(anonymous) 0x0130af…befb49
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5.78K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.04K
Hit rate
79.3%
Resolved
8,144
Trades
58,055
lifetime
Volume
$1.28M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$116.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 11:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 236 days
Categories
Other
68% 51% -$3,416
Politics
27% 77% -$300
Tech
3% 64% -$1,529
Crypto
1% 55% -$92
Sports
1% 47% -$403
Pop-Culture
0% 76% -$38
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 554 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +17,817 $10,260 55¢ $9.7K -$550 10-10 02:40
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +20,850 $8,714 46¢ $9.5K +$825 10-20 21:22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +8,457 $7,799 92¢ $7.8K +$23 10-06 13:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +8,375 $6,271 78¢ $6.5K +$220 10-13 15:43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +8,603 $5,984 74¢ $6.3K +$339 10-06 13:21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +4,324 $4,252 99¢ $4.3K +$44 10-12 12:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +4,351 $1,322 94¢ $4.1K +$2,790 09-28 16:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +4,099 $4,083 100¢ $4.1K +$12 09-28 16:17
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +3,876 $3,869 100¢ $3.9K +$1 10-10 13:51
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +3,909 $3,861 98¢ $3.8K -$12 10-10 13:51
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,865 $4,536 64¢ $3.8K -$762 10-19 11:54
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +3,666 $3,281 99¢ $3.6K +$337 10-08 10:29
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +3,445 $3,410 99¢ $3.4K +$5 10-06 13:21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +3,380 $3,365 99¢ $3.4K -$5 10-12 12:19
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +3,965 $3,068 84¢ $3.3K +$266 10-10 13:51
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +3,247 $3,215 100¢ $3.2K +$27 10-06 13:21
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +3,226 $3,200 100¢ $3.2K +$13 10-01 16:49
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +3,206 $3,200 100¢ $3.2K -$8 10-01 16:49
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +8,700 $3,331 36¢ $3.1K -$242 10-06 13:21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +3,217 $2,193 91¢ $2.9K +$744 10-01 16:49
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +3,821 $1,940 74¢ $2.8K +$868 10-05 10:37
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,962 $2,812 92¢ $2.7K -$102 10-03 00:59
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,703 $2,633 97¢ $2.6K -$1 10-01 22:37
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,776 $2,270 83¢ $2.3K +$34 07-06 14:00
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,263 $2,172 98¢ $2.2K +$51 10-09 18:41
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,119 $2,116 100¢ $2.1K -$1 10-09 18:41
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,124 $2,116 100¢ $2.1K -$2 10-09 18:41
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,865 $1,535 36¢ $2.1K +$547 10-13 14:59
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +3,018 $2,478 68¢ $2.1K -$420 10-17 19:13
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,058 $2,056 100¢ $2.1K -$5 10-09 18:41