Joint-Lard 0x942e79…d2be27
whale hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$13.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$743
Hit rate
93.1%
Resolved
40,540
Trades
171,608
lifetime
Volume
$3.52M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$43.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 10-27 12:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 188 days
Categories
Other
72% 90% +$11,024
Politics
17% 86% +$970
Sports
9% 91% +$2,619
Tech
1% 79% -$1,121
Crypto
1% 86% -$44
Pop-Culture
1% 89% +$122
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2005 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,448 $2,343 100¢ $2.4K +$96 10-27 12:37
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,143 $2,138 100¢ $2.1K +$2 08-30 23:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,964 $1,950 100¢ $2.0K +$7 10-26 17:13
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,899 $1,888 100¢ $1.9K +$8 10-23 20:49
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,879 $1,876 100¢ $1.9K +$0 10-17 12:32
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +1,838 $1,643 100¢ $1.8K +$193 09-24 19:06
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,807 $1,803 100¢ $1.8K +$1 10-22 02:13
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +1,835 $1,423 88¢ $1.6K +$182 10-24 19:43
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,594 $1,576 100¢ $1.6K +$12 10-01 17:45
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,519 $1,511 100¢ $1.5K +$6 09-10 16:46
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +1,383 $1,196 98¢ $1.4K +$165 09-10 16:41
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,347 $1,342 100¢ $1.3K +$3 10-27 09:06
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? No +1,353 $1,341 99¢ $1.3K +$0 10-15 16:27
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,338 $1,330 100¢ $1.3K +$7 09-16 17:55
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,316 $1,310 100¢ $1.3K +$2 10-27 09:53
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +1,306 $1,299 100¢ $1.3K +$5 10-03 15:29
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,287 $1,282 100¢ $1.3K +$3 08-06 19:53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,292 $1,255 99¢ $1.3K +$28 10-27 09:05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,319 $948 94¢ $1.2K +$298 10-16 15:45
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,260 $1,188 98¢ $1.2K +$52 10-27 10:09
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,224 $1,219 100¢ $1.2K +$4 09-10 20:46
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +1,211 $1,190 100¢ $1.2K +$17 10-23 14:30
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,200 $1,165 96¢ $1.1K -$16 10-26 08:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,150 $1,132 100¢ $1.1K +$17 10-08 10:32
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,731 $1,456 66¢ $1.1K -$313 10-10 07:46
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,243 $1,196 92¢ $1.1K -$56 10-26 08:24
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,136 $1,129 100¢ $1.1K +$3 10-17 12:32
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,124 $1,111 100¢ $1.1K +$11 10-23 13:31
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,106 $1,102 100¢ $1.1K +$3 10-26 09:22
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,105 $1,101 100¢ $1.1K +$3 10-17 12:33