Realized P&L
+$5.42K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.91K
Hit rate
58.3%
Resolved
168
Trades
3,332
lifetime
Volume
$160.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$48
Open exposure
$47.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-27
last 10-27 08:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
41% 49% -$144
Politics
35% 50% +$10
Crypto
13% 36% +$646
Sports
9% 44% +$4,924
Tech
3% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 231 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +6,854 $3,316 91¢ $6.3K +$2,934 10-25 20:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +4,652 $3,277 94¢ $4.4K +$1,096 10-22 11:22
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +4,699 $2,731 89¢ $4.2K +$1,467 10-25 20:20
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +6,919 $3,094 55¢ $3.8K +$677 10-23 20:09
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +3,618 $2,231 96¢ $3.5K +$1,255 10-27 04:27
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,003 $2,884 72¢ $2.9K +$19 10-26 08:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,598 $2,047 94¢ $2.5K +$408 10-22 14:33
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +5,151 $2,413 46¢ $2.4K -$59 10-22 18:29
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +1,801 $1,556 88¢ $1.6K +$32 10-04 02:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? No +1,504 $1,439 97¢ $1.5K +$26 10-26 10:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +1,372 $935 88¢ $1.2K +$279 10-24 15:32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +19,750 $3,031 6¢ $1.2K -$1,846 10-26 10:26
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2,043 $1,040 54¢ $1.1K +$69 10-23 20:09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,005 $1,133 28¢ $1.1K -$32 10-23 19:38
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,027 $606 96¢ $986 +$380 10-12 19:17
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? No +971 $769 98¢ $951 +$182 10-26 08:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? No +1,527 $973 58¢ $893 -$80 10-25 20:59
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +991 $863 90¢ $892 +$29 10-20 15:44
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,042 $610 32¢ $653 +$43 10-26 02:18
will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026 Yes +1,527 $558 42¢ $634 +$76 10-21 18:29
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +721 $583 86¢ $616 +$33 10-27 08:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +6,736 $1,203 9¢ $593 -$610 10-26 06:54
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +4,861 $1,373 11¢ $518 -$855 10-24 10:50
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,415 $470 34¢ $474 +$4 10-27 05:14
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +497 $469 93¢ $460 -$9 10-03 22:20
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? No +441 $416 99¢ $438 +$23 10-21 15:10
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? Yes +11,080 $4,055 4¢ $404 -$3,650 10-23 20:40
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? No +406 $352 97¢ $394 +$42 10-27 03:09
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +362 $356 99¢ $359 +$3 10-26 17:59
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +1,500 $345 21¢ $315 -$30 10-26 14:28