(anonymous) 0x0130af…befb49 Create alert
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$1.17K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.78K
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved (7d)
445
Trades (7d)
1,521
60,150 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$13.8K
$1.30M lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$72.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 14:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 251 days
Categories
Other
68% 53% -$4,891
Politics
27% 75% -$1,126
Tech
3% 65% -$75
Crypto
1% 64% -$272
Sports
1% 47% -$403
Pop-Culture
0% 76% -$38
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 554 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +8,375 $6,271 97¢ $8.1K +$1,857 10-13 15:43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +4,324 $4,252 100¢ $4.3K +$57 10-12 12:19
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +3,909 $3,861 99¢ $3.9K +$21 10-10 13:51
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +3,876 $3,869 100¢ $3.9K +$1 10-10 13:51
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,865 $4,536 65¢ $3.8K -$742 10-19 11:54
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +3,965 $3,068 91¢ $3.6K +$530 10-10 13:51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +3,380 $3,365 100¢ $3.4K +$7 10-12 12:19
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,776 $2,270 93¢ $2.6K +$312 07-06 14:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,703 $2,633 88¢ $2.4K -$242 10-01 22:37
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,263 $2,172 100¢ $2.3K +$83 10-09 18:41
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,124 $2,116 99¢ $2.1K -$11 10-09 18:41
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +3,018 $2,478 68¢ $2.1K -$411 10-17 19:13
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,058 $2,056 100¢ $2.1K -$2 10-09 18:41
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,865 $1,535 34¢ $2.0K +$488 10-13 14:59
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,894 $1,870 100¢ $1.9K +$16 09-30 23:47
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,888 $1,871 100¢ $1.9K +$11 09-30 23:47
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,881 $1,871 100¢ $1.9K +$5 09-30 23:47
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,876 $1,871 100¢ $1.9K +$2 09-30 23:47
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,876 $1,871 100¢ $1.9K +$2 09-30 23:47
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,894 $1,780 98¢ $1.8K +$70 09-30 23:47
Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +1,823 $1,821 100¢ $1.8K +$1 10-10 13:51
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,258 $373 78¢ $1.8K +$1,400 10-09 18:41
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,613 $1,593 99¢ $1.6K +$9 09-30 23:47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,986 $774 78¢ $1.6K +$785 09-30 23:47
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1,430 -$1,391 99¢ $-1411 -$20 09-28 19:10
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez not run for Senate or President in 2028? No +1,444 $1,305 95¢ $1.4K +$69 10-10 02:16
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +1,358 $1,220 99¢ $1.3K +$125 09-25 20:31
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +1,471 $1,180 90¢ $1.3K +$138 07-06 06:14
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +1,110 $914 99¢ $1.1K +$189 11-09 06:16
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +1,224 $1,009 84¢ $1.0K +$25 10-06 11:47