07:32:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x631eaf…
10-30 07:32:22	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x6c3143…
10-30 07:32:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xf68a8c…
10-30 04:33:25	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	207	100¢	$206	0xc34ea6…
10-30 04:22:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x4fa69f…
10-30 04:10:49	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb0d4c0…
10-30 04:06:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x1ef513…
10-30 04:05:04	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xba0880…
10-30 04:05:04	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8039da…
10-30 04:03:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xfbcfe1…
10-30 04:01:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfed87a…
10-30 03:40:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x500b40…
10-30 03:33:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x97b238…
10-30 03:28:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x96fb5f…
10-30 03:19:36	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x8a8616…
10-30 03:16:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x308b98…
10-30 03:10:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xc402b3…
10-30 03:06:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x1acc3b…
10-30 02:10:15	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x13c3ce…
10-30 02:06:01	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xdeffdb…
10-30 00:16:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xd95720…
10-30 00:16:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb9849f…
10-30 00:06:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8171cd…
10-29 23:06:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xa41e71…
10-29 23:04:36	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x944bf4…
10-29 23:04:36	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0de764…
10-29 23:04:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5077fd…
10-29 23:02:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9ef27b…
10-29 16:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x032f03…
10-29 15:29:19	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x6db20a…
10-29 15:11:05	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x290874…
10-29 14:34:02	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x060da3…
10-29 14:28:46	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xf106ee…
10-29 14:21:59	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x00d2ad…
10-29 14:17:56	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$26	0xc69ee1…
10-28 08:29:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	212	99¢	$211	0xcb7c24…
10-28 08:28:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	710	99¢	$705	0xdfec4f…
10-28 08:28:14	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	331	100¢	$329	0x3a55da…
10-26 06:34:30	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	867	100¢	$865	0x3e4eed…
10-26 06:34:08	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	379	100¢	$378	0x3c4363…
10-22 08:09:33	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1,243	100¢	$1,242	0x0d7545…
10-19 10:15:56	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	1,241	100¢	$1,240	0x5146be…
10-16 05:35:04	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1,240	100¢	$1,239	0xb87759…
10-15 06:25:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	934	99¢	$926	0x5fbb59…
10-15 06:24:23	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x161be3…
10-15 06:24:05	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x30ad09…
10-15 06:23:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x44d16c…
10-14 08:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xf932d3…
10-14 08:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x9b6c16…
10-14 08:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xf10c2d…
10-14 08:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xa5b360…
10-12 11:23:41	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1,227	100¢	$1,226	0xe15260…
10-11 06:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 11?	No	BUY	1,216	100¢	$1,215	0x93d853…
09-22 02:45:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 23?	No	BUY	513	100¢	$512	0xa4a134…
09-22 02:38:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 22?	No	BUY	160	99¢	$158	0xbf904e…
09-22 02:38:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 22?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x8bffa3…
09-22 02:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 22?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x7ec614…
09-21 07:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	644	100¢	$643	0xfd90fe…
09-21 07:45:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 21?	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0x0e9803…
09-21 07:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C or below on September 22?	No	BUY	364	98¢	$357	0xc11cca…
09-18 06:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	280	100¢	$279	0xe842b0…
09-18 06:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C or higher on September 19?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x094c69…
09-18 06:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	798	100¢	$798	0x02abee…
09-16 11:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdbd924…
09-16 11:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x7c7afd…
09-16 11:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 17?	No	BUY	529	99¢	$524	0xd053f9…
09-16 11:12:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 17?	No	BUY	72	98¢	$71	0x6f6978…
09-16 11:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on September 17?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xee8015…
09-16 11:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on September 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9adf5b…
09-15 09:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	553	100¢	$552	0x6a7b06…
09-15 09:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x706ada…
09-15 09:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xe74284…
09-15 09:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x8cc836…
09-15 09:44:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf3b65f…
09-15 09:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$64	0x79c980…
09-13 09:37:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on September 14?	No	BUY	742	100¢	$741	0x92db13…
09-13 09:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 14?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x66ee32…
09-13 08:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0xe8b274…
09-09 07:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 9?	No	BUY	814	100¢	$812	0x093632…
09-09 07:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	385	100¢	$384	0x6284b7…
09-08 03:10:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0xd4ebe7…
09-08 03:08:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 8?	No	BUY	274	100¢	$273	0x02723f…
09-08 02:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x09baf5…
09-08 02:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe5af29…
09-08 02:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x39c96d…