Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$80

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.0%

Resolved

124

Trades

37,933

lifetime

Volume

$450.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 04-28 09:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

83% 83% $-5

Politics

14% 67% $-58

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% 0% $-17

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 665 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	18	$4.3K	4,463	175	+4,287	open	—	04-22 20:24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	42	$4.1K	3,610	600	+3,010	open	—	04-25 02:32
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	25	$3.1K	3,225	1,077	+2,148	open	—	04-24 23:20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	59	$3.1K	3,160	2,991	+169	open	—	04-24 19:27
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	131	$2.7K	5,402	0	+5,402	open	—	02-24 16:24
will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	20	$2.6K	3,214	0	+3,214	open	—	04-11 08:14
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	30	$2.5K	2,895	0	+2,895	open	—	04-16 21:44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	51	$2.3K	2,419	0	+2,419	open	—	04-10 08:19
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	117	$2.3K	6,296	0	+6,296	open	—	02-24 16:24
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$2.2K	2,200	50	+2,150	No	+$37	04-24 14:14
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	64	$2.2K	4,887	0	+4,887	open	—	02-20 14:54
highest temperature in seattle on february 18 2026 42 43f	117	$1.9K	10,680	0	+10,680	open	—	02-19 08:55
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	31	$1.9K	1,899	892	+1,007	open	—	04-23 10:09
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	22	$1.8K	1,821	446	+1,374	open	—	04-26 21:06
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	14	$1.7K	1,745	0	+1,745	open	—	03-25 15:56
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	85	$1.7K	4,973	0	+4,973	open	—	02-10 14:48
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	56	$1.7K	2,814	0	+2,814	open	—	03-04 16:59
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	47	$1.6K	1,646	1,095	+552	open	—	04-24 07:40
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	13	$1.6K	1,642	0	+1,642	No	+$4	03-25 15:56
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	43	$1.6K	1,635	1,199	+436	open	—	04-24 08:25
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	56	$1.6K	1,632	1,199	+432	open	—	04-24 10:06
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	26	$1.5K	2,701	0	+2,701	open	—	04-08 18:39
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	17	$1.5K	1,631	0	+1,631	open	—	03-21 19:07
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	10	$1.5K	1,181	400	+781	open	—	04-23 07:34
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	29	$1.5K	1,840	0	+1,840	open	—	04-05 06:53
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	50	$1.5K	1,478	1,414	+64	open	—	04-25 14:00
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	22	$1.4K	2,235	100	+2,135	open	—	04-22 20:21
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	61	$1.4K	5,226	0	+5,226	open	—	02-20 14:54
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	58	$1.4K	1,328	1,442	-114	open	—	04-23 12:43
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 140 164	4	$1.3K	1,382	0	+1,382	open	—	03-16 18:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 09:55:56	Will Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xe0e5a0…
04-28 09:42:20	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xdbe012…
04-28 09:40:26	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x0c9eae…
04-28 09:38:10	will the revolutionary socialist party rsp win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x8964e6…
04-28 09:36:58	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xf8e28f…
04-28 09:29:00	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600b and $610b on April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x1594f5…
04-28 09:20:22	Will Cyprus be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x0e4f53…
04-28 07:50:42	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x817f19…
04-28 07:39:48	Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	No	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x1dad4c…
04-28 07:22:10	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x5a1390…
04-28 07:19:48	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $620b and $630b on April 30?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xd2f391…
04-28 06:59:42	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x9542b9…
04-28 06:23:36	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x81d3be…
04-28 05:41:42	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xaaed80…
04-28 05:38:34	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xba3f28…
04-28 05:32:50	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xb54471…
04-28 04:32:00	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x9aded8…
04-28 04:08:00	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0xbe9411…
04-28 03:00:28	Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x9a1dc0…
04-28 02:54:26	Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x5de532…
04-28 02:27:44	Will Welsh Labour win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xe40147…
04-28 01:30:40	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xfa24f7…
04-28 01:08:10	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x9d2e0c…
04-28 00:45:52	Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x21eedb…
04-28 00:24:32	Will Cyprus be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0x16e347…
04-28 00:14:04	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xdf63e2…
04-27 23:57:28	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x3026e7…
04-27 23:41:56	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xa57371…
04-27 23:38:40	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x146f34…
04-27 23:38:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xdbb0c3…
04-27 23:33:24	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xa86396…
04-27 23:28:06	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xb051b2…
04-27 23:26:00	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xa6166c…
04-27 23:25:22	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x4b079d…
04-27 23:12:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x57a324…
04-27 23:05:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x2921b6…
04-27 22:59:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xd0b370…
04-27 22:44:12	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xa5e1ea…
04-27 22:36:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	80	78¢	$62	0xdc8404…
04-27 22:32:58	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x0c8963…
04-27 22:28:48	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xc8685b…
04-27 22:25:28	Will Switzerland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x91cd7d…
04-27 22:24:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x46d5dd…
04-27 22:14:30	Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xdcf53e…
04-27 22:09:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x53f70d…
04-27 22:04:10	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x6cb27b…
04-27 21:59:26	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x34daf3…
04-27 21:48:26	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	SELL	17	31¢	$5	0x8ac344…
04-27 21:42:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x9c1cec…
04-27 21:42:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x52a1ea…
04-27 21:42:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	9¢	$3	0xad8429…
04-27 21:39:00	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xf43e85…
04-27 21:38:58	Will Cyprus be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x76c3c1…
04-27 21:38:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0xf76841…
04-27 21:38:40	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x07b78a…
04-27 21:31:26	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$1	0x9085d8…
04-27 21:31:26	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x8824fa…
04-27 21:31:26	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x842ed0…
04-27 21:31:26	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x2574ea…
04-27 21:31:26	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0x22eaee…
04-27 21:31:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	40	83¢	$33	0xbc554a…
04-27 21:24:30	Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xbf93a2…
04-27 21:21:30	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x00ae2f…
04-27 21:20:44	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x4b2705…
04-27 21:14:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$19	0x79a9f3…
04-27 21:13:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x069770…
04-27 21:13:24	Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x410246…
04-27 21:12:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xb3fb90…
04-27 21:12:16	Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x8e0bde…
04-27 21:11:56	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	10¢	$5	0xcdb0f5…
04-27 20:46:00	Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x3a29ae…
04-27 20:44:36	Will Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xfceff5…
04-27 20:39:32	Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x45b9bd…
04-27 20:38:46	Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x559f13…
04-27 20:36:54	Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x756fbf…
04-27 20:32:06	Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x97171f…
04-27 20:29:04	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x6d7bc0…
04-27 20:09:34	Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x045130…
04-27 19:49:34	Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	13	28¢	$4	0x757d0f…
04-27 19:46:16	Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	16	28¢	$4	0x12d8af…
04-27 19:31:16	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x86a61f…
04-27 19:30:48	Will Shelley Moore Capito be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x1d3a4b…
04-27 19:30:28	Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0xf76ffa…
04-27 19:18:02	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x7c834d…
04-27 19:12:08	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x39a434…
04-27 19:06:48	Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0xb0888c…
04-27 18:49:02	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xecb2eb…
04-27 18:48:10	Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	8	31¢	$3	0x9cdd29…
04-27 18:48:06	will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xb80d72…
04-27 18:42:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x50085f…
04-27 18:38:12	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xfeefaf…
04-27 18:33:26	Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x90ccc1…
04-27 18:31:26	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x3010bd…
04-27 18:21:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$99	0xef01df…
04-27 18:21:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	35	91¢	$32	0xbd3ad8…
04-27 18:21:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	103	63¢	$65	0xad4da7…
04-27 18:21:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	103	87¢	$90	0x62f421…
04-27 18:21:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x60db0b…
04-27 18:21:54	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x56af6e…
04-27 18:21:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	103	90¢	$93	0x472243…