Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
open
Total volume
$25,993
Trades
404
Unique wallets
96
Liquidity
$49,292
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-05-02
last 10-26 18:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.9¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $5.9K
vs crowd: 6% YES on $23.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 29 | $1.3K | $18.7K | $17.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 18 | $116 | $2.8K | $2.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 20 | $54 | $180 | $126 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 29 | $14 | $364 | $350 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 21 | $194 | $5.7K | $5.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $279 | $146 | +$132 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $592 | $4.8K | $4.2K |
| Median | 14 | $2 | $1.7K | $1.7K |
| Below median | 16 | $9 | $89 | $80 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 11 | $20 | $8 | +$12 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $39 | $504 | $465 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 13 | $320 | $9.1K | $8.8K |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | +6,500 | $6,224 | $8,174 | 12 | 09-12 22:45 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | +5,060 | $4,803 | $4,803 | 19 | 08-23 19:46 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | +5,053 | $318 | $865 | 45 | 08-27 13:46 |
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | +4,012 | $3,901 | $3,901 | 11 | 10-18 15:09 |
| Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | +3,921 | $118 | $435 | 18 | 10-19 14:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed7…16b2 | Yes | +3,138 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 10-19 11:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +1,884 | $103 | $172 | 4 | 08-20 00:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +1,884 | $1,809 | $1,809 | 2 | 08-20 00:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xe41a…29bd | No | +1,503 | $1,428 | $1,428 | 2 | 08-17 18:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | +1,114 | $45 | $96 | 15 | 10-09 18:21 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | +1,020 | $61 | $61 | 4 | 07-17 00:23 |
| Teeming-Ritual 0xdebb…eedb | Yes | +1,003 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 10-07 07:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xb32b…4a7a | No | +1,000 | $940 | $940 | 4 | 07-17 00:23 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +937 | $24 | $24 | 17 | 10-20 20:34 |
| Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | +599 | $17 | $17 | 6 | 10-19 14:06 |
| Feline-Asparagus 0x814d…b842 | Yes | +535 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-18 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | +526 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-09 23:59 |
| Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | +342 | $7 | $7 | 13 | 10-12 19:00 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +266 | $5 | $5 | 8 | 10-15 18:06 |
| Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | +263 | $256 | $256 | 7 | 10-20 20:43 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +208 | $203 | $203 | 4 | 10-15 00:45 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | +179 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-19 02:44 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +157 | $147 | $415 | 16 | 10-18 14:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xbceb…0049 | No | +149 | $145 | $145 | 8 | 10-14 20:49 |
| Orderly-Dentist 0xe4ca…1383 | Yes | +101 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-18 18:32 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +84 | $82 | $82 | 1 | 10-18 14:48 |
| Last-Harpsichord 0x1919…d2af | Yes | +65 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 15:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xbceb…0049 | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-07 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd2b…1a1b | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-18 14:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x3f73…ec36 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-26 18:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xffbf…0824 | No | +49 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 10-26 18:40 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +42 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 09-12 08:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2ce…e6c8 | Yes | +39 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-15 08:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | Yes | +38 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-27 14:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xb275…6cb2 | Yes | +33 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-27 20:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x05cf…5fa9 | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 10-01 07:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x9297…358b | Yes | +28 | $2 | $4 | 17 | 10-19 14:06 |
| All-Architecture 0x588d…099a | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-11 09:12 |
| Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | Yes | +23 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-09 14:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 08-17 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-20 01:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-18 14:19 |
| Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-20 05:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x99fe…5705 | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 08-20 20:17 |
| Tart-Lava 0x26a9…f6b7 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-18 15:09 |
| Delayed-Trust 0x7b82…8d9f | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-01 19:46 |
| Immaterial-Advantage 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-29 21:20 |
| Impassioned-Captain-Roommate 0xf5dc…9afe | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-16 07:35 |
| Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-19 13:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-27 14:21 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-27 14:21 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-23 01:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-26 18:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 18:40:35 | (anonymous) 0xffbf…0824 | No | BUY | 49 | 97¢ | $48 | 0xa3d3da… |
| 10-26 18:40:35 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xa3d3da… |
| 10-26 18:40:35 | (anonymous) 0x3f73…ec36 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa3d3da… |
| 10-20 20:43:42 | Small-Handle 0x8c3b…a7e9 | No | SELL | 67 | 97¢ | $66 | 0xdc2f41… |
| 10-20 20:43:42 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | BUY | 67 | 97¢ | $66 | 0xdc2f41… |
| 10-20 20:34:41 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa69666… |
| 10-20 20:34:41 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | BUY | 18 | 97¢ | $17 | 0xf0f0bc… |
| 10-20 20:34:41 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 18 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf0f0bc… |
| 10-20 20:34:41 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | BUY | 34 | 97¢ | $34 | 0xa69666… |
| 10-20 16:02:35 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x5ac2ac… |
| 10-20 16:02:35 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | BUY | 19 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x5ac2ac… |
| 10-20 06:07:04 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd8e357… |
| 10-20 06:07:04 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xd8e357… |
| 10-20 06:06:52 | (anonymous) 0x5228…fb0d | No | SELL | 37 | 97¢ | $36 | 0xfd14c0… |
| 10-20 06:06:52 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 56 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xfd14c0… |
| 10-20 06:06:52 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | BUY | 93 | 97¢ | $91 | 0xfd14c0… |
| 10-20 05:43:06 | (anonymous) 0x5228…fb0d | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x2b64fb… |
| 10-20 05:43:06 | Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x2b64fb… |
| 10-20 01:34:38 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x36d08d… |
| 10-20 01:34:38 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x36d08d… |
| 10-19 14:06:59 | (anonymous) 0x9297…358b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf4a4c9… |
| 10-19 14:06:59 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | SELL | 75 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x89ed0a… |
| 10-19 14:06:59 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf4a4c9… |
| 10-19 14:06:59 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x89ed0a… |
| 10-19 13:23:03 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1e2649… |
| 10-19 13:23:03 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x1e2649… |
| 10-19 11:28:38 | (anonymous) 0xeed7…16b2 | Yes | BUY | 3,138 | 3¢ | $94 | 0x542777… |
| 10-19 11:28:38 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x0ffb0f… |
| 10-19 11:28:38 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | SELL | 3,138 | 3¢ | $94 | 0x542777… |
| 10-19 11:28:38 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 24 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x28bc05… |
| 10-19 11:28:38 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | SELL | 75 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x0ffb0f… |
| 10-19 11:28:38 | (anonymous) 0x9297…358b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd35db5… |
| 10-19 11:28:38 | (anonymous) 0x9297…358b | Yes | SELL | 24 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x28bc05… |
| 10-19 11:28:38 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd35db5… |
| 10-19 02:44:36 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | SELL | 79 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xa33ad8… |
| 10-19 02:44:36 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | BUY | 79 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xa33ad8… |
| 10-19 02:44:36 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1f5ad2… |
| 10-19 02:44:36 | (anonymous) 0x9297…358b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1f5ad2… |
| 10-19 02:12:23 | (anonymous) 0x9297…358b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbf24d2… |
| 10-19 02:12:23 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbf24d2… |
| 10-19 02:12:21 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x2649f3… |
| 10-19 02:12:21 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x2649f3… |
| 10-18 15:09:05 | (anonymous) 0x9297…358b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xae0a25… |
| 10-18 15:09:05 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xae0a25… |
| 10-18 15:09:03 | Feline-Asparagus 0x814d…b842 | Yes | BUY | 535 | 3¢ | $15 | 0xb794bd… |
| 10-18 15:09:03 | Tart-Lava 0x26a9…f6b7 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xb794bd… |
| 10-18 15:09:03 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 248 | 97¢ | $241 | 0xb794bd… |
| 10-18 15:09:03 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | SELL | 209 | 3¢ | $6 | 0xb794bd… |
| 10-18 15:09:03 | Small-Handle 0x8c3b…a7e9 | No | BUY | 67 | 97¢ | $66 | 0xb794bd… |
| 10-18 15:01:17 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 252 | 97¢ | $245 | 0x8d07a5… |
| 10-18 15:01:17 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 252 | 3¢ | $7 | 0x8d07a5… |
| 10-18 15:01:12 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa381d5… |
| 10-18 15:01:12 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa381d5… |
| 10-18 14:48:35 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0xe84e28… |
| 10-18 14:48:35 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xe84e28… |
| 10-18 14:48:17 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 84 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xe5b674… |
| 10-18 14:48:17 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 84 | 98¢ | $82 | 0xe5b674… |
| 10-18 14:33:18 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xaa59c6… |
| 10-18 14:33:18 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xaa59c6… |
| 10-18 14:24:09 | (anonymous) 0xbd2b…1a1b | Yes | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8f0a9e… |
| 10-18 14:24:09 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 534 | 97¢ | $519 | 0x8f0a9e… |
| 10-18 14:24:09 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 500 | 3¢ | $14 | 0x8f0a9e… |
| 10-18 14:24:09 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x8f0a9e… |
| 10-18 14:19:14 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xd0a3e1… |
| 10-18 14:19:14 | (anonymous) 0xbd2b…1a1b | Yes | BUY | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd0a3e1… |
| 10-18 14:19:14 | (anonymous) 0x5228…fb0d | No | BUY | 16 | 97¢ | $15 | 0xd0a3e1… |
| 10-18 14:18:12 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc6c767… |
| 10-18 14:18:12 | (anonymous) 0x5228…fb0d | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0xc6c767… |
| 10-15 18:06:40 | (anonymous) 0x115a…9d44 | Yes | SELL | 104 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xd7b5c2… |
| 10-15 18:06:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xd7b5c2… |
| 10-15 08:24:32 | (anonymous) 0xd2ce…e6c8 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc990d7… |
| 10-15 08:24:32 | (anonymous) 0x115a…9d44 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc990d7… |
| 10-15 08:24:32 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xc990d7… |
| 10-15 00:45:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 87 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xbf6ea9… |
| 10-15 00:45:47 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 87 | 98¢ | $85 | 0xbf6ea9… |
| 10-14 23:29:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x362c5f… |
| 10-14 23:29:58 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x362c5f… |
| 10-14 23:23:49 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xba212c… |
| 10-14 23:23:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xba212c… |
| 10-14 23:17:49 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xd89c0e… |
| 10-14 23:17:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd89c0e… |
| 10-14 22:17:45 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x226c51… |
| 10-14 22:17:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x226c51… |
| 10-14 20:49:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x119035… |
| 10-14 20:49:36 | (anonymous) 0xbceb…0049 | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x119035… |
| 10-13 07:52:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2a7f16… |
| 10-13 07:52:29 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x2a7f16… |
| 10-12 19:00:14 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 81 | 98¢ | $79 | 0xd4697d… |
| 10-12 19:00:14 | Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd4697d… |
| 10-12 18:59:24 | Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xbf132b… |
| 10-12 18:59:24 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 231 | 98¢ | $226 | 0xbf132b… |
| 10-12 18:59:17 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 133 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xd0a467… |
| 10-12 18:59:17 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0xd0a467… |
| 10-12 18:59:17 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 366 | 98¢ | $358 | 0xd0a467… |
| 10-12 18:59:17 | (anonymous) 0x115a…9d44 | Yes | BUY | 133 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xd0a467… |
| 10-12 14:26:06 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xf975c9… |
| 10-12 14:26:06 | Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf975c9… |
| 10-12 14:26:06 | (anonymous) 0xbceb…0049 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xf975c9… |
| 10-12 01:58:05 | Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5d1e28… |
| 10-12 01:58:05 | (anonymous) 0xbceb…0049 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x5d1e28… |