Joint-Lard 0x942e79…d2be27 Create alert
whale hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$12.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$941
Hit rate
93.0%
Resolved
42,539
Trades
176,795
lifetime
Volume
$3.64M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$42.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 11-03 20:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 195 days
Categories
Other
72% 90% +$9,110
Politics
17% 86% +$1,283
Sports
9% 91% +$2,897
Tech
1% 79% -$317
Crypto
1% 85% -$74
Pop-Culture
0% 89% +$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2005 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +2,433 $1,977 94¢ $2.3K +$322 11-03 20:29
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +2,192 $2,189 100¢ $2.2K +$0 10-28 18:22
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,899 $1,888 100¢ $1.9K +$8 10-23 20:49
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,807 $1,803 100¢ $1.8K +$2 10-22 02:13
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,779 $1,761 100¢ $1.8K +$14 10-28 21:01
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,770 $1,764 100¢ $1.8K +$3 09-08 22:34
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,793 $1,690 98¢ $1.8K +$68 11-03 19:24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,617 $1,579 100¢ $1.6K +$31 10-30 07:19
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,519 $1,511 100¢ $1.5K +$5 09-10 16:46
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? No +1,383 $1,371 100¢ $1.4K +$10 11-01 20:42
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +1,383 $1,196 99¢ $1.4K +$179 09-10 16:41
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,347 $1,342 100¢ $1.3K +$3 10-27 09:06
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,346 $1,339 100¢ $1.3K +$4 10-31 17:10
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,338 $1,330 100¢ $1.3K +$5 09-16 17:55
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +1,584 $1,262 82¢ $1.3K +$35 10-31 16:45
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,287 $1,282 100¢ $1.3K +$3 08-06 19:53
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +1,263 $1,242 100¢ $1.3K +$19 11-02 23:31
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,290 $1,217 96¢ $1.2K +$15 10-27 20:00
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +1,222 $1,207 100¢ $1.2K +$13 11-02 22:49
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,230 $1,194 95¢ $1.2K -$20 10-27 20:23
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,243 $1,196 94¢ $1.2K -$22 10-26 08:24
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? No +1,167 $1,141 99¢ $1.2K +$16 10-30 04:12
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,321 $1,042 88¢ $1.2K +$114 10-25 19:10
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,154 $1,141 100¢ $1.2K +$12 10-27 19:31
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,115 $1,072 99¢ $1.1K +$33 10-28 17:41
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,106 $1,102 100¢ $1.1K +$3 10-26 09:22
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +1,098 $1,096 100¢ $1.1K +$0 10-30 15:48
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,180 $1,108 92¢ $1.1K -$16 11-03 08:38
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +1,108 $989 98¢ $1.1K +$98 11-01 11:09
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,106 $1,093 97¢ $1.1K -$15 10-27 19:15