Realized P&L
+$5.15K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.70K
Hit rate
57.9%
Resolved
175
Trades
3,501
lifetime
Volume
$165.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$50.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-27
last 10-28 16:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
40% 48% -$420
Politics
36% 50% +$10
Crypto
12% 36% +$646
Sports
9% 44% +$4,924
Tech
3% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 231 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +6,883 $3,343 98¢ $6.7K +$3,382 10-27 15:16
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +4,734 $2,764 97¢ $4.6K +$1,811 10-28 02:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +4,652 $3,277 97¢ $4.5K +$1,235 10-22 11:22
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +3,749 $2,354 97¢ $3.6K +$1,295 10-28 12:06
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +6,939 $3,102 44¢ $3.1K -$14 10-28 13:23
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +5,151 $2,413 56¢ $2.9K +$474 10-22 18:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,598 $2,047 97¢ $2.5K +$473 10-22 14:33
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,003 $2,884 54¢ $2.1K -$742 10-26 08:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,005 $1,133 46¢ $1.9K +$729 10-23 19:38
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +8,908 $1,705 20¢ $1.8K +$76 10-28 13:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? No +1,504 $1,439 99¢ $1.5K +$56 10-26 10:17
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +1,801 $1,556 78¢ $1.4K -$159 10-04 02:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +1,372 $935 94¢ $1.3K +$362 10-24 15:32
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,715 $611 73¢ $1.3K +$643 10-27 13:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? No +1,527 $973 80¢ $1.2K +$256 10-25 20:59
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,027 $606 98¢ $1.0K +$401 10-12 19:17
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? No +971 $769 99¢ $963 +$194 10-26 08:14
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +991 $863 95¢ $941 +$79 10-20 15:44
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2,048 $1,042 44¢ $900 -$142 10-28 17:45
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +859 $702 94¢ $803 +$101 10-28 00:06
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,042 $610 30¢ $623 +$13 10-26 02:18
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +612 $602 100¢ $611 +$9 10-27 09:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +19,750 $3,031 3¢ $593 -$2,439 10-26 10:26
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,480 $490 34¢ $511 +$20 10-28 16:29
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +2,000 $420 24¢ $490 +$70 10-28 01:51
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +497 $469 96¢ $475 +$7 10-03 22:20
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,716 $1,086 27¢ $461 -$625 10-27 13:06
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? No +441 $416 99¢ $439 +$23 10-21 15:10
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +1,600 $365 27¢ $432 +$67 10-28 01:55
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? No +406 $352 98¢ $397 +$45 10-27 03:09